期貨新手的虧錢心得 - 期貨

By Rosalind
at 2008-04-11T20:21
at 2008-04-11T20:21
Table of Contents
踏入期貨的第一天是3/21號..至今不過半個月
而開始理財也是從去年十月開始..不過半年..
期貨果然是個緊張刺激..沒有流血..沒有硝煙..卻會讓人頭破血流的有趣東西
踏入這個領域對我而言實在是太早了..
經過這半個月來的經驗..沒有穩定的心性..每當賺了錢就洋洋得意的我
往往在隔天.就會貪念叢生.做出追高殺低的蠢事...繳了很多學費..不懂得見好就收..
從以前就不會技術分析..到現在知道量價的重要..當然技術分析這邊以後一定要找書看的
既然不懂技術分析..那我的投資依循就是這半年來看了一堆有的沒有的經濟基本面
到目前我依然相信..短線上或許股市會與基本面背離..但趨勢上則應相符
短期內我是看空美國經濟..
理由如下
1.次貸問題真的解決了嗎?
美國的營建業..住宅銷售..一直都還在惡化..昔昔相關的房價..也是一路往下..
房價往下...房屋貸款呆帳的問題也只能越滾越大..美國的各大投資的減計也尚未
完全反應..房價越跌..呆帳越嚴重..而房價觸底了嗎
2.美國經濟的狀況
今年來美國的失業人數一再攀升.非農就業人口一再往下..消費者支出在衰減..
製造業採購支出下降....企業的經營變好了嗎
我看好台灣的經濟會越來越好...不過我總覺得未爆彈快爆了..
單純想要投機一下...
請努力鞭我吧...XD
※ 編輯: albam 來自: 118.171.236.210 (04/11 20:25)
推 kkabcd:"息息"相關~多看少做比較好! 04/11 20:25
推 mecca:嗯~~~沒有多的錯字 04/11 20:26
推 dichotomyptt:推推~~但問題就在於"技術面"告訴你要做多-3- 04/11 20:28
→ Rudy:玩期貨管美國經濟幹嘛? 04/11 21:21
→ ZAU:不及格!! 你做期貨 看空 那你有放空嗎? 沒有的話 那你看啥空 04/11 21:37
→ ZAU:你心態偏空 那你盤中看到技術線是多 那你敢下多嗎? 04/11 21:38
推 dearnce:樓上問題真是問的好! 04/11 22:03
推 piao07:誰說看空一定要做空阿... 看法分析又不等於交易 04/11 22:08
→ piao07:又不是學人家講話就比較厲害... 04/11 22:10
→ ZAU:實話實說阿 我說的很實際阿 看空不做空 代表你看錯嘛 04/11 22:12
推 gillsa520:我也不解,看空為何一定要做空 @ @? 04/11 22:13
→ gillsa520:而且他是看空美國經濟,如果台指期技術看多為何不能做多 04/11 22:14
→ gillsa520:兩個好像沒有矛盾之處啊 04/11 22:15
推 piao07:看空為何一定要做空 心裡有這樣的規劃預期就好 04/11 22:19
→ piao07:等到真的趨勢出現了 再去追打落水狗就夠了 04/11 22:19
→ ZAU:哀 標準這麼低我也沒辦法 可能我目標比較高 04/11 22:24
→ albam:我昨天就說了..一口空單跟他賭信念了>< 04/11 22:28
推 piao07:我的目標就這麼低 趨勢出現再追高殺低就夠了 不懂盤整觀望 04/11 22:29
→ albam:昨天技術指標全面翻多..收盤一口空單..9400停損>< 04/11 22:30
→ piao07:即使看空 沒看到明顯訊號趨勢還是不敢隨便進場阿 小孬孬 04/11 22:30
推 flycatchertw:建議看空也要再看技術面有訊號才進場,然後設好停損 04/11 23:30
→ flycatchertw:千萬別因為看空就空,一個月後看對,可能先抬出場了 04/11 23:31
→ milkpolo:我想應該是 當你的看法決定時 應該等待技術的訊號 04/12 00:15
→ milkpolo:而不是看是一套做是一套 04/12 00:16
→ milkpolo:我猜z是這樣的意思XD 不過你也是有空下去 04/12 00:17
噓 fakey:恭喜~看來你星期一能修成正果了~我也被嘎空嘎的緊 04/12 01:56
→ jglr7129:看空如果沒有好的進場點也該進去空嗎 04/12 02:18
→ jglr7129:我認為如果這樣 那就太漠視風報比的意義 04/12 02:19
推 newred:我倒覺得玩OP或期貨沒必要去了解這麼多理由一切會反應K線上 04/12 02:28
→ newred:趨勢在走弱的時候低點自然就會出現,相對趨勢走強高點也易現 04/12 02:30
→ newred:畢竟自己也不是業界的人,真正對次貸跟美國經濟了解多少? 04/12 02:31
推 newred:這條路想走的久只有 1.風險管理2.有策略3.相信自己的策略 04/12 02:36
推 great1978:給ZAU +1 看空不做空 是猜空 不是真的看空 PS我懂你 04/12 03:41
推 bellson:心態偏空看什麼都是空 技術分析此時已不管用 04/12 03:58
→ bellson:要脫離這個窘境好難... 04/12 03:59
→ albam:另外想請教..如果多頭時看空.有什麼方法可以小避險? 04/12 07:12
推 dyhsu:不要進場就沒有風險 04/12 10:46
→ capalu:正想說就被D大搶走了XD 連多頭都看不出來那還想賺什麼錢... 04/12 10:52
→ bigchiu0208:做生意都有風險,更何況是投資,要拼才會贏啦! 04/13 02:50
→ bigchiu0208:我也賭空單,但也被嘎到了,愛錢死好! 04/13 02:51
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期貨
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