綠角財經筆記參考價值高嗎? - 股票

By Edward Lewis
at 2017-08-20T00:19
at 2017-08-20T00:19
Table of Contents
※ 引述《easton (伊斯頓)》之銘言:
: 最近有拜讀綠角的部落格文章
: 他蠻推從Vanguard指數化長期投資的ETF,常常在部落格的文章中提到
: 因為內扣費用相較於主動式基金低廉,且可以精確的追蹤大盤指數
: 假設可以承受得住每年標準差的漲跌幅影響,長期下來應該獲得不錯的報酬
: 不過小弟有個疑問,在股海的世界裡,真的不會有長期走空的狀況
: 像是即便是遇到2008年的金融海嘯,只要熬的過去
: 之後大盤還是會因為鈔票越印越多、企業景氣復甦的關係拉回來
: 請問這樣的假設沒錯嗎?大家覺得呢?
from 2017 波克夏年報 sina版:
如果A組(主動投資者)和B組(被動投資者)構成總體投資市場,而且B組扣除成本前的
投資收益一定會達到平均水平,那麼A組也一定會達到平均投資收益。
成本更低的一組將獲勝。如果A組成本過高,其虧空將是巨大的。當然,長期來看,
部分有經驗的人很有可能超過標準普爾指數的表現。然而,在我的一生中,我早期發現的
這類專業人士也不過十個左右罷了,只有他們能完成這一壯舉。
毫無疑問,有成百上千的人我從未見過,他們的能力可與我認識的人相媲美。畢竟,
跑贏大盤並非不可能
巴菲特說在他一生中發現可以長期超越大盤的只有10人左右,但贏大盤並非不可能
不知道大家覺得台灣的專業投資人,有多少人可以持續贏過大盤呢?
--
: 最近有拜讀綠角的部落格文章
: 他蠻推從Vanguard指數化長期投資的ETF,常常在部落格的文章中提到
: 因為內扣費用相較於主動式基金低廉,且可以精確的追蹤大盤指數
: 假設可以承受得住每年標準差的漲跌幅影響,長期下來應該獲得不錯的報酬
: 不過小弟有個疑問,在股海的世界裡,真的不會有長期走空的狀況
: 像是即便是遇到2008年的金融海嘯,只要熬的過去
: 之後大盤還是會因為鈔票越印越多、企業景氣復甦的關係拉回來
: 請問這樣的假設沒錯嗎?大家覺得呢?
from 2017 波克夏年報 sina版:
如果A組(主動投資者)和B組(被動投資者)構成總體投資市場,而且B組扣除成本前的
投資收益一定會達到平均水平,那麼A組也一定會達到平均投資收益。
成本更低的一組將獲勝。如果A組成本過高,其虧空將是巨大的。當然,長期來看,
部分有經驗的人很有可能超過標準普爾指數的表現。然而,在我的一生中,我早期發現的
這類專業人士也不過十個左右罷了,只有他們能完成這一壯舉。
毫無疑問,有成百上千的人我從未見過,他們的能力可與我認識的人相媲美。畢竟,
跑贏大盤並非不可能
巴菲特說在他一生中發現可以長期超越大盤的只有10人左右,但贏大盤並非不可能
不知道大家覺得台灣的專業投資人,有多少人可以持續贏過大盤呢?
--
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