美國利率與美國股市 - 經濟

By Una
at 2006-08-01T08:47
at 2006-08-01T08:47
Table of Contents
※ 引述《phelyl (殘念......)》之銘言:
: 美國利率的升息和降息常常是財經媒體的焦點
: 可是有一個矛盾我不太懂想請教版友
: 調升利率不是要在經濟循環處於成長狀態才會這樣做以抑制經濟過熱
: 而美國調升利率
: 不正代表了美國的經濟狀態很好
: 但相反的
: 最近卻聽到美國的經濟成長走緩所以要調降利率
: 調降利率不是會降低資金的成本對股市是利多
: 那如果要投資美股
: 是要在美國調升利率的狀況下較佳
: 還是調降利率的狀況下較佳
: 這個問題一直困惑我很久了
: 請版友解惑
: 謝謝(如果精華區有或是前文有請提示一下,我找了但是好像沒找到要不然就是看不懂)
As economy (market) is boom, the inflation would be likely to increase.
Hence, the Fed would increase interest rate to restrain economy and inflation.
In contrast, if economy is recession, the Fed would lower interest rate to
increase investment and push economy.
Thus, if you get information about an increase in interest rate, you should
know stock market would go to a bear market. In contrast, if you know the Fed
will lower interest rate, you should know stock market would go to a bull
market. As I know, the relationship between interest rate and stock market is
negative.
Best regards.
--
我的blog:
http://www.wretch.cc/user/hsiuchuanwin
裡面討論電影、生活、價格行為、財務計量
--
: 美國利率的升息和降息常常是財經媒體的焦點
: 可是有一個矛盾我不太懂想請教版友
: 調升利率不是要在經濟循環處於成長狀態才會這樣做以抑制經濟過熱
: 而美國調升利率
: 不正代表了美國的經濟狀態很好
: 但相反的
: 最近卻聽到美國的經濟成長走緩所以要調降利率
: 調降利率不是會降低資金的成本對股市是利多
: 那如果要投資美股
: 是要在美國調升利率的狀況下較佳
: 還是調降利率的狀況下較佳
: 這個問題一直困惑我很久了
: 請版友解惑
: 謝謝(如果精華區有或是前文有請提示一下,我找了但是好像沒找到要不然就是看不懂)
As economy (market) is boom, the inflation would be likely to increase.
Hence, the Fed would increase interest rate to restrain economy and inflation.
In contrast, if economy is recession, the Fed would lower interest rate to
increase investment and push economy.
Thus, if you get information about an increase in interest rate, you should
know stock market would go to a bear market. In contrast, if you know the Fed
will lower interest rate, you should know stock market would go to a bull
market. As I know, the relationship between interest rate and stock market is
negative.
Best regards.
--
我的blog:
http://www.wretch.cc/user/hsiuchuanwin
裡面討論電影、生活、價格行為、財務計量
--
Tags:
經濟
All Comments

By Zanna
at 2006-08-02T20:31
at 2006-08-02T20:31
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