長期投資路上的疑問 - 投資

By Heather
at 2022-04-29T22:32
at 2022-04-29T22:32
Table of Contents
各位大大好,小弟是新人想進行長期指數化投資,有幾個一直不太懂但很基本的疑問想請
益(小弟講話比較不懂修飾 但絕非引戰 如有用詞讓您不舒服之處還請原諒)
1. 所有夏普值,beta,標準差這類數值都是衡量然後量化某基金過去一段時間的曲線。
大家利用這些過去的資料進行資產配置找出所謂的效率前沿,但嘲笑買QQQ是用後照鏡開
車,請問這兩者行為本質上有何不同?
2. 長期持有大盤指數ETF如0050,VTI,甚至VT是假設(1)經濟跟股市長期向上,而不是
像日本失落20年長期向下(2)人不可能預知漲跌擇時進場。
由此延伸出來研究說一次投入比分批投入報酬率好,以及開槓桿一次到位股票曝險比例等
等的應用,但人類真的不可能知道現在是相對高點而hold住資金等待相對低點再進場嗎?
例如參考愛榭克藉由總經推出的景氣循環階段而判斷現在該減持或增持?
謝謝大家
--
益(小弟講話比較不懂修飾 但絕非引戰 如有用詞讓您不舒服之處還請原諒)
1. 所有夏普值,beta,標準差這類數值都是衡量然後量化某基金過去一段時間的曲線。
大家利用這些過去的資料進行資產配置找出所謂的效率前沿,但嘲笑買QQQ是用後照鏡開
車,請問這兩者行為本質上有何不同?
2. 長期持有大盤指數ETF如0050,VTI,甚至VT是假設(1)經濟跟股市長期向上,而不是
像日本失落20年長期向下(2)人不可能預知漲跌擇時進場。
由此延伸出來研究說一次投入比分批投入報酬率好,以及開槓桿一次到位股票曝險比例等
等的應用,但人類真的不可能知道現在是相對高點而hold住資金等待相對低點再進場嗎?
例如參考愛榭克藉由總經推出的景氣循環階段而判斷現在該減持或增持?
謝謝大家
--
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