開槓桿方式與程度(Life cycle invest) - ETF
By Linda
at 2022-05-06T12:13
at 2022-05-06T12:13
Table of Contents
請問各位大神 想請問對於開槓桿的理解是否有盲點
約40歲 上市公司員工 營運穩健 目前財務狀況如下(萬) :
資產 : 3200 (淨值1400 負債1800 ; 含房貸信貸)
目標 : 2032(十年後) 資產6000.
每年自由現金(扣除開銷 & 貸款償還) 約可存 : 120. (如果有調升的薪水就拿來花)
股票現值約1400 (其中資金來源 , 自有資金1000 信貸400) :
500 NTD (US大盤)
900 NTD (TW大盤)
房產 :
400 頭款 ; 貸款 1400
假設房產不變(不算入資產漲跌) ;
模擬股票報酬率 年複合 7% 加上再投入每年120 (預計US40 + TW80)
這樣算起來十年後大約股票資產 = 4420 離目標6000 還滿遠的.
由於報酬率沒有把握 想開槓桿 來加速達成目標 :
目前 槓桿 1400 1800 已經是 2.28倍 ; 試算過大約需要變成 1400 2400 槓桿2.71倍.
方法一 : 再借入 600 貸款.
方法二 : 改持有大盤槓桿ETF(2X) , 將900 拆成 300現股 + 600槓桿.
以上兩種方法都效果類似(?) 請問這樣思考是否有盲點 或者更好的建議呢 謝謝大神.
PS. 假設年複合報酬7% 我知道有風險 就先當作會成立吧.
--
約40歲 上市公司員工 營運穩健 目前財務狀況如下(萬) :
資產 : 3200 (淨值1400 負債1800 ; 含房貸信貸)
目標 : 2032(十年後) 資產6000.
每年自由現金(扣除開銷 & 貸款償還) 約可存 : 120. (如果有調升的薪水就拿來花)
股票現值約1400 (其中資金來源 , 自有資金1000 信貸400) :
500 NTD (US大盤)
900 NTD (TW大盤)
房產 :
400 頭款 ; 貸款 1400
假設房產不變(不算入資產漲跌) ;
模擬股票報酬率 年複合 7% 加上再投入每年120 (預計US40 + TW80)
這樣算起來十年後大約股票資產 = 4420 離目標6000 還滿遠的.
由於報酬率沒有把握 想開槓桿 來加速達成目標 :
目前 槓桿 1400 1800 已經是 2.28倍 ; 試算過大約需要變成 1400 2400 槓桿2.71倍.
方法一 : 再借入 600 貸款.
方法二 : 改持有大盤槓桿ETF(2X) , 將900 拆成 300現股 + 600槓桿.
以上兩種方法都效果類似(?) 請問這樣思考是否有盲點 或者更好的建議呢 謝謝大神.
PS. 假設年複合報酬7% 我知道有風險 就先當作會成立吧.
--
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