認真覺得FB、LINE的訂閱很搞笑 - 股票

By Emily
at 2019-01-20T23:16
at 2019-01-20T23:16
Table of Contents
加入了幾個FB社團討論區,裡面時常有老師或高手推薦
例如這周要鎖定哪幾隻 然後可能推薦個5隻這樣
也看了幾個FB、LINE 粉專網紅平日的推薦,明日看漲哪幾隻這樣
我是沒訂閱,但觀察了一陣子真的覺得這些人遲早被看破手腳
基本上我覺得 只要推薦超過1隻以上 2支是極限了 多了就很瞎
股票市場某方面也是零和遊戲 若單純用二分法
大數法則下 每天漲或跌的股票數長久下來會趨近於各50%
簡化來說 每天會有一半的股票漲 一半的股票跌
所以若你只推薦一支 這支明天漲的機率本來就有50%了
若推薦兩支 至少有一支漲的機率有 75%
推薦三支至少有一支漲的機遇快到90% 以此類推
常看到很多自稱高手的 一截圖下來推薦都10檔左右
這根本搞笑 其中只要有一支漲幅不錯 就可以拿來說嘴
那其他大多數跌的呢? 到時一定裝沒事忽略阿
重點是一般追蹤的散戶 推薦給你10檔 其中有1檔會大漲
但你要怎麼猜到是哪一檔? 你資金有這麼多每一檔都去壓?
希望大家能早點看破
--
例如這周要鎖定哪幾隻 然後可能推薦個5隻這樣
也看了幾個FB、LINE 粉專網紅平日的推薦,明日看漲哪幾隻這樣
我是沒訂閱,但觀察了一陣子真的覺得這些人遲早被看破手腳
基本上我覺得 只要推薦超過1隻以上 2支是極限了 多了就很瞎
股票市場某方面也是零和遊戲 若單純用二分法
大數法則下 每天漲或跌的股票數長久下來會趨近於各50%
簡化來說 每天會有一半的股票漲 一半的股票跌
所以若你只推薦一支 這支明天漲的機率本來就有50%了
若推薦兩支 至少有一支漲的機率有 75%
推薦三支至少有一支漲的機遇快到90% 以此類推
常看到很多自稱高手的 一截圖下來推薦都10檔左右
這根本搞笑 其中只要有一支漲幅不錯 就可以拿來說嘴
那其他大多數跌的呢? 到時一定裝沒事忽略阿
重點是一般追蹤的散戶 推薦給你10檔 其中有1檔會大漲
但你要怎麼猜到是哪一檔? 你資金有這麼多每一檔都去壓?
希望大家能早點看破
--
Tags:
股票
All Comments

By Heather
at 2019-01-22T15:56
at 2019-01-22T15:56

By Gilbert
at 2019-01-25T03:50
at 2019-01-25T03:50

By Dorothy
at 2019-01-29T05:33
at 2019-01-29T05:33

By Hedda
at 2019-02-02T01:29
at 2019-02-02T01:29

By Wallis
at 2019-02-03T07:10
at 2019-02-03T07:10

By Anthony
at 2019-02-03T21:37
at 2019-02-03T21:37

By Joseph
at 2019-02-06T10:32
at 2019-02-06T10:32

By Connor
at 2019-02-08T16:34
at 2019-02-08T16:34

By Elvira
at 2019-02-11T18:21
at 2019-02-11T18:21

By Margaret
at 2019-02-15T14:03
at 2019-02-15T14:03

By Irma
at 2019-02-18T08:01
at 2019-02-18T08:01

By Carolina Franco
at 2019-02-19T06:30
at 2019-02-19T06:30

By Olive
at 2019-02-21T10:09
at 2019-02-21T10:09

By Ursula
at 2019-02-24T01:05
at 2019-02-24T01:05

By Sierra Rose
at 2019-02-25T12:14
at 2019-02-25T12:14

By Olivia
at 2019-02-27T16:51
at 2019-02-27T16:51

By Selena
at 2019-02-27T20:39
at 2019-02-27T20:39

By Wallis
at 2019-03-03T07:37
at 2019-03-03T07:37

By Steve
at 2019-03-06T09:12
at 2019-03-06T09:12

By Quintina
at 2019-03-09T19:49
at 2019-03-09T19:49

By Thomas
at 2019-03-13T03:39
at 2019-03-13T03:39

By Frederic
at 2019-03-17T23:13
at 2019-03-17T23:13

By Ivy
at 2019-03-20T16:41
at 2019-03-20T16:41

By Dinah
at 2019-03-24T06:49
at 2019-03-24T06:49

By Jacob
at 2019-03-25T01:56
at 2019-03-25T01:56

By Rae
at 2019-03-28T17:41
at 2019-03-28T17:41

By Eartha
at 2019-03-28T19:31
at 2019-03-28T19:31

By Sarah
at 2019-03-29T08:31
at 2019-03-29T08:31

By Jack
at 2019-03-30T03:58
at 2019-03-30T03:58

By Skylar Davis
at 2019-03-30T23:14
at 2019-03-30T23:14

By Kristin
at 2019-03-31T15:25
at 2019-03-31T15:25

By Lily
at 2019-04-02T00:08
at 2019-04-02T00:08

By Hedda
at 2019-04-03T09:38
at 2019-04-03T09:38

By Genevieve
at 2019-04-08T06:06
at 2019-04-08T06:06

By Lauren
at 2019-04-11T16:38
at 2019-04-11T16:38

By Edwina
at 2019-04-11T21:20
at 2019-04-11T21:20

By Sierra Rose
at 2019-04-13T01:13
at 2019-04-13T01:13

By Adele
at 2019-04-14T04:58
at 2019-04-14T04:58

By Kumar
at 2019-04-18T11:40
at 2019-04-18T11:40

By Delia
at 2019-04-20T09:39
at 2019-04-20T09:39

By Charlie
at 2019-04-22T13:20
at 2019-04-22T13:20

By Agnes
at 2019-04-22T23:45
at 2019-04-22T23:45

By Dorothy
at 2019-04-24T19:21
at 2019-04-24T19:21

By Aaliyah
at 2019-04-28T12:21
at 2019-04-28T12:21

By Charlotte
at 2019-05-03T05:05
at 2019-05-03T05:05

By Anthony
at 2019-05-06T22:51
at 2019-05-06T22:51

By Jacky
at 2019-05-09T11:05
at 2019-05-09T11:05

By Agatha
at 2019-05-10T12:17
at 2019-05-10T12:17

By Hamiltion
at 2019-05-11T08:40
at 2019-05-11T08:40

By Elma
at 2019-05-15T06:42
at 2019-05-15T06:42

By Emily
at 2019-05-18T06:10
at 2019-05-18T06:10

By Kristin
at 2019-05-21T14:50
at 2019-05-21T14:50

By Frederica
at 2019-05-25T05:07
at 2019-05-25T05:07

By Liam
at 2019-05-29T13:21
at 2019-05-29T13:21

By Sandy
at 2019-05-31T15:39
at 2019-05-31T15:39

By John
at 2019-06-05T13:17
at 2019-06-05T13:17

By Franklin
at 2019-06-06T01:01
at 2019-06-06T01:01

By Thomas
at 2019-06-10T14:46
at 2019-06-10T14:46

By Charlie
at 2019-06-13T22:19
at 2019-06-13T22:19

By Enid
at 2019-06-14T12:18
at 2019-06-14T12:18

By Barb Cronin
at 2019-06-18T04:08
at 2019-06-18T04:08

By Wallis
at 2019-06-19T18:24
at 2019-06-19T18:24

By Iris
at 2019-06-20T00:34
at 2019-06-20T00:34

By Candice
at 2019-06-24T14:54
at 2019-06-24T14:54

By Jacob
at 2019-06-26T07:08
at 2019-06-26T07:08

By Zora
at 2019-06-28T01:26
at 2019-06-28T01:26

By Andrew
at 2019-07-02T17:19
at 2019-07-02T17:19

By Rebecca
at 2019-07-05T06:55
at 2019-07-05T06:55

By Susan
at 2019-07-09T05:45
at 2019-07-09T05:45
Related Posts
期交所研議推出Nasdaq期貨

By Elvira
at 2019-01-20T23:06
at 2019-01-20T23:06
退撫基金300億 可望挹注台股

By Valerie
at 2019-01-20T23:06
at 2019-01-20T23:06
財務結構分析:長期資金比率

By Selena
at 2019-01-20T22:32
at 2019-01-20T22:32
中興翻版 傳川普封殺華為

By Sandy
at 2019-01-20T22:31
at 2019-01-20T22:31
經濟放緩引爆倒閉潮

By Madame
at 2019-01-20T21:29
at 2019-01-20T21:29