1020103台股盤中量價變化… - 股票
By Tracy
at 2013-01-03T13:18
at 2013-01-03T13:18
Table of Contents
(這次沒有線圖,因為懶得畫了… ●rz)
今日現貨預估量至目前為止一直在 1050 億之上,1050 億有何問題?
問題在於較昨日量量增3分之1,有量出背離之訊號,若收盤現貨線能
收多方線,那今日就不會有太大疑慮,但開盤至現在為止,線多半維持
為空方線,量出背離空方線,今日又為跳空開高缺口攻擊,若收盤仍為
空方線作結…現貨日線就有形成 跳空流星 之疑慮,這是一個空方反擊
的三法結構,若收盤三法結構沒有改善,明日盤勢走跌為大。
而由期貨來看,目前期貨皆為量縮走高,日結構為 量價背離,所以也是
日線壓回訊號,收盤前補量?目前看期貨收盤無法量增,故量價背離已為
必然。
而現貨量出,台指量縮,二者日線量不對稱,明日易見有大震盪,所以假
設現貨量出3分之1收空方線,期貨又為量價背離,如此收盤,明日就要
小心台股有較深度的壓回之可能,至少走跌是避不掉的。
收盤前有無化解之道?
其一、現貨量縮至 1050 億以下,讓量只形成中繼遞增而非量出背離。
其二、量縮不下來無妨,但收盤一定要收多方線。
上述二條件成立,至少不會判定為轉折,且明天就不至於跌太多…。
所以收盤要注意現貨三法結構之變化…
結論,不管現貨怎麼收,期貨量價背離是既定事實,所以就算不是轉折,
明天一樣跌的機會比較高,簡言之,明日台股就是小黑、中黑、長黑三個
選項。
今日期、現貨量價線三法結構有疑慮,不過我是猜的,閱文者看看便罷,
小弟新手只會看圖說故事,與我對作方有利可圖 ^^"
--
夜空に星が瞬くように
溶けたこころは離れない
たとえこの手が離れても
ふたりがそれを忘れぬ限り…
--
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