財經青紅燈》要你別碰金融股? - 股票QA
By Tracy
at 2022-05-17T14:18
at 2022-05-17T14:18
Table of Contents
原文標題:
財經青紅燈》要你別碰金融股?
原文連結:
https://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/paper/1517758
發布時間:
2022/05/17 05:30
記者署名:
高嘉和
原文內容:
近來防疫險之亂,除了演變成主管機關與業者在會議記錄間「咬文嚼字」的攻防外,由民
間業者組成的公協會,不僅沒幫業者講話,竟還主動聲明力挺保險局,更顯見主管機關的
「恩威遠播」;從金管會強硬的態度來看,是在好心提醒投資人別碰金融股嗎?
產險業者一再強調防疫險的巨災損失,的確若是放任不管,從財務數字來看,危機已迫在
眉睫。
以某金控旗下產險先前銷售防疫險為例,不計在途保單、約60萬張,保費僅6百多元,不
計日額、居隔,光確診就可領5萬,若以確診率20%推算,理賠金額將達60億元;這家產險
不只資本適足率(RBC)將崩盤,帳上約80億元淨值一口氣蒸發了3/4,勢必得要金控掏錢
來填補錢坑。
另一家保險金控旗下的產險,先前緊急喊停前的防疫保單,就算將防疫險與疫苗險分拆或
組合設計,保費拉高到1、2千元,但也因被部分民眾視為「有利可圖」,還是賣到爆,最
保守估計理賠風險將逾百億元,就算其家大業大,數百億淨值還扛的起來,但帳上現金恐
得賠到見底。
所謂福無雙至、禍不單行,這家產險帳上有價證券、國外投資逾6百億元,今年首季因投
資市場利空不斷,其他綜合(損)益項下出現逾60億元損失;當防疫保單理賠壓力湧現,
且投資市場持續疲軟,將陷入「雙殺」的窘境,又會拖累金控母公司獲利。
雖然金管會沒有明講,但從其對防疫險之亂採取的「不教而殺謂之虐」、「不戒視成謂之
暴」等態度,不就等同警告投資人遠離金融股嗎?(高嘉和)
心得/評論:
是因為這樣子金融股才從之前高點一路狂跌下來的嗎?
又是哪幾間不能亂碰阿 存股族瑟瑟發抖太可怕囉
--
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