美新冠肺炎單日新增逼近新高 德州重啟計畫 - 股票
By Leila
at 2020-06-27T21:04
at 2020-06-27T21:04
Table of Contents
目前全球確診993萬
明天大家睡醒
就會發現全球已經確診破一千萬了
: 全美昨天新增病例超過3萬6000例,只比4月24日所創的紀錄3萬6426例少了幾百例。
美國昨天是 +47341
全球 +194190
都是歷史新高
全球現在六月底就破了一千萬
如果之後每天平均15萬增加
八月底就會 +900萬
全球將近兩千萬確診
(平均15萬是很合理的 因為看起來不久就會一天+20萬...)
12月底就會 +2700萬
全球3700萬 將近四千萬確診
如果七月之後
下半年平均一天加十萬
這樣12月底是 +1800萬
全球累計約2800萬 將近三千萬確診
所以今年全球確診人數大概就是
3000-4000萬
除非各國乾脆像中國那樣直接蓋牌
確診數停在八萬不動
不然現在一天+19萬確診
你要他掉到+10萬以下
除非又要來個全球大關機
不過封了半年 全世界現在沒有一個國家有本錢繼續封鎖了
這就是我認為確診數會在每天+10-15萬以上的原因
要說對經濟的影響
是我認為最壞的情況大概都能預估出來了
畢竟已經半年過去了阿=.=
--
明天大家睡醒
就會發現全球已經確診破一千萬了
: 全美昨天新增病例超過3萬6000例,只比4月24日所創的紀錄3萬6426例少了幾百例。
美國昨天是 +47341
全球 +194190
都是歷史新高
全球現在六月底就破了一千萬
如果之後每天平均15萬增加
八月底就會 +900萬
全球將近兩千萬確診
(平均15萬是很合理的 因為看起來不久就會一天+20萬...)
12月底就會 +2700萬
全球3700萬 將近四千萬確診
如果七月之後
下半年平均一天加十萬
這樣12月底是 +1800萬
全球累計約2800萬 將近三千萬確診
所以今年全球確診人數大概就是
3000-4000萬
除非各國乾脆像中國那樣直接蓋牌
確診數停在八萬不動
不然現在一天+19萬確診
你要他掉到+10萬以下
除非又要來個全球大關機
不過封了半年 全世界現在沒有一個國家有本錢繼續封鎖了
這就是我認為確診數會在每天+10-15萬以上的原因
要說對經濟的影響
是我認為最壞的情況大概都能預估出來了
畢竟已經半年過去了阿=.=
--
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