日本經濟爛掉到底誰的錯? - 股票QA

By Elizabeth
at 2023-06-29T01:02
at 2023-06-29T01:02
Table of Contents
※ 引述《Callus (Lord Moriarty)》之銘言:
※ 引述《leefengynh (/65G ・ 125/250K1W)》之銘言:
1. 標題:日本經濟停滯
2. 來源:IMF
3. 網址:https://reurl.cc/pMznv8
4. 內文:
人均GDP (單位:本國貨幣)
1997 2010 2021 24年成長
日本 431萬日幣 396萬日幣 431萬日幣 0%
台灣 40萬台幣 60萬台幣 92萬台幣 130%
韓國 1179萬韓幣 2669萬韓幣 4004萬韓幣 240%
新加坡 3.9萬新幣 6.4萬新幣 9.7萬新幣 148%
簡單來講 看這數據就知道日本廢掉了 毫無實質成長 根本不是被匯率拖累
是本幣計價本身就沒在成長
台灣韓國超越日本只是必然 是日本太廢 不是台灣太強
日本爛掉該怪誰?
以上,我從出社會就受嚴格的猶太金融訓練,同時我也懂這座島流行的
閩南語、廣東語、普通話,四川話,阿美語、泰雅語、阿妹語魯凱語,
甚至內陸湖島上少數民族邵族的氣音,也是略懂略懂。
※(省略)
師傅常說世界上景氣循環,工業化發展,經濟成長發展,有三個例外,
一個是日本,一個是阿根廷,另一個是我不能說出名字的強國,Z國。
其他各國的成長史蠻接近的,所以這幾年,按照發展經驗,
可以看出越南要走向發達之路,
師傅的判斷標準,一是國民所得破9000美元,二是電力足夠,
三是四線道已經鋪成好。另一個非必要條件(加分用的)是貪汙低,政治清明。
君主立憲、中央集權、政體什麼的,不是重點,反而稅制比較影響這些。
十五年前,越南都還是泥巴路,首都還是兩線道而已。
談基本面要下次了。
17300
↑ ↘16800
↗
15500~~盤至少2個月~~↗ 15800突破確認
14500~~
↗
12800
市價: 妳能買到的價格。 簡單的定義。
市價 : 15500 16170 16700 17300 16800
其他人成本: 15000 15100 15430 15486 15586
這應該能計算乖離了,妳在"市價此時"下單跟其他人總成本有差別的。
趨勢,用移動平均線的技術派,應該看得懂,是基操了,省略。
就算看別人成本,15000-->15100-->15430-->15486-->15586,也該看出是
多頭市場了吧~~
本週根本沒有結束,也就是週線沒算完,假設本週就停在16800位置,
16830大概在月線,6週線位置,機率比較大的走法,就是試探16800這個點位,
然後反彈。
獲利的方法,
1. 妳的下單成本比15500還低。
交易作在前,漲跌錯在後。 這是前版主的話,
那就表示妳要在之前就下單。妳的綜合合併成本才會低於15500。
2. 妳下多單,得確認是多頭趨勢。 趨勢仍在,倉位留住。
趨勢變成空頭趨勢,倉位要結束掉。
Kroll說過,如果妳抱著錯誤的倉位,且又堅持不放,
妳會跟著錯誤的倉位一起沉下去。
當然K氏是操作期權相關的。
下次再談Z國,代號薩爾瓦多,簡稱薩國,借美元蓋高速公路,
本國貨幣從掛勾美元變掛勾BTC,可能會發生什麼事,
我之前用薩國講過貨幣幻覺或通膨問題過。
--
※ 當年我還在高大的周市長身邊工作的時候,
當時美艷的歌姬、巴冷公主來新店、烏來一帶表演,
她牽著一隻狗,用破破的台語對我說:『幫我拿小白餵給狗飯。我等等要上台表演』
然後偷偷用賽德克語說:『當官方的櫻花公主,還是比當黑澀會妹妹好。』
--
※ 引述《leefengynh (/65G ・ 125/250K1W)》之銘言:
1. 標題:日本經濟停滯
2. 來源:IMF
3. 網址:https://reurl.cc/pMznv8
4. 內文:
人均GDP (單位:本國貨幣)
1997 2010 2021 24年成長
日本 431萬日幣 396萬日幣 431萬日幣 0%
台灣 40萬台幣 60萬台幣 92萬台幣 130%
韓國 1179萬韓幣 2669萬韓幣 4004萬韓幣 240%
新加坡 3.9萬新幣 6.4萬新幣 9.7萬新幣 148%
簡單來講 看這數據就知道日本廢掉了 毫無實質成長 根本不是被匯率拖累
是本幣計價本身就沒在成長
台灣韓國超越日本只是必然 是日本太廢 不是台灣太強
日本爛掉該怪誰?
以上,我從出社會就受嚴格的猶太金融訓練,同時我也懂這座島流行的
閩南語、廣東語、普通話,四川話,阿美語、泰雅語、阿妹語魯凱語,
甚至內陸湖島上少數民族邵族的氣音,也是略懂略懂。
※(省略)
師傅常說世界上景氣循環,工業化發展,經濟成長發展,有三個例外,
一個是日本,一個是阿根廷,另一個是我不能說出名字的強國,Z國。
其他各國的成長史蠻接近的,所以這幾年,按照發展經驗,
可以看出越南要走向發達之路,
師傅的判斷標準,一是國民所得破9000美元,二是電力足夠,
三是四線道已經鋪成好。另一個非必要條件(加分用的)是貪汙低,政治清明。
君主立憲、中央集權、政體什麼的,不是重點,反而稅制比較影響這些。
十五年前,越南都還是泥巴路,首都還是兩線道而已。
談基本面要下次了。
17300
↑ ↘16800
↗
15500~~盤至少2個月~~↗ 15800突破確認
14500~~
↗
12800
市價: 妳能買到的價格。 簡單的定義。
市價 : 15500 16170 16700 17300 16800
其他人成本: 15000 15100 15430 15486 15586
這應該能計算乖離了,妳在"市價此時"下單跟其他人總成本有差別的。
趨勢,用移動平均線的技術派,應該看得懂,是基操了,省略。
就算看別人成本,15000-->15100-->15430-->15486-->15586,也該看出是
多頭市場了吧~~
本週根本沒有結束,也就是週線沒算完,假設本週就停在16800位置,
16830大概在月線,6週線位置,機率比較大的走法,就是試探16800這個點位,
然後反彈。
獲利的方法,
1. 妳的下單成本比15500還低。
交易作在前,漲跌錯在後。 這是前版主的話,
那就表示妳要在之前就下單。妳的綜合合併成本才會低於15500。
2. 妳下多單,得確認是多頭趨勢。 趨勢仍在,倉位留住。
趨勢變成空頭趨勢,倉位要結束掉。
Kroll說過,如果妳抱著錯誤的倉位,且又堅持不放,
妳會跟著錯誤的倉位一起沉下去。
當然K氏是操作期權相關的。
下次再談Z國,代號薩爾瓦多,簡稱薩國,借美元蓋高速公路,
本國貨幣從掛勾美元變掛勾BTC,可能會發生什麼事,
我之前用薩國講過貨幣幻覺或通膨問題過。
--
※ 當年我還在高大的周市長身邊工作的時候,
當時美艷的歌姬、巴冷公主來新店、烏來一帶表演,
她牽著一隻狗,用破破的台語對我說:『幫我拿小白餵給狗飯。我等等要上台表演』
然後偷偷用賽德克語說:『當官方的櫻花公主,還是比當黑澀會妹妹好。』
--
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