快逃!美金融老將:美股恐慘崩65%-80% - 股票
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By Anonymous
at 2021-05-11T10:24
at 2021-05-11T10:24
Table of Contents
快逃!美金融老將:美股恐慘崩65%-80% 全球經濟將崩潰
https://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/3526829
〔財經頻道/綜合報導〕美股近來屢創新高,市場一片欣欣向榮,不過有48年市場經驗的
Contrarian Macro Advisors首席宏觀策略師亨特(David Hunter)近期警告,美股將在
今年第2季見頂,最終暴跌65%到80%,全球經濟將會隨之崩潰。
《商業內幕》報導,儘管美國聯準會(Fed)主席鮑爾(Jerome Powell)預計今年通膨走
升只是暫時性,但亨特近期警告:「他們希望談論暫時性通膨,但我在研究中看到的一切
都表明,未來6個月通膨將更加嚴重。」
亨特警告,投資人低估了聯準會在通膨過高的情況下,縮減資產負債表的意願,聯準會能
「輕易」決定從金融體系中抽走多達1兆美元,此外,投資人還低估了當前美股的脆弱程
度,以及美股對聯準會所推動的流動性的依賴程度,所有這些誤判,再加上疫情導致的脆
弱經濟,將在今年晚些時候證明對美股「幾乎致命」。
亨特預計,由於投資人對經濟重啟持樂觀態度,美股未來數月將迎來極端「融漲」(melt
-up),標普500指數將攀升至4700點至5000點,也就是較當前水平上漲12%至20%,但接著
聯準會將收緊貨幣政策來控制通膨,導致美股大幅下跌。
亨特估計,美股將在今年第2季見頂,最終暴跌65%到80%,全球經濟將隨之崩潰。若標普5
00指數從4700點暴跌65%,將跌至1650點附近。
至於為何美股將迎來如此戲劇性的暴跌?亨特指出,這是金融體系中充斥債務槓桿、衍生
性金融商品槓桿所致。
https://i.imgur.com/oi3ZSz0.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/YYFPDTe.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/pIaJvOy.jpg
心得
散戶要團結 不要老是被外資或達人給欺騙
要跌就找個理由亂賣出脫而已
但現階段還是做空保守
--
https://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/3526829
〔財經頻道/綜合報導〕美股近來屢創新高,市場一片欣欣向榮,不過有48年市場經驗的
Contrarian Macro Advisors首席宏觀策略師亨特(David Hunter)近期警告,美股將在
今年第2季見頂,最終暴跌65%到80%,全球經濟將會隨之崩潰。
《商業內幕》報導,儘管美國聯準會(Fed)主席鮑爾(Jerome Powell)預計今年通膨走
升只是暫時性,但亨特近期警告:「他們希望談論暫時性通膨,但我在研究中看到的一切
都表明,未來6個月通膨將更加嚴重。」
亨特警告,投資人低估了聯準會在通膨過高的情況下,縮減資產負債表的意願,聯準會能
「輕易」決定從金融體系中抽走多達1兆美元,此外,投資人還低估了當前美股的脆弱程
度,以及美股對聯準會所推動的流動性的依賴程度,所有這些誤判,再加上疫情導致的脆
弱經濟,將在今年晚些時候證明對美股「幾乎致命」。
亨特預計,由於投資人對經濟重啟持樂觀態度,美股未來數月將迎來極端「融漲」(melt
-up),標普500指數將攀升至4700點至5000點,也就是較當前水平上漲12%至20%,但接著
聯準會將收緊貨幣政策來控制通膨,導致美股大幅下跌。
亨特估計,美股將在今年第2季見頂,最終暴跌65%到80%,全球經濟將隨之崩潰。若標普5
00指數從4700點暴跌65%,將跌至1650點附近。
至於為何美股將迎來如此戲劇性的暴跌?亨特指出,這是金融體系中充斥債務槓桿、衍生
性金融商品槓桿所致。
https://i.imgur.com/oi3ZSz0.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/YYFPDTe.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/pIaJvOy.jpg
心得
散戶要團結 不要老是被外資或達人給欺騙
要跌就找個理由亂賣出脫而已
但現階段還是做空保守
--
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