加拿大央行升息從3碼變2碼 - 經濟
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By Lily
at 2022-10-27T12:30
at 2022-10-27T12:30
Table of Contents
※ [本文轉錄自 Stock 看板 #1ZMTCZr0 ]
作者: ntnusleep (蟲蟲蟲) 看板: Stock
標題: [新聞] 加拿大央行升息從3碼變2碼
時間: Thu Oct 27 08:38:56 2022
原文標題:
加拿大央行升息從3碼變2碼 預告接近緊縮周期尾聲
原文連結:
https://udn.com/news/story/6811/6717804?from=udn-ch1_breaknews-1-cate5-news
發布時間:
2022-10-27 08:16
記者署名:
經濟日報/ 編譯 林奇賢/綜合外電
原文內容:
加拿大央行26日意外放緩升息步伐,僅宣布升息2碼,而非市場原先預期的3碼。
該央行表示,如今已逐漸接近這輪歷史性緊縮循環的尾聲,並預測加拿大經濟將在未
來三季陷入停滯。
加國央行將政策利率調高2碼(50個基點)至3.75%。自3月以來,該央行已合計升息350個
基點,為該國有史以來最快的緊縮循環之一。加拿大央行在3月升息1碼後,4月與6月各升
息2碼,7月更一口氣升息4碼,9月則再升3碼,再加上最新宣布10月升息2碼,迄今累計升
息14碼。
加拿大央行總裁馬克林(Tiff Macklem)在決策公布後的記者會上說:
「這輪緊縮周期接近尾聲。我們正在接近,但還沒有到那一步。」
但他說,「我們預期仍需要進一步升息。
這可能意味著另一次較正常情況更大幅度的升息,也可能是轉向較常規的升息1碼」,目
前距離2%的通膨目標還很遠,但加國央行試圖平衡,緊縮不足和過度緊縮的風險。
他在聲明中表示,未來的升息路徑將取決於「(收緊)貨幣政策對減緩需求的影響、供給
方面所遭遇的挑戰如何解決,以及通膨和通膨預期將如何應對」。
雖然加國央行對於通膨仍保持相對鷹派的措辭,但這次升息幅度比預期小,也令外界懷疑
該行能否容忍對加拿大經濟造成進一步傷害。
加拿大央行同日下修明年經濟成長預測,並表示今年第4季到明年上半年,經濟活動將接
近不變。馬克林說,經濟並非陷入嚴重萎縮,但顯然會趨緩。
分析師指出,黯淡的經濟預測,可能就是加國央行升息幅度小於市場預期的原因。他們指
出,雖然對未來升息的警告讓人沒那麼意外,但加國央行可能變得更加審慎。
加拿大皇家銀行經濟研究所資深經濟學家Josh Nye在一份報告中表示:「今天的鴿派轉向
,佐證我們的觀點,即加拿大央行將在年底前持續放緩緊縮步伐,在12月升息1碼,讓終
端利率落在4%。」
目前加幣匯價為1美元兌1.3552加幣。
心得/評論:
加拿大央行緊縮步調放緩,預告加拿大的緊縮周期接近尾聲
122432=升14碼到3.75%
Fed
升息終端利率4.5%
330或321 可能性增加,利多
--
作者: ntnusleep (蟲蟲蟲) 看板: Stock
標題: [新聞] 加拿大央行升息從3碼變2碼
時間: Thu Oct 27 08:38:56 2022
原文標題:
加拿大央行升息從3碼變2碼 預告接近緊縮周期尾聲
原文連結:
https://udn.com/news/story/6811/6717804?from=udn-ch1_breaknews-1-cate5-news
發布時間:
2022-10-27 08:16
記者署名:
經濟日報/ 編譯 林奇賢/綜合外電
原文內容:
加拿大央行26日意外放緩升息步伐,僅宣布升息2碼,而非市場原先預期的3碼。
該央行表示,如今已逐漸接近這輪歷史性緊縮循環的尾聲,並預測加拿大經濟將在未
來三季陷入停滯。
加國央行將政策利率調高2碼(50個基點)至3.75%。自3月以來,該央行已合計升息350個
基點,為該國有史以來最快的緊縮循環之一。加拿大央行在3月升息1碼後,4月與6月各升
息2碼,7月更一口氣升息4碼,9月則再升3碼,再加上最新宣布10月升息2碼,迄今累計升
息14碼。
加拿大央行總裁馬克林(Tiff Macklem)在決策公布後的記者會上說:
「這輪緊縮周期接近尾聲。我們正在接近,但還沒有到那一步。」
但他說,「我們預期仍需要進一步升息。
這可能意味著另一次較正常情況更大幅度的升息,也可能是轉向較常規的升息1碼」,目
前距離2%的通膨目標還很遠,但加國央行試圖平衡,緊縮不足和過度緊縮的風險。
他在聲明中表示,未來的升息路徑將取決於「(收緊)貨幣政策對減緩需求的影響、供給
方面所遭遇的挑戰如何解決,以及通膨和通膨預期將如何應對」。
雖然加國央行對於通膨仍保持相對鷹派的措辭,但這次升息幅度比預期小,也令外界懷疑
該行能否容忍對加拿大經濟造成進一步傷害。
加拿大央行同日下修明年經濟成長預測,並表示今年第4季到明年上半年,經濟活動將接
近不變。馬克林說,經濟並非陷入嚴重萎縮,但顯然會趨緩。
分析師指出,黯淡的經濟預測,可能就是加國央行升息幅度小於市場預期的原因。他們指
出,雖然對未來升息的警告讓人沒那麼意外,但加國央行可能變得更加審慎。
加拿大皇家銀行經濟研究所資深經濟學家Josh Nye在一份報告中表示:「今天的鴿派轉向
,佐證我們的觀點,即加拿大央行將在年底前持續放緩緊縮步伐,在12月升息1碼,讓終
端利率落在4%。」
目前加幣匯價為1美元兌1.3552加幣。
心得/評論:
加拿大央行緊縮步調放緩,預告加拿大的緊縮周期接近尾聲
122432=升14碼到3.75%
Fed
升息終端利率4.5%
330或321 可能性增加,利多
--
Tags:
經濟
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By Ethan
at 2022-10-03T10:12
at 2022-10-03T10:12