愛榭克:美股將一去不回頭!絕佳買點! - 股票QA

By Kyle
at 2022-05-21T15:16
at 2022-05-21T15:16
Table of Contents
我也贊成你說的, 應該要開始分批進場,
這是我的對帳單,
我的確都沒賣也繼續買入,
https://imgur.com/81AFADb
https://imgur.com/5BwWB8b
重點買入AAPL, GOOG, TQQQ/UPRO, MSFT,
每跌10% or 5-6%就再買一次,
每個月的薪水入帳就放入本金繼續買,
我也已經把房子抵押貸出來利息3.75%,
等跌到50%就會把房子貸款的錢拿來買股票,
我一直都是認真的也一直照的我說的話在做,
但是很多人還是覺得我在騙人,我也就沒辦法了,
然後說說我最近的觀點,
我身在業界,其實並沒有發現美國景氣有變差的情況,
美國景氣目前還是蠻熱的,
"但是""但是"業界已經開始開始為景氣寒冬準備,
已經開始cost down, 裁員等,
比方說這則新聞:恐慌、大虧、爭相拋售:矽谷背地崩盤遠比股市嚴重
https://tinyurl.com/zd5pcjrz
這新聞重點在新創公司,
但是其實大公司像是臉書已經開始節省開銷凍結項目跟招聘,
網飛甚至開始裁員150人,
這讓情況跟2007-2010金融海嘯的情況非常相似,
而不是2000的dot com bubble,
板上很多強力看空的人故意導向dot com bubble,
其實這次跟dot com bubble完全不同,
即使是華爾街跟業界也很少人會把這次聯想成是dot com bubble,
因為當年dot com bubble的科技業是全部都不賺錢大賠錢,
這次的科技業是大部分都有大賺錢,
而且還是持續成長的,
像是MSFT AAPL GOOG 就是繼續成長繼續賺大錢,
結果AAPL GOOG股價莫名其妙跌到PE低於20,
為何我說這跟2007-2010金融海嘯的情況非常相似,
因為當年各大科技業也是非常賺錢的,
根本沒受到金融海嘯的影響,
但是裁員 cost down也是跟著來,
沒因為賺錢就不裁員,
當年台灣最有名的例子就是台積電的蔡力行事件,
其實當年台積電是賺大錢的,
當年美國很多賺大錢的公司也趁機裁員 cost down,
很多人說如果重回2008-2009金融海嘯的時間,
一定會壓身家歐印買房買MSFT AAPL GOOG NVDA AMD的股票,
結果現在2022年機會來了,你敢買嗎?
看到現在那斯達克跌超過30%, 就說要等跌到50%,
等跌到50%又說十年線對稱,十年前是三千點,
所以要等跌到三千點才進場,
我不管買房或是買股票,
永遠都不會買在最低點,
只要我覺得價格合理我買得起有需求,我就買,
所以我現在就是分批買進這幾隻大型科技權重股,
要是真的跌到50%以下,
我就把借出來的錢跟定存歐印進去
※ 引述《howhow801122 (傑哥)》之銘言:
: 如果是指大盤,現在進場安全性大於風險,
: 小納已經從高點跌30%,對我們這種分批進場的投資人根本天上掉下來的禮物
: 從高點開始算起每跌10%進場一次
: 最近跌到30%我又在進場一次
: 很多人會說跌到50%..靠北根本送分題
: 我們又不開槓桿,50%我應該會把兩間房子賣了,壓身家買ETF數鈔票了
: 每一次的大漲前哪一次不是跌深或是整理
: 很長一段時間才噴出,你高檔都不修正整理,
: 阿是要如何創新高?
: 還有很多人說幹嘛不等到跌50%猜進場…
: 老科有句名言:
: 下跌沒有麥子,上漲也不會有麥子
: 你怎麼知道是回跌50%後止跌回穩
: 萬一是40%就止跌,你還在等…
: 所以為什麼要提前跌10%就開始進場,
: 就是因為不知道會跌多深,不會買在
: 最低點,但可以買在相對低點。
: 長期投資 放1~2年的 根本不用擔心
: 大跌50%會有人比你更擔心,怕啥..
: 投資有賺有賠,自己要評估 盈虧自負
: 漲的時候你怕追高,跌的時候你又怕買高
: 那你到底是來?看戲的嗎......
: https://i.imgur.com/bmHEQzZ.jpg
--
這是我的對帳單,
我的確都沒賣也繼續買入,
https://imgur.com/81AFADb
https://imgur.com/5BwWB8b
重點買入AAPL, GOOG, TQQQ/UPRO, MSFT,
每跌10% or 5-6%就再買一次,
每個月的薪水入帳就放入本金繼續買,
我也已經把房子抵押貸出來利息3.75%,
等跌到50%就會把房子貸款的錢拿來買股票,
我一直都是認真的也一直照的我說的話在做,
但是很多人還是覺得我在騙人,我也就沒辦法了,
然後說說我最近的觀點,
我身在業界,其實並沒有發現美國景氣有變差的情況,
美國景氣目前還是蠻熱的,
"但是""但是"業界已經開始開始為景氣寒冬準備,
已經開始cost down, 裁員等,
比方說這則新聞:恐慌、大虧、爭相拋售:矽谷背地崩盤遠比股市嚴重
https://tinyurl.com/zd5pcjrz
這新聞重點在新創公司,
但是其實大公司像是臉書已經開始節省開銷凍結項目跟招聘,
網飛甚至開始裁員150人,
這讓情況跟2007-2010金融海嘯的情況非常相似,
而不是2000的dot com bubble,
板上很多強力看空的人故意導向dot com bubble,
其實這次跟dot com bubble完全不同,
即使是華爾街跟業界也很少人會把這次聯想成是dot com bubble,
因為當年dot com bubble的科技業是全部都不賺錢大賠錢,
這次的科技業是大部分都有大賺錢,
而且還是持續成長的,
像是MSFT AAPL GOOG 就是繼續成長繼續賺大錢,
結果AAPL GOOG股價莫名其妙跌到PE低於20,
為何我說這跟2007-2010金融海嘯的情況非常相似,
因為當年各大科技業也是非常賺錢的,
根本沒受到金融海嘯的影響,
但是裁員 cost down也是跟著來,
沒因為賺錢就不裁員,
當年台灣最有名的例子就是台積電的蔡力行事件,
其實當年台積電是賺大錢的,
當年美國很多賺大錢的公司也趁機裁員 cost down,
很多人說如果重回2008-2009金融海嘯的時間,
一定會壓身家歐印買房買MSFT AAPL GOOG NVDA AMD的股票,
結果現在2022年機會來了,你敢買嗎?
看到現在那斯達克跌超過30%, 就說要等跌到50%,
等跌到50%又說十年線對稱,十年前是三千點,
所以要等跌到三千點才進場,
我不管買房或是買股票,
永遠都不會買在最低點,
只要我覺得價格合理我買得起有需求,我就買,
所以我現在就是分批買進這幾隻大型科技權重股,
要是真的跌到50%以下,
我就把借出來的錢跟定存歐印進去
※ 引述《howhow801122 (傑哥)》之銘言:
: 如果是指大盤,現在進場安全性大於風險,
: 小納已經從高點跌30%,對我們這種分批進場的投資人根本天上掉下來的禮物
: 從高點開始算起每跌10%進場一次
: 最近跌到30%我又在進場一次
: 很多人會說跌到50%..靠北根本送分題
: 我們又不開槓桿,50%我應該會把兩間房子賣了,壓身家買ETF數鈔票了
: 每一次的大漲前哪一次不是跌深或是整理
: 很長一段時間才噴出,你高檔都不修正整理,
: 阿是要如何創新高?
: 還有很多人說幹嘛不等到跌50%猜進場…
: 老科有句名言:
: 下跌沒有麥子,上漲也不會有麥子
: 你怎麼知道是回跌50%後止跌回穩
: 萬一是40%就止跌,你還在等…
: 所以為什麼要提前跌10%就開始進場,
: 就是因為不知道會跌多深,不會買在
: 最低點,但可以買在相對低點。
: 長期投資 放1~2年的 根本不用擔心
: 大跌50%會有人比你更擔心,怕啥..
: 投資有賺有賠,自己要評估 盈虧自負
: 漲的時候你怕追高,跌的時候你又怕買高
: 那你到底是來?看戲的嗎......
: https://i.imgur.com/bmHEQzZ.jpg

--
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at 2022-05-24T11:15

By Todd Johnson
at 2022-05-20T15:28
at 2022-05-20T15:28

By William
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Zora
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Rachel
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Yedda
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Genevieve
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By George
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Adele
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Dora
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Kama
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Catherine
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By Ina
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Connor
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Lucy
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Dorothy
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Iris
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Bethany
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By Kama
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Jack
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By Hedy
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By Hamiltion
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By Edith
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Catherine
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By Olga
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By Jessica
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By Rosalind
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Anonymous
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Anonymous
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Olga
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Dinah
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Franklin
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By Lily
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By Lydia
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By Jacob
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By Yedda
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By Sarah
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By Audriana
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By Callum
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Kristin
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By Valerie
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By Rachel
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By Connor
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By Elma
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Kristin
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By Olive
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Faithe
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Gary
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Joseph
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By Harry
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By Frederica
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By Delia
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By Ivy
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By Quanna
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By Jessica
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By Connor
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Zora
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By Sandy
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By Eartha
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Elizabeth
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Zora
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By Charlie
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Delia
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Madame
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Hedwig
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Mary
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By Bennie
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Harry
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By Kama
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Andrew
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By Margaret
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By Genevieve
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By Oscar
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By Olive
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By Edward Lewis
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Enid
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By Dora
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By Ula
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By Regina
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Victoria
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Dinah
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Kumar
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Selena
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Aaliyah
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Gilbert
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Valerie
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Hedwig
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Lydia
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By Selena
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By Doris
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Edwina
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Sandy
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Andrew
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Tristan Cohan
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Aaliyah
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Ethan
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Ethan
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Andy
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Caroline
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Xanthe
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Xanthe
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Gilbert
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Elma
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Bennie
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Olive
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Sierra Rose
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Charlie
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By David
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Zanna
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Ida
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Puput
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By Lucy
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Erin
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By Hardy
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Hedy
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Hamiltion
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Quintina
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Eartha
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Ursula
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Franklin
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Quanna
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By Belly
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Bennie
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By Sierra Rose
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Connor
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Belly
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By Rae
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By Wallis
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By John
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By Adele
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By James
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By Kristin
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By Jack
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Joe
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Isla
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By Emma
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By Doris
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By Una
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By Charlotte
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By Zenobia
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Isabella
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By Todd Johnson
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Frederic
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By Thomas
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Hamiltion
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By Audriana
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By Caitlin
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By Steve
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By Skylar Davis
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By Zora
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By Cara
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By Xanthe
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By Poppy
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By Dora
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By Frederica
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By Catherine
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Kumar
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Kristin
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Oscar
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By Adele
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By Ida
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By David
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By Dorothy
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By Megan
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By Bethany
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By Aaliyah
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By Mia
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Edith
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By Wallis
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By Frederic
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By Kristin
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By Gilbert
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By Ivy
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By Kama
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By Skylar Davis
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By Todd Johnson
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By Daniel
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By Daniel
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By Victoria
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By Zora
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By Hedda
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By Andrew
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By Charlie
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By William
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By Blanche
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By Anthony
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By Ina
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By Yuri
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By Xanthe
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By Kristin
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By Olive
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By Zenobia
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By Hedy
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By Catherine
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By Margaret
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By William
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By Todd Johnson
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By Hedwig
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By Irma
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By Lucy
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By Emma
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By Emily
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By Ida
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By Tom
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By Emma
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By Kyle
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By Faithe
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By Dorothy
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By Edwina
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By Quanna
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By Sandy
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By Ina
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By Anonymous
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By Sierra Rose
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By Kama
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By Ingrid
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By Oliver
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By William
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By Kumar
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By Hedda
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By Caitlin
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By Joe
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By Blanche
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By Necoo
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By Erin
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Jessica
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Yuri
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By Kristin
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By Hedy
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By Puput
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By Edward Lewis
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By Rosalind
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By Victoria
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By Megan
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By Heather
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By Leila
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By Mason
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By Delia
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By Leila
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By Edwina
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By Daniel
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By Jake
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By William
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By Rosalind
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By Linda
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By Edwina
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By Christine
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By Regina
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By Olga
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By Hazel
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By Adele
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By Lauren
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By Jessica
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By Enid
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By Oliver
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By Enid
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By Damian
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By Franklin
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By Ophelia
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By Hedwig
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Susan
at 2022-05-20T15:28
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By Enid
at 2022-05-24T11:15
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By Andy
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