美股恐再跌4成!華爾街大佬:標普500最慘 - 股票

By Iris
at 2020-04-06T16:32
at 2020-04-06T16:32
Table of Contents
: 再跌約1000點,因此,建議投資人應把重點放在債券上。
: 麥納德指出,受疫情重創的航空業、酒店業股票現在是高風險賭注,因為其中一些企業恐
: 永遠不會回到疫情爆發前的水平。麥納德還估計,今年美國國內生產總值(GDP)將萎縮
: 10%以上。
: 3.心得/評論:
: 麥納德警告,當失業率上升、經濟增長和企業盈利萎縮時,市場將出現另1輪恐慌
我心中有幾點疑惑
1.美國從29000跌下來的期間,病患人數跟死亡人數都遠比現在少。
2.美國現在就是統計病患人數直線上升,死亡人數直線上升
但是股市也跟著這些統計數字上升而逐漸回穩。
為什麼呢?難道股市早已在病患人數跟死亡人數上升前就提前反應了第一點嗎?
3.但新冠病毒在去年12月就開始了,中國新年期間,也就是1月就開始全國封城了,
結果美股2月繼續漲,經濟學人總編接受訪問就說投資人太樂觀了,
而美股直到3月才反應而大幅向下修正,股市不都提前反應嗎?
為什麼1月中國都封城了,直到3月才反應呢?
4.現在美股小道瓊正大漲快800點,是否又是投資人太過樂觀?
彷彿又回到2月的時候,不理中國的新冠肺炎,而刻正大漲中?
--
: 麥納德指出,受疫情重創的航空業、酒店業股票現在是高風險賭注,因為其中一些企業恐
: 永遠不會回到疫情爆發前的水平。麥納德還估計,今年美國國內生產總值(GDP)將萎縮
: 10%以上。
: 3.心得/評論:
: 麥納德警告,當失業率上升、經濟增長和企業盈利萎縮時,市場將出現另1輪恐慌
我心中有幾點疑惑
1.美國從29000跌下來的期間,病患人數跟死亡人數都遠比現在少。
2.美國現在就是統計病患人數直線上升,死亡人數直線上升
但是股市也跟著這些統計數字上升而逐漸回穩。
為什麼呢?難道股市早已在病患人數跟死亡人數上升前就提前反應了第一點嗎?
3.但新冠病毒在去年12月就開始了,中國新年期間,也就是1月就開始全國封城了,
結果美股2月繼續漲,經濟學人總編接受訪問就說投資人太樂觀了,
而美股直到3月才反應而大幅向下修正,股市不都提前反應嗎?
為什麼1月中國都封城了,直到3月才反應呢?
4.現在美股小道瓊正大漲快800點,是否又是投資人太過樂觀?
彷彿又回到2月的時候,不理中國的新冠肺炎,而刻正大漲中?
--
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