這波殺盤就到此為止了. - 股票QA

By Gilbert
at 2022-05-18T12:08

Table of Contents

費半已經止跌回穩.台股也跌無可跌.
156xx只能證明台股很強.

貼文在重貼.
費半第二波已經跌了-32%.跟2011的那波跌幅-31.5%差不多.
但是2004的-37.5%差了一點點.
如果費半在此跌幅完成.哪下三個月繼續漲破前高(4068)機會很高.
電子破840也是輕而易舉. 台股17000差不多.

這盤我認為只是第二波修正.並非崩盤.
崩盤絕對是在降息循環時候.並非升息循環.

台股三年後30000.
這裡我還是再重申好了.
我看好道瓊3年後10萬點.
NASDAQ 4-5萬點

05/14 刪文重貼
NASDAQ和費半已經完成修正.看到費半nasdaq長下影線你不害怕嗎?
台股也只是走一個第二波的修正波.
很多人夢想台股道13000.我後來看下.應該是不可能.
原因就是美國歐洲已經跌完. 亞股也差不多了.
台股這種跌幅強和程度僅次美股.

歷史上升息完就是跌六周.上周已經是第六周了。
接下來就是走第三波多頭。還是可以走兩年。
當然３－１可能只是震盪。　１５６００－１８０００。
第三波滿足點就是我之前說的。
１５６００＊１。４６＝２２７７６
走到第五波應該是三萬。相當恐怖。

當然如果第二波還沒走完.走到13000.也是可以.
那台股高點不高. 19000吧.

這盤如果這裡崩盤我就覺得奇怪.因為往崩盤是在降息時後.
因此我是覺得不會崩盤.

1990,2000,2008,2020.
哪一個崩盤不是在降息循環時候? 目前還在升息循環.聯準會要升到5-6%.
而且有些國家崩盤都是-50%UP. 這裡才-2X%.
https://imgur.com/a/MltduTp

再來看看貨幣供給.
https://index.ndc.gov.tw/n/zh_tw/data/eco/index#/
1980後貨幣供給都是直線上升.
1980沒人在講QE.事實上政府就是在QE.

--

Tags: 股票

All Comments

By David
at 2022-05-16T18:22

加入跟著鄉民空爆年底肯定大賺下看八千點

By Gary
at 2022-05-19T01:58

哦

By Jake
at 2022-05-16T18:22

你空手齁

By Ethan
at 2022-05-19T01:58

好漲三天這樣說跌三天再看看怎麼說

By Iris
at 2022-05-16T18:22

喔

By Leila
at 2022-05-19T01:58

感覺是反串

By Quintina
at 2022-05-16T18:22

烏軍到反攻至俄國邊境了，你還看空?

By Callum
at 2022-05-19T01:58

好噴噴

By Blanche
at 2022-05-16T18:22

三年都喊出來了....

By George
at 2022-05-19T01:58

你終於知道了@@

By Dinah
at 2022-05-16T18:22

…恩情緒做股感覺會噴

By Queena
at 2022-05-19T01:58

降息是放水，升息是緊縮，你有沒有搞錯

By Ida
at 2022-05-16T18:22

至少也先漲回萬七吧

By Gilbert
at 2022-05-19T01:58

開始全面樂觀?

By Delia
at 2022-05-16T18:22

跟股版反著做

By Gary
at 2022-05-19T01:58

推升息隨時可以停沒人在升息的時候崩盤的啦
拉回就是買點
信仰不足的多去看愛榭克文章儲值

By Xanthe
at 2022-05-16T18:22

奇文共賞

By Christine
at 2022-05-19T01:58

ok 大家兩萬見

By Emma
at 2022-05-16T18:22

你怎麼不早說？

By Kelly
at 2022-05-19T01:58

大大真猛應該賺了很多錢

By Genevieve
at 2022-05-16T18:22

好反彈就到這邊丸子

By Caroline
at 2022-05-19T01:58

整天亂喊欠噓
今天電子弱成這樣還輕而易舉

By Jack
at 2022-05-16T18:22

看空的人越多反彈的就越猛

By Carol
at 2022-05-19T01:58

兄弟你套在萬8 套多少錢啊

By Sierra Rose
at 2022-05-16T18:22

股票漲上去需要錢，請問錢哪裡來

By Lily
at 2022-05-19T01:58

這個ID要給尊重

By Blanche
at 2022-05-16T18:22

那你歐硬了沒

By Olive
at 2022-05-19T01:58

舒服

By Cara
at 2022-05-16T18:22

雖然像反串但部分同意

By Daph Bay
at 2022-05-19T01:58

彈了600才出來會不會太慢

By Heather
at 2022-05-16T18:22

笑死反彈當多頭

By Olga
at 2022-05-19T01:58

好

By Harry
at 2022-05-16T18:22

看來快到反彈滿足點了

By Annie
at 2022-05-19T01:58

跟你說晚上美股會回檔撐過星期五的再說吧

By Sarah
at 2022-05-16T18:22

好哦

By Caitlin
at 2022-05-19T01:58

崩 ..崩潰了。哥你不要這樣啦！

By Barb Cronin
at 2022-05-16T18:22

先撐過今晚跌再說

By Annie
at 2022-05-19T01:58

每天量縮，套牢的都app等兩萬點了
都刪＊

By Queena
at 2022-05-16T18:22

死貓跳啦

By Rebecca
at 2022-05-19T01:58

希望了謝謝信心喊話

By Delia
at 2022-05-16T18:22

反串

By Puput
at 2022-05-19T01:58

還真看不出來你是反串還是認真的

By Connor
at 2022-05-16T18:22

散戶最終都會。。追高殺低。。。。。。。

By Hardy
at 2022-05-19T01:58

呵頭信接刀接成這樣你說歪資要幫他解套

By Sarah
at 2022-05-16T18:22

反串嗎

By Eden
at 2022-05-19T01:58

我知道!! 是手指支撐線!!

By Rebecca
at 2022-05-16T18:22

5/1已經預告落底: https://imgur.com/UczSCmK

By Suhail Hany
at 2022-05-19T01:58

殺完可以繼續被線鴨爆

By Agatha
at 2022-05-16T18:22

三萬沒問題不過我等12686

By Jake
at 2022-05-19T01:58

感覺今天很多韭韭會進場

By Agatha
at 2022-05-16T18:22

整個ptt都看空你會贏

By Charlie
at 2022-05-19T01:58

韭韭還有錢？

By Una
at 2022-05-16T18:22

馬屁精官員要做520行情，星期五拉高就給它空

By Isabella
at 2022-05-19T01:58

上看二萬

By Jake
at 2022-05-16T18:22

噴爆啊

By Lauren
at 2022-05-19T01:58

只能用反串刷存在了嗎 QQ

By Dinah
at 2022-05-16T18:22

丸子

By Elizabeth
at 2022-05-19T01:58

丸

By Dora
at 2022-05-16T18:22

520總不能輸得太難看
每次不是吹噓台股難波萬

By Adele
at 2022-05-19T01:58

對是否跌勢到這為止抱持疑問，但是認同升息可控不
會崩太慘烈，但是降息會

By Anthony
at 2022-05-16T18:22

全世界一同慶祝520

By Megan
at 2022-05-19T01:58

就職典禮至少要保留顏面
520就給空下去

By Kelly
at 2022-05-16T18:22

A你分析真的有夠爛又不準還敢發文然後升息不會崩
是倒果為因把反彈當多頭訊號也太好笑了

By Robert
at 2022-05-19T01:58

都反彈要到壓力位了才在看多買入？不要害人了

By Margaret
at 2022-05-16T18:22

漲回萬7大家就拼逃跑了，誰會做多到萬8啦

By Quanna
at 2022-05-19T01:58

撐過六月第一周再說

By Damian
at 2022-05-16T18:22

台股底部確立爽爽噴

By Yedda
at 2022-05-19T01:58

All in 財富自由趁現在

By Poppy
at 2022-05-16T18:22

看誰要留下來洗碗了

By Yedda
at 2022-05-19T01:58

跌的時候不敢買現在再來追高賠錢就是這麼簡單

By Andy
at 2022-05-16T18:22

這個月絕對噴爆回萬八

By Donna
at 2022-05-19T01:58

要噴惹

By Ivy
at 2022-05-16T18:22

長多滿倉 all in

By Joe
at 2022-05-19T01:58

等跌破萬五484又變了

By Lily
at 2022-05-16T18:22

準備上看兩萬點

By Irma
at 2022-05-19T01:58

就是現在！

By Catherine
at 2022-05-16T18:22

回萬7最快禮拜五慢一點就下禮拜

By Mary
at 2022-05-19T01:58

https://i.imgur.com/2CFBoKI.jpg

By Irma
at 2022-05-16T18:22

這篇出來代表還沒跌完

By Kyle
at 2022-05-19T01:58

應該就反彈而已

By Ophelia
at 2022-05-16T18:22

你會輸到脫褲子

By Oliver
at 2022-05-19T01:58

給你喘口氣而已不要不信

By Kyle
at 2022-05-16T18:22

歷史總是一再重演，難怪每次崩都一堆韭菜

By William
at 2022-05-19T01:58

你歐印的對帳單呢？

By Michael
at 2022-05-16T18:22

什麼幾天後 15000 幾個月後 18000 幾年後 30000
當你存在預測的欲望就是虧的開始

By Blanche
at 2022-05-19T01:58

下個月16號前希望你都能這麼樂觀

By Ida
at 2022-05-16T18:22

這種文出來代表彈的差不多了

By Hardy
at 2022-05-19T01:58

看漲說漲

By Tracy
at 2022-05-16T18:22

裝睡的空蛙叫不醒...

By Aaliyah
at 2022-05-19T01:58

你想多了根本沒量，看起來像迴光返照

By Susan
at 2022-05-16T18:22

馬屁精官員捧520行情，記得要跑

By Anthony
at 2022-05-19T01:58

講個數字就專業能力惹? 就預測大師了? 還不是猜的

By Ula
at 2022-05-16T18:22

那我們也能說30年後十萬點震古鑠金比誰數字大

By Ursula
at 2022-05-19T01:58

個股都會反彈了

By Hardy
at 2022-05-16T18:22

財富自由就靠這一波了

By Susan
at 2022-05-19T01:58

時間大師

By Rae
at 2022-05-16T18:22

感覺這波是黑手嘎空盤

By Ursula
at 2022-05-19T01:58

還不夠

By Steve
at 2022-05-16T18:22

三餐要吃什麼都不知道了還三年

By Catherine
at 2022-05-19T01:58

不要問

By Genevieve
at 2022-05-16T18:22

週五你就哭了

By John
at 2022-05-19T01:58

收到打收到

By Madame
at 2022-05-16T18:22

當初那幾天恐慌時果然最低點唉

By Lily
at 2022-05-19T01:58

昨天聽我話進場抄底的今天簡直接近財務自由

By Robert
at 2022-05-16T18:22

沒量是在喊爽的

By Mia
at 2022-05-19T01:58

收到打收到

By Xanthe
at 2022-05-16T18:22

反串？

By Thomas
at 2022-05-19T01:58

驚驚漲漲了一段才要追

By Sarah
at 2022-05-16T18:22

手指支撐線XDDD

By Ophelia
at 2022-05-19T01:58

舒服文？

By Elvira
at 2022-05-16T18:22

蘇胡

By Kristin
at 2022-05-19T01:58

反串功力太差

By Joseph
at 2022-05-16T18:22

台股先到三萬還是納斯達克先到三萬誰可以跟我說

By Emma
at 2022-05-19T01:58

今天拉高結算，明天開殺，不要不信

By Michael
at 2022-05-16T18:22

費半今晚才是重點

By Skylar Davis
at 2022-05-19T01:58

前高過不了，就下去。那就下降趨勢沒改變

By Linda
at 2022-05-16T18:22

飯可以亂吃，話不能亂講…此文一出馬上殺給你看

By Dorothy
at 2022-05-19T01:58

大家都是等解套然後減碼,這種氛圍誰要當笨蛋去拉?

By Hedda
at 2022-05-16T18:22

上次30印鈔無限印，這次搞了啥

By Adele
at 2022-05-19T01:58

你也是轉折之王嗎

By Valerie
at 2022-05-16T18:22

重點都在有一篇我砍掉的文.這邊只是皮毛
重點都在有一篇我砍掉的文.這邊只是皮毛

By Candice
at 2022-05-19T01:58

死貓跳當空頭轉折點，我看你很猛喔

By Iris
at 2022-05-16T18:22

才怪是反彈到此為止

By Elma
at 2022-05-19T01:58

哈哈下禮拜就看你會講啥

By Erin
at 2022-05-16T18:22

降息才是買點怎麼會在那邊跌

By Megan
at 2022-05-19T01:58

忘了縮表？

By Sarah
at 2022-05-16T18:22

我信你了哈哈

By Gary
at 2022-05-19T01:58

跟了！滿倉！！

By Rae
at 2022-05-16T18:22

下殺是一段打底又是一段尤其打底最是討人厭上上
下下洗到你懷疑人生大概吧….

By Jacky
at 2022-05-19T01:58

跟上

By Hardy
at 2022-05-16T18:22

你可以閉嘴嗎上三萬你是壓身家沒沒有就閉嘴

By Lily
at 2022-05-19T01:58

對照今天股版氛圍，應該反轉在即

By Victoria
at 2022-05-16T18:22

https://i.imgur.com/jQNbovS.png
https://i.imgur.com/JV5a8P2.png

By Carol
at 2022-05-19T01:58

慘了這篇文一出....

By Queena
at 2022-05-16T18:22

別忘了六月還有縮表

By Jack
at 2022-05-19T01:58

昨天美股是最後的人道走廊，再來的一個月又是15-20%
的跌幅

By Lydia
at 2022-05-16T18:22

底部反彈

By Dinah
at 2022-05-19T01:58

這篇反串騙人做多不可取

By Vanessa
at 2022-05-16T18:22

大驚小怪，跌深反彈而已。

By John
at 2022-05-19T01:58

至少也是b波反彈.

By Ida
at 2022-05-16T18:22

這樣太費力韭菜就是邊割邊扶三萬點回檔韭菜會死透

By Harry
at 2022-05-19T01:58

反向畢業文

By Franklin
at 2022-05-16T18:22

三年三萬不可能十年還有點希望 2032 3萬點

By Kristin
at 2022-05-19T01:58

不要反串

By Una
at 2022-05-16T18:22

反彈波但不排出V轉出現技術分析都是落後指標

By Lily
at 2022-05-19T01:58

升息難V轉只是反彈

By Yedda
at 2022-05-16T18:22

外資今年賣多少了！台股繼續噴誰出錢？

By Edith
at 2022-05-19T01:58

乎空乎多好忙

By Cara
at 2022-05-16T18:22

50反一打底完成，線超美

By Tracy
at 2022-05-19T01:58

反的很爛

By Ivy
at 2022-05-16T18:22

所以你歐印了嗎

By Andrew
at 2022-05-19T01:58

丸子本來可以反彈到月線但你發了這篇就不好說

By Zanna
at 2022-05-16T18:22

完了反指標開始發威

By Lauren
at 2022-05-19T01:58

三小XD

By Tom
at 2022-05-16T18:22

先看16500，再看18600

By Mason
at 2022-05-19T01:58

無腦多好簡單

By Caitlin
at 2022-05-16T18:22

https://i.imgur.com/qzFKEM4.jpg

By Isla
at 2022-05-19T01:58

嘴砲王

By Lucy
at 2022-05-16T18:22

這個月反攻2萬大家說好噗好

By Elizabeth
at 2022-05-19T01:58

看來殺不夠多

By Xanthe
at 2022-05-16T18:22

紅髮登場

By Enid
at 2022-05-19T01:58

就你最敢喊

By Jack
at 2022-05-16T18:22

舒服文一出

By Carol
at 2022-05-19T01:58

什麼東西

By Andy
at 2022-05-16T18:22

你是不是偷偷空

By Eden
at 2022-05-19T01:58

開始舒服挫賽

By Donna
at 2022-05-16T18:22

你是不是被嘎很慘出來反串

By Rachel
at 2022-05-19T01:58

下禮拜百點跌停腥風血雨奪命回馬槍老酥大獲全勝

By Jake
at 2022-05-16T18:22

反彈而已就這麼樂觀

By Daph Bay
at 2022-05-19T01:58

到此為止是你說的算??

By Emma
at 2022-05-16T18:22

萬六跌無可跌

By Franklin
at 2022-05-19T01:58

看到這種文我超怕

By Gary
at 2022-05-16T18:22

三年會上十萬的對吧..對吧？

By Ophelia
at 2022-05-19T01:58

彈個一兩週後繼續破底

By Damian
at 2022-05-16T18:22

股市先殺後拉抬！要3萬前先3千！送給你

By Joseph
at 2022-05-19T01:58

阿哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈哈

By Erin
at 2022-05-16T18:22

拜託你多買一點

By Catherine
at 2022-05-19T01:58

...

By Heather
at 2022-05-16T18:22

恭喜，要拐頭了

By Todd Johnson
at 2022-05-19T01:58

08年就是升息到雷曼破產

By Heather
at 2022-05-16T18:22

會不會崩不知道，但在升息力度和戰爭狀況不惡化下，
股市的確該進入反彈，大空頭也會出現反彈波，一直沒
反彈反而詭異

By Lydia
at 2022-05-19T01:58

空八蛙、空你七蛙站出來！

By Ivy
at 2022-05-16T18:22

我反而不希望太早反彈耶，我Vti 還沒買夠

By Thomas
at 2022-05-19T01:58

大空頭之前會反彈個10-15%讓你逃命用

By Dinah
at 2022-05-16T18:22

蒸.蚌...我.也.覺.得.

By Victoria
at 2022-05-19T01:58

讚，支持

By Edward Lewis
at 2022-05-16T18:22

世界怎麼跟的上台股

By Sierra Rose
at 2022-05-19T01:58

外資台海穩定有一定疑濾到三萬很難

By Dora
at 2022-05-16T18:22

疑慮

By Mary
at 2022-05-19T01:58

訊號來惹！大漲三天多蛙不請自來XD

By Isla
at 2022-05-16T18:22

你以為不跌就一定要漲嗎

By Yuri
at 2022-05-19T01:58

拉高結算辣

By William
at 2022-05-16T18:22

各位看在我面子上殺盤到此為止好嗎!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

By Steve
at 2022-05-19T01:58

感覺

By Sandy
at 2022-05-16T18:22

慘了鄉民喊多了

By Blanche
at 2022-05-19T01:58

例外是升息循環又滯脹

By Elizabeth
at 2022-05-16T18:22

PTT&同學會只要看多理由再鳥都一堆人推

By Kyle
at 2022-05-19T01:58

這盤也是可能到13000.這樣比較好

By Agnes
at 2022-05-16T18:22

台股還會有一波殺盤

By Hedy
at 2022-05-19T01:58

換手完成可以開始再割韭菜了

By Megan
at 2022-05-16T18:22

應該漲到5萬點吧

By Belly
at 2022-05-19T01:58

收到 all in

By Iris
at 2022-05-16T18:22

作文這麼認真給推

By Zora
at 2022-05-19T01:58

結果今天米股又大跌了

By Ida
at 2022-05-16T18:22

三萬點？做夢嗎？太小看太小看台股了
上看六萬點

By Hedwig
at 2022-05-19T01:58

賠到快哭死了

By Elizabeth
at 2022-05-16T18:22

先來朝聖

By Zora
at 2022-05-19T01:58

Joke，下去

By Hedwig
at 2022-05-16T18:22

看看你多慘

By Olivia
at 2022-05-19T01:58

下去

By Audriana
at 2022-05-16T18:22

有人能告訴我他究竟是認真的還是反串的嗎?

By Candice
at 2022-05-19T01:58

連拉月結都看不懂打一堆浪費時間

By Jessica
at 2022-05-16T18:22

跌無可跌？腦袋裝屎吧

By Hardy
at 2022-05-19T01:58

記得害你賠錢的ID

By Lily
at 2022-05-16T18:22

真準，對做明燈

By Daniel
at 2022-05-19T01:58

笑死

By Ethan
at 2022-05-16T18:22

笑死你是用感覺在抓嗎每次都抓錯

By Bethany
at 2022-05-19T01:58

這次會連跌1年不要硬凹

By Emma
at 2022-05-16T18:22

20204/21 發文說要主跌被嘎了2年XD

By Kristin
at 2022-05-19T01:58

現在發止跌文大概要被殺2年

這波殺盤就到此為止了. - 股票QA

All Comments

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