美股恐再跌4成！華爾街大佬：標普500最慘 - 股票

By Rebecca
at 2020-04-06T16:02

Table of Contents

1.原文連結：
https://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/3124326

2.原文內容：

美股恐再跌4成！華爾街大佬：標普500最慘跌至1500點

〔財經頻道／綜合報導〕武漢肺炎疫情在全球持續延燒，造成金融市場動盪，古根漢合夥
人（Guggenheim Partners）全球投資長麥納德（Scott Minerd）5日在研究報告中警告，
美股最糟糕的局面恐怕還沒到來，古根漢模型估計，在最糟糕情況下，標普500指數最慘
恐再跌1000點至1500點，潛在跌幅相當於近4成。

《Marketwatch》報導，標普500指數上週五（3日）收盤在2488點，較2月18日的高位已下
跌26.5%。麥納德警告，當失業率上升、經濟增長和企業盈利萎縮時，市場將出現另1輪恐
慌。

麥納德表示，如果盈利像預期般持續下降，那麼今年標普500成份股的合計每股收益恐降
至100美元，鑒於傳統市盈率約為15倍，這將導致標普500指數跌至1500點，即較目前水平
再跌約1000點，因此，建議投資人應把重點放在債券上。

麥納德指出，受疫情重創的航空業、酒店業股票現在是高風險賭注，因為其中一些企業恐
永遠不會回到疫情爆發前的水平。麥納德還估計，今年美國國內生產總值（GDP）將萎縮
10%以上。

3.心得/評論：
麥納德警告，當失業率上升、經濟增長和企業盈利萎縮時，市場將出現另1輪恐慌

--

Tags: 股票

All Comments

By Tristan Cohan
at 2020-04-07T05:36

已反應

By Hardy
at 2020-04-09T19:45

輸給大媽的人

By Connor
at 2020-04-13T23:36

越爛越__

By Margaret
at 2020-04-17T00:09

已

By Agnes
at 2020-04-21T13:16

大媽會處理收拾的

By Mason
at 2020-04-24T23:19

再信你我就自割

By Mason
at 2020-04-27T01:12

看看小道你他媽逗我是嗎

By Quintina
at 2020-04-27T14:05

反著看就對惹

By Catherine
at 2020-04-28T21:44

穩了

By Necoo
at 2020-04-29T00:24

奇怪我看FED的報告是2100，哪家報告說1500？？

By Freda
at 2020-05-03T04:12

何時發動記得提醒一聲

By Hedda
at 2020-05-05T05:37

現在講什麼投資人都當不怕的不到黃河心不死

By Olga
at 2020-05-09T00:28

你他媽在跌我在超...有種你滅國跌到零

By Kelly
at 2020-05-10T00:40

標普再大跌的時候不知道VIX會如何

By Freda
at 2020-05-10T12:51

想搶股啊？

By Olive
at 2020-05-14T11:49

解藥沒出來如果季財報一個比一個難看他們才會醒

By Margaret
at 2020-05-18T13:49

XDDD大家看法都好極端

By Eden
at 2020-05-23T01:45

金融海嘯等級吧

By Jessica
at 2020-05-26T13:57

空軍瑟瑟發抖

By Mason
at 2020-05-31T00:46

根本沒有大媽…

By Dinah
at 2020-06-01T03:51

上三萬點

By Tracy
at 2020-06-03T18:46

600萬人失業還不夠恐慌嗎你看看現在小道XD

By Sandy
at 2020-06-05T16:33

吃貨文

By Hamiltion
at 2020-06-09T12:54

現在到底哪個消息是真的 ....

By Hedy
at 2020-06-11T10:19

他從去年就開始講了，信他的人應該已經賺了一波

By Enid
at 2020-06-14T17:34

越爛越噴是真的

By Jake
at 2020-06-15T20:36

三萬點近在眼前，這大佬小兒傻傻的

By Emily
at 2020-06-19T01:22

太樂觀了吧至少1200

By Kristin
at 2020-06-22T22:02

已反應

By Harry
at 2020-06-23T08:11

有算到無限QE嗎？

By Ivy
at 2020-06-25T10:50

穩了

By Hazel
at 2020-06-29T05:33

有紙箱嗎

By Irma
at 2020-07-04T05:27

吃貨文一直發爽

By Mary
at 2020-07-05T01:46

做多文

By Oscar
at 2020-07-07T14:51

看來今天美股要漲到熔斷了

By Kelly
at 2020-07-10T03:25

台股有台股玩法，牧童遙指12682

By Daph Bay
at 2020-07-14T06:04

快跌下來才能撿

By Daniel
at 2020-07-17T22:42

不忍 QQ

By Tracy
at 2020-07-20T06:14

要噴漲了...

By Regina
at 2020-07-24T19:52

不要再騙人出貨給你們進貨了喔

By Charlie
at 2020-07-26T03:04

真奇怪明明有報導要有失業甚至倒閉潮大家還指望QE

By Kumar
at 2020-07-30T17:44

實體經濟又不是變魔術。。。

By Rebecca
at 2020-08-01T16:41

已。反。應

By Blanche
at 2020-08-05T13:47

穩了笑死直衝12632

By Caitlin
at 2020-08-06T07:56

台股果然世界最強

By Franklin
at 2020-08-08T17:42

這樣講我就安心做多了明天歐硬

By Joseph
at 2020-08-11T19:22

已進場

By Rebecca
at 2020-08-13T01:06

一直說很慘，結果都沒跌，是在哈摟？

By Adele
at 2020-08-13T19:37

空軍不要在股板貼一堆鬼故事害新手了QQ

By Adele
at 2020-08-18T01:22

夠膽再跌30趴阿我在超再跌30我在超
操到你滅國為止..

By Oscar
at 2020-08-18T18:51

今天漲到快2600了餒

By Annie
at 2020-08-21T02:25

還在看基本面? 嘎到你不要不要的.

By Jacky
at 2020-08-21T17:10

慘個毛一直漲

By Tracy
at 2020-08-22T07:11

現在這種文章好像在嘲諷

By Heather
at 2020-08-26T10:09

利多消息

By Hamiltion
at 2020-08-30T06:59

穩了，衝啊！

By Kristin
at 2020-08-31T06:40

再騙

By Ula
at 2020-09-04T21:30

結果馬上嘎四成

By William
at 2020-09-09T19:42

真懷念跌到熔斷，股板夜夜破萬人的盛況...

By Jack
at 2020-09-12T10:52

鬼故事滿天飛

By Skylar Davis
at 2020-09-13T07:03

什麼垃圾評論看看小道好嗎?

By Queena
at 2020-09-17T21:14

今天到窮先漲一千讓這咖閉嘴

By Isla
at 2020-09-19T18:53

台股要漲到48763了

By Donna
at 2020-09-20T19:21

無限金錢要怎麼跌，蒸發十兆美金再印十兆補回去

By Frederica
at 2020-09-21T22:31

翻譯: 美股會再漲四成

By Regina
at 2020-09-26T19:41

多軍好激動

By Rachel
at 2020-10-01T00:26

媽的! 已反應啦!! 今天有下雨,公園濕濕的!

By Olga
at 2020-10-05T02:17

買進文好爽

By James
at 2020-10-07T09:47

古根漢美術館

By Tom
at 2020-10-08T13:48

反著做就對了

By Liam
at 2020-10-11T02:47

穩了

By Jack
at 2020-10-13T13:24

騙肖

By Lauren
at 2020-10-18T01:56

已反映

By Caitlin
at 2020-10-22T06:48

越多人中美股越噴，事實擺在眼前，不會再低了

By Oliver
at 2020-10-22T10:21

傻空：乾，又來騙

By Ula
at 2020-10-23T06:02

簡單說就失業率再上去就撐不住了

By Ophelia
at 2020-10-25T08:38

我承認我就是那個怕失業潮和大銀行倒閉的傻空等1 2
個月大家開獎吧祝賺大錢

By Enid
at 2020-10-25T21:10

騙可以進場了

By Thomas
at 2020-10-27T21:23

可能要疫情趨緩才會跌了死越多人越噴上車啦

By David
at 2020-10-29T02:45

吃貨中

By Zenobia
at 2020-10-30T22:03

歐印了

By Adele
at 2020-11-02T23:29

4成！？吃貨文期貨先漲個4%壓壓驚

By Susan
at 2020-11-04T06:06

穩了啦，你各位還不上車

By Jacky
at 2020-11-04T14:02

縱使後面還會再跌，反彈波也能進場賺幾個星期便當錢
啊

By Ophelia
at 2020-11-06T03:02

好了啦

By Rae
at 2020-11-06T17:08

最氣的應該是經濟學家吧原來課本的理論都抵不過無
限QE這招

By Jacky
at 2020-11-10T13:01

也叫投資長耶怕

By Kristin
at 2020-11-14T03:43

好了啦

By Skylar Davis
at 2020-11-18T00:14

反著看財富自由

By Susan
at 2020-11-18T09:15

哈哈哈哈哈哈哈

By Catherine
at 2020-11-19T19:07

看來底部到了...

By Cara
at 2020-11-21T10:21

等到機會成本發威時才會知道誰漲誰跌

By Andy
at 2020-11-21T19:00

實體經濟那麼差股市一直漲你就知道後面多恐怖了

By Catherine
at 2020-11-21T20:08

完了要噴爆了

By Genevieve
at 2020-11-24T02:41

噴爆

By Annie
at 2020-11-27T11:20

感謝信心加持

By Caitlin
at 2020-11-29T07:05

空軍最大的鬼故事就是講不完的鬼故事

By Daph Bay
at 2020-12-01T13:06

漲到歪腰好嗎？

By Harry
at 2020-12-04T06:21

誰可以告訴我以後會怎麼樣?

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2020-12-07T08:31

美國的操作擺明把股市跟實體經濟脫鉤啊

By Frederic
at 2020-12-12T00:22

all in vix

By Zanna
at 2020-12-13T07:06

美國密技:show me the money

By Heather
at 2020-12-14T14:22

才過一天就被小道打臉。

By Selena
at 2020-12-16T09:10

鬼故事連發

By Kumar
at 2020-12-20T12:34

吃貨文 XDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD

By Joseph
at 2020-12-25T03:14

越說大家越買

By David
at 2020-12-26T14:38

今晚要漲到熔斷

By Odelette
at 2020-12-29T00:11

被大媽嘎翻...

By Lauren
at 2020-12-29T07:26

古根漢模型?????

By Connor
at 2021-01-03T06:12

越爛越噴

By David
at 2021-01-03T11:46

跌倒0好不好

By Megan
at 2021-01-06T05:45

who is ur daddy

By Erin
at 2021-01-07T15:17

嗎的亂噴

By Rebecca
at 2021-01-08T23:13

越爛越噴

By Yuri
at 2021-01-13T19:36

哈哈哈大戶嘎完傻空後終於要撿貨了嗎XD

By Todd Johnson
at 2021-01-14T16:17

你放空我歐印

By Damian
at 2021-01-16T07:10

美股跟過年後的陸股一樣呢

By Jacky
at 2021-01-18T02:24

484又想吃吃吃惹

By Ivy
at 2021-01-20T11:40

股版水準真的變滿低的　連這號人物都不知道　唉

By Ursula
at 2021-01-25T00:44

等1500又會說500 結果就是空手洗碗

By Steve
at 2021-01-27T21:06

恐恐恐

By Hamiltion
at 2021-01-30T22:08

今晚要漲到熔斷

By Ethan
at 2021-02-02T13:46

小道漲這麼多還想騙人做空呀

By Eartha
at 2021-02-03T11:42

等很久了，還不快跌

By Hazel
at 2021-02-06T05:30

好再跌4成

By Candice
at 2021-02-07T11:55

台灣又沒古根漢甘我咩係(誤

By Isabella
at 2021-02-11T13:11

一直印錢股市怎麼可能跌

By Selena
at 2021-02-15T13:26

要大漲了

By Kelly
at 2021-02-16T20:09

空軍沒人權啊

By Olivia
at 2021-02-21T06:29

漲高一點跌下來的四成才多肉

By Odelette
at 2021-02-22T01:25

已反硬全力作多

By Sandy
at 2021-02-22T03:07

要跌了沒啦!!利空一直喊爽

By Sandy
at 2021-02-25T16:29

慘了,要破前高了

By Barb Cronin
at 2021-03-02T07:47

要爆噴了

By Valerie
at 2021-03-06T16:49

不是無限QE

By Edith
at 2021-03-08T19:24

盤前已經漲800點了空蛙還在吹口哨喔

By Donna
at 2021-03-13T13:42

吃貨文，至少噴到2.5萬吧~無限手套出來了..

By Blanche
at 2021-03-17T18:30

公園地板太濕拜託先不要

By Kelly
at 2021-03-19T23:08

報復式上漲

By Aaliyah
at 2021-03-22T02:13

吃貨文

By Thomas
at 2021-03-22T03:51

結果噴上去

By Thomas
at 2021-03-24T03:32

說真的，我開始相信無線QE是萬能藥了

By Freda
at 2021-03-28T05:56

繼續印！

By Sandy
at 2021-03-31T22:38

利空不跌你說呢

By Elvira
at 2021-04-04T08:50

好好笑繼續吹反正漲訂了

By Andrew
at 2021-04-06T13:04

想吃貨？

By Rebecca
at 2021-04-07T14:19

火山式噴發

By Agnes
at 2021-04-10T22:33

小道噴爆

By Harry
at 2021-04-11T06:36

推老大

By Jack
at 2021-04-15T08:45

可以安心上車了

By Victoria
at 2021-04-18T18:38

賣掉所有股票塊陶啊

By Jack
at 2021-04-20T09:33

低能兒

By Andy
at 2021-04-23T18:40

快大家做多 3000嘍

By Michael
at 2021-04-27T08:24

好了啦空空

By Elma
at 2021-05-01T17:28

看來標普又要重回3300了

By Olive
at 2021-05-05T02:42

再跌4成?川普:我再印........................

By William
at 2021-05-06T00:36

屁啦井噴道瓊三萬點

By Mary
at 2021-05-08T13:46

鬼故事講那麼多天不累

By Elma
at 2021-05-09T02:52

要漲了啦暗示這麼明顯

By Joseph
at 2021-05-10T11:24

潮水要退了

By Hedda
at 2021-05-12T01:43

拉高就空

By Annie
at 2021-05-13T10:34

反著看，還不漲爆？

By William
at 2021-05-14T21:06

散戶有人家專業嗎？嘴什麼

By Callum
at 2021-05-19T00:29

妖股大漲，小道也跟，你跟我說再跌4成?是在hello
反著新聞做

By Yuri
at 2021-05-23T07:49

他做空，看到小道開始害怕爆倉出來講一下

By Charlie
at 2021-05-28T06:55

我覺得1700就很多了

By Anonymous
at 2021-05-30T16:37

FED印鈔機熱機中 o.o

By Edwina
at 2021-06-02T04:02

噴爆

By Todd Johnson
at 2021-06-03T06:36

快歐印vix

By Ethan
at 2021-06-07T08:34

空軍已經歐印全部身家空下去了!!!

By Necoo
at 2021-06-09T14:26

華爾街大佬上次海嘯陰影？

By Erin
at 2021-06-11T12:11

鬼故事

By Charlotte
at 2021-06-12T10:56

台股沒差

By Ophelia
at 2021-06-17T03:11

假日不是過了嗎怎還有鬼故事

By Queena
at 2021-06-21T05:40

加油喔

By Kyle
at 2021-06-22T21:28

新聞反著看

By Delia
at 2021-06-25T02:33

去年也是雷曼式雷曼式結果崩到萬二了

By Necoo
at 2021-06-29T03:01

噴

By Rebecca
at 2021-06-29T08:54

其實就算疫情趨緩但大家不出門
消費還是低迷的

By Andy
at 2021-07-01T15:38

消費嚴格也算supply chain一環
如果疫苗出來才會實質恢復

By Ingrid
at 2021-07-02T09:57

小心小道漲到熔斷喔怕

By Emily
at 2021-07-06T03:48

最多只會再跌四成喔上了上了
疫苗只要開始人體試驗底部就過了啦

By Ursula
at 2021-07-09T21:14

不要再害人了好嗎

By Brianna
at 2021-07-10T01:31

美股跌破兩萬呆股照樣漲啦

By Kelly
at 2021-07-13T21:10

吃貨

By Edwina
at 2021-07-15T14:26

很多人想撿便宜

By George
at 2021-07-20T01:53

恐..........

By Daniel
at 2021-07-22T07:36

By Anonymous
at 2021-07-23T10:49

買點到了！！淦！

By Jack
at 2021-07-24T16:02

恐怖喔快賣光光

By Blanche
at 2021-07-28T03:38

笑看這種新聞早就在低點買進了，根本跌不下去

By Quintina
at 2021-07-29T19:58

我的模型最壞五百最好五千

By Leila
at 2021-08-01T11:50

不只

By Leila
at 2021-08-06T00:12

好我歐印

By Agatha
at 2021-08-09T04:43

早就反應完了！後知後覺！

By Sarah
at 2021-08-11T21:36

不可能，川普在

By Anthony
at 2021-08-14T10:15

挖-穩了

By Frederic
at 2021-08-16T05:34

要反著看…

By Elma
at 2021-08-19T00:52

從八千五開始就很多這種文你懂的~

By Quintina
at 2021-08-23T00:09

在世界的中心呼喊幹你娘。

By Belly
at 2021-08-24T03:24

空單貼出來補推

By Aaliyah
at 2021-08-25T07:33

小感冒了，還在等崩幹嘛

By Doris
at 2021-08-25T14:22

完了完了又在誘空了

By Dinah
at 2021-08-25T19:39

11:57pm 三大指數都大漲了5%多是？？

美股恐再跌4成！華爾街大佬：標普500最慘 - 股票

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