我最近關注的一個胖博士說AI見頂比新能源要快很多 - 股票QA
By Brianna
at 2023-06-30T09:21
at 2023-06-30T09:21
Table of Contents
一位定居北京的海龜財經類博主我最近看的很多,博士學歷
他這兩天就説,有些人刻舟求劍,說新能源在歐美中國股市撐了三年,現在開始長期下跌
AI這次突破更大,至少也能2-3年的持續上漲,但是他説,其實2-3個月内必有大頂
美國經濟現在就靠AI這口氣撐住呢。以爲美國又贏來領跑世界的機會
其實,CHATGPT用戶數量已經見頂,環比下滑,人們在失去新鮮感
我已經説過,統計學黑盒的模型,仍然是大力出奇跡的能耗黑洞,
其雖然已經具有智能的跡象,但那是用人腦幾萬倍的能耗產生的算力推出來的。
前期訓練的巨大能耗,人力消耗,更是一個嬰兒訓練能耗的不知多少億倍
唯一的優勢是快速可複製性?XD
所以,股點就是AI概念股退流行就在今年年底前,和我以前的預測是一樣的
馬斯克是一樣的,極力在用密集的創新,刺激人們好似前三次工業革命榮景又重現的預期
理智一點就知道,馬斯克這些突破,跟火星定居差得太遠。
十幾年幾十年後,他的這些舉動,看起來就會和和機械時代蒸汽時代甚至木頭時代製造智能機器人的嘗試一樣
,屬於時代的塵埃。現在技術範式搞宇宙生活不可能
技術是笑話,但是馬斯克藉機從金融手段賺錢的心思我可看出來了XD
--
他這兩天就説,有些人刻舟求劍,說新能源在歐美中國股市撐了三年,現在開始長期下跌
AI這次突破更大,至少也能2-3年的持續上漲,但是他説,其實2-3個月内必有大頂
美國經濟現在就靠AI這口氣撐住呢。以爲美國又贏來領跑世界的機會
其實,CHATGPT用戶數量已經見頂,環比下滑,人們在失去新鮮感
我已經説過,統計學黑盒的模型,仍然是大力出奇跡的能耗黑洞,
其雖然已經具有智能的跡象,但那是用人腦幾萬倍的能耗產生的算力推出來的。
前期訓練的巨大能耗,人力消耗,更是一個嬰兒訓練能耗的不知多少億倍
唯一的優勢是快速可複製性?XD
所以,股點就是AI概念股退流行就在今年年底前,和我以前的預測是一樣的
馬斯克是一樣的,極力在用密集的創新,刺激人們好似前三次工業革命榮景又重現的預期
理智一點就知道,馬斯克這些突破,跟火星定居差得太遠。
十幾年幾十年後,他的這些舉動,看起來就會和和機械時代蒸汽時代甚至木頭時代製造智能機器人的嘗試一樣
,屬於時代的塵埃。現在技術範式搞宇宙生活不可能
技術是笑話,但是馬斯克藉機從金融手段賺錢的心思我可看出來了XD
--
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