股民心聲》台積電還能買嗎? - 股票

By Todd Johnson
at 2021-01-22T00:20
at 2021-01-22T00:20
Table of Contents
1.原文連結:https://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/3418026
2.原文內容:〔財經頻道/綜合報導〕
這應該是所有股民當前最糾心的問題,台積電(2330)還能買嗎?
從去年以來,台積電以2593億元的龐大股本,股價凌厲的漲勢卻像小型股般地勇猛飆悍,
到今天收盤673元,較2020年3月24日(台北時間3月25日)美國FED宣布無限量貨幣寬鬆時
的277元,漲幅已達143%。
漲幅這麼大,很多股民老早在500元時,者就有居高思危的念頭,但台積電就是天天漲,
就算昨天美國ADR跌0.5%,今天在台股照漲不誤,台積電變成每天都是買點,錯過就要扼
腕後悔好久。
到底台積電現在能再買進嗎?1月20日台積電ADR收盤是130.64美元,若新台幣匯率用1:28
計算,ADR的價格約當新台幣731元,對照今天台股台積電的673元,ADR還比台灣母股溢價
8.6%。
美國市場給台積電這麼高的本益比,姑且不論熱錢的效應,究竟台積電值不值得這麼高價
?根據特斯拉公布的最新財報,2020 年第三季營收87.71 億美元,大增 39%,調整後每
股盈餘 0.76 美元,年增率高達 105%。特斯拉的1月20日的收盤股價是850美元。
特斯拉以其特殊的科技獲得市場高度認同,而給予超高的本益比,甚至在虧損時,也不改
投資者的態度。
台積電當前在半導體市場的地位,具有其「不可替代性」,10奈米以下製程的市佔率達
98%,不論三星或英特爾都難以挑戰台積電,全球的科技公司都排隊等台積電供應晶片,
這正是外資投資人最愛的特質,如果對照特斯拉的股價走勢,你根本無法去給台積電的股
價畫上限,ADR價格超前台股,就足以說明外國投資人對台積電的認同度。
市場的地位造就資金追捧台積電,更何況還有貨幣寬鬆的熱錢,股民們不要再用本益比的
觀念來看待台積電股價了。
3.心得/評論:我是覺得現在還可以買啦,外資都喊到800以上了,若外資喊得是真的,現在
還有100元以上的獲利空間,另外以台積電ADR的角度去分析的話,台積電股價達700元應
該是基本盤,現在買應該還是可以有獲利空間的。
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