美勞工部承認:5月失業率統計錯誤 真實?1 - 股票
By Tom
at 2020-06-07T11:58
at 2020-06-07T11:58
Table of Contents
1.原文連結:
https://amp-news.cnyes.com/news/id/4487167
2.原文內容:
週五 (5 日) 美國勞工部公布 5 月非農報告新增 250.9 萬人,失業率也下滑至 13.3%,
二項指標皆遠勝市場預期,但美國勞工部卻在數據公布後承認,5 月非農數據有「統計錯
誤」。
美國勞工部統計局週五 (5 日) 解釋,統計錯誤主要是因為在統計的過程中,誤將放「無
薪假 (furloughed)」的勞工計入「由於休假等其他原因缺勤」,而按照原本規定,事實
上只有放特休假的勞工,才可以計入「由於休假等其他原因缺勤」,因此在此統計錯誤下
,雖然美國仍有大批勞工失業,但並未計入在失業率內。
美國勞工部統計局表示,在經過統計錯誤的糾正之後,估計美國 5 月失業率將高出約 3
個百分點,意即美國 5 月失業率真實數字可能落在 16.3%,而非 13.3%;另外,勞工部
統計局亦承認,4 月的統計也出現一樣的錯誤,故修正後的 4 月失業率可能接近約 20%
。
自新冠疫情爆發以來,美國許多企業就使用無薪假來削減人事支出,而無薪假的本意是當
公司營運好轉後,公司即可召回員工上班,但市場經濟學家分析,在新冠疫情重創美國經
濟之後,估計復甦的過程可能不會這麼快,許多放無薪假的勞工們,可能將面臨更長一段
時間的長期失業。
3.心得/評論:
看來周五美國股市被川皇操控完,
周一又要回跌一波了
想上車的人機會又來了
https://amp-news.cnyes.com/news/id/4487167
2.原文內容:
週五 (5 日) 美國勞工部公布 5 月非農報告新增 250.9 萬人,失業率也下滑至 13.3%,
二項指標皆遠勝市場預期,但美國勞工部卻在數據公布後承認,5 月非農數據有「統計錯
誤」。
美國勞工部統計局週五 (5 日) 解釋,統計錯誤主要是因為在統計的過程中,誤將放「無
薪假 (furloughed)」的勞工計入「由於休假等其他原因缺勤」,而按照原本規定,事實
上只有放特休假的勞工,才可以計入「由於休假等其他原因缺勤」,因此在此統計錯誤下
,雖然美國仍有大批勞工失業,但並未計入在失業率內。
美國勞工部統計局表示,在經過統計錯誤的糾正之後,估計美國 5 月失業率將高出約 3
個百分點,意即美國 5 月失業率真實數字可能落在 16.3%,而非 13.3%;另外,勞工部
統計局亦承認,4 月的統計也出現一樣的錯誤,故修正後的 4 月失業率可能接近約 20%
。
自新冠疫情爆發以來,美國許多企業就使用無薪假來削減人事支出,而無薪假的本意是當
公司營運好轉後,公司即可召回員工上班,但市場經濟學家分析,在新冠疫情重創美國經
濟之後,估計復甦的過程可能不會這麼快,許多放無薪假的勞工們,可能將面臨更長一段
時間的長期失業。
3.心得/評論:
看來周五美國股市被川皇操控完,
周一又要回跌一波了
想上車的人機會又來了
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