懶人包看「蔡英文經濟」GDP增1.5兆海放馬 - 股票
By Kristin
at 2018-12-05T12:46
at 2018-12-05T12:46
Table of Contents
簡單來說 經濟數據解釋方式百百種 記者挑自己爽的講 就這麼簡單
先說股市
之前萬點一值高潮
結果前陣子台股創下歷史最大跌幅跌破萬點又說 國際情勢不佳
巴菲特說過 絕對不會說股市上漲是自己功勞
因為跌了就要變自己責任
台灣很簡單 美國終端市場好 台灣單就多
你換周玉蔻當總統 蘋果好 台積電大立光單就多
這過程和總統一點屁關係都沒有 和庫克還有川普比較有關
有點經濟sense就知道
蔡英文近兩年經濟增長平均(去年2.8今年估2.4) 比馬八年平均增長還低(2.8)
有人會說基期問題 但問題馬任內有次貸和歐債
蔡是超級順風呀
再說一次 台灣經濟基本就是 美國需求增加 台灣企業高潮
蔡少來沾光
來看一下 2016 5.20到 今天
美股17500 25027 43%
台股 8131 9919 22%
台股漲幅大約是美股的一半
其中台積電漲了約五成
台積電是靠自己競爭力 難道台積電7奈米獨步全球也是蔡總統功勞?
扣掉台積 台灣吃了美國大補丸訂單滿手 經濟增長還可以這麼廢 蔡也不簡單
現在全球都再創新高的年代 股市美股是每隔幾個月就創一次新高 而台灣還在手萬點
沾沾自喜
再說基本薪資 基本薪資與多數人新資沒連動 過去15年基本薪資少說漲一倍 薪水有
漲一倍嗎? 反而這波中美大戰 在本外勞無薪資脫鉤前提 多少廠商不願回來
再說外交 你親美遠中我沒意見 但是好處是什麼? 扁政府trouble maker 馬政府號稱
親中 小英政府號稱親美 這些都是嘴巴講講 實際對外銷業者有什麼影響? 難道台積電
大立光是因為小英才搶的到單? 過去則因馬扁搶不到單嗎?
今天我無意評論路線選擇 但蔡的外交就沒有實際為台灣帶來龐大的經濟利益是什麼?
就小英執政貧乏 有人想要把政績歸功小英 找不到理由只好說 都是親美的功勞
但親美真的可以帶動上兆GDP嗎? 美國經濟井噴台灣在分到一點 這樣也可以沾沾自喜
馬執政真正爛是後兩年
14年時候韓國也是經濟開始下滑 就一個產業週期變化
到16年開始上升 這個 韓國 美國都一樣啦
當然啦 馬最後兩年政不通人不何 確實對經濟有些許影響 不過還是產業週期為主
再者 要比較當然是看整體 不然經濟本來就有周期 還給你挑對自己有利的比嗎?
https://imgur.com/qwj5DOj
馬任內和扁比經濟增長率有下滑 但主要是基期與產業周期因素
新加坡下滑31%
韓國下滑43%
香港下滑51%
台灣下滑42%
實質經濟增長考量物價 台灣的基期比韓國高 但是下滑幅度卻略低
香港基期比台灣高 但也高不到哪去 但是下滑幅度比台灣大
新加坡就是屌 經濟一直高增長台灣被屌打很久了
其實馬任內純論述自與鄰近國比 不算差
好啦 我知道一堆人又要開始談感受 說馬也不好過
如果談感受就不要整天把蔡條基本薪資 股市萬點 拿數字出來講
要講感受 選票就告訴你了應該不用多講
如果要看數字 根據美麗島最新國政民調
認為經濟好的只有一成 認為經濟不好的有八成
https://imgur.com/kKyjUqh
那蔡你一直說經濟好 是要檢討人民的意思就對了
這兩年 多少是大企業賺走 分到百姓手上多少自己心裡有數
一直稱小英拼經濟
簡單問一下嗎 蔡這兩年做什麼事情顧經濟
我只看到缺電缺到 中美貿易機會卻有一堆台商不敢回來
這就跟一群吱障說蔡任內房價平穩一樣
拜託14年房地合一就開始跌了 這兩年蔡做了什麼
總之 現在美國開始升息了 世界經濟 股市放緩
之後經濟 股市變差 坐等吱障說國際情勢不佳
--
先說股市
之前萬點一值高潮
結果前陣子台股創下歷史最大跌幅跌破萬點又說 國際情勢不佳
巴菲特說過 絕對不會說股市上漲是自己功勞
因為跌了就要變自己責任
台灣很簡單 美國終端市場好 台灣單就多
你換周玉蔻當總統 蘋果好 台積電大立光單就多
這過程和總統一點屁關係都沒有 和庫克還有川普比較有關
有點經濟sense就知道
蔡英文近兩年經濟增長平均(去年2.8今年估2.4) 比馬八年平均增長還低(2.8)
有人會說基期問題 但問題馬任內有次貸和歐債
蔡是超級順風呀
再說一次 台灣經濟基本就是 美國需求增加 台灣企業高潮
蔡少來沾光
來看一下 2016 5.20到 今天
美股17500 25027 43%
台股 8131 9919 22%
台股漲幅大約是美股的一半
其中台積電漲了約五成
台積電是靠自己競爭力 難道台積電7奈米獨步全球也是蔡總統功勞?
扣掉台積 台灣吃了美國大補丸訂單滿手 經濟增長還可以這麼廢 蔡也不簡單
現在全球都再創新高的年代 股市美股是每隔幾個月就創一次新高 而台灣還在手萬點
沾沾自喜
再說基本薪資 基本薪資與多數人新資沒連動 過去15年基本薪資少說漲一倍 薪水有
漲一倍嗎? 反而這波中美大戰 在本外勞無薪資脫鉤前提 多少廠商不願回來
再說外交 你親美遠中我沒意見 但是好處是什麼? 扁政府trouble maker 馬政府號稱
親中 小英政府號稱親美 這些都是嘴巴講講 實際對外銷業者有什麼影響? 難道台積電
大立光是因為小英才搶的到單? 過去則因馬扁搶不到單嗎?
今天我無意評論路線選擇 但蔡的外交就沒有實際為台灣帶來龐大的經濟利益是什麼?
就小英執政貧乏 有人想要把政績歸功小英 找不到理由只好說 都是親美的功勞
但親美真的可以帶動上兆GDP嗎? 美國經濟井噴台灣在分到一點 這樣也可以沾沾自喜
馬執政真正爛是後兩年
14年時候韓國也是經濟開始下滑 就一個產業週期變化
到16年開始上升 這個 韓國 美國都一樣啦
當然啦 馬最後兩年政不通人不何 確實對經濟有些許影響 不過還是產業週期為主
再者 要比較當然是看整體 不然經濟本來就有周期 還給你挑對自己有利的比嗎?
https://imgur.com/qwj5DOj
馬任內和扁比經濟增長率有下滑 但主要是基期與產業周期因素
新加坡下滑31%
韓國下滑43%
香港下滑51%
台灣下滑42%
實質經濟增長考量物價 台灣的基期比韓國高 但是下滑幅度卻略低
香港基期比台灣高 但也高不到哪去 但是下滑幅度比台灣大
新加坡就是屌 經濟一直高增長台灣被屌打很久了
其實馬任內純論述自與鄰近國比 不算差
好啦 我知道一堆人又要開始談感受 說馬也不好過
如果談感受就不要整天把蔡條基本薪資 股市萬點 拿數字出來講
要講感受 選票就告訴你了應該不用多講
如果要看數字 根據美麗島最新國政民調
認為經濟好的只有一成 認為經濟不好的有八成
https://imgur.com/kKyjUqh
那蔡你一直說經濟好 是要檢討人民的意思就對了
這兩年 多少是大企業賺走 分到百姓手上多少自己心裡有數
一直稱小英拼經濟
簡單問一下嗎 蔡這兩年做什麼事情顧經濟
我只看到缺電缺到 中美貿易機會卻有一堆台商不敢回來
這就跟一群吱障說蔡任內房價平穩一樣
拜託14年房地合一就開始跌了 這兩年蔡做了什麼
總之 現在美國開始升息了 世界經濟 股市放緩
之後經濟 股市變差 坐等吱障說國際情勢不佳
--
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at 2020-07-26T16:29
at 2020-07-26T16:29
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at 2020-07-31T10:37
at 2020-07-31T10:37
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at 2020-10-23T04:09
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at 2020-10-24T01:48
at 2020-10-24T01:48
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at 2020-10-24T05:07
at 2020-10-24T05:07
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at 2020-10-25T11:53
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