崩跌是假象?專家曝明年美股更凶猛 - 股票
By Ida
at 2020-04-22T21:28
at 2020-04-22T21:28
Table of Contents
崩跌是假象?專家曝明年美股更凶猛
美股連兩日大跌,再度引起投資人恐慌,不過,摩根大通首席量化分析專家科拉諾維奇(
Marko Kolanovic)21日提出樂觀看法,他認為聯準會對零風險利率和信貸利差的壓抑,
可望對股票估值產生積極影響,標普500指數有機會在2021年上半年再創歷史新高。
根據外媒報導,科拉諾維奇在給客戶的1份報告提到,只要經濟在2020年重新開放,加上
聯準會目前的貨幣政策,將成為助長股市的重要推手。他也提到:「相較於暫時收入損失
的風險,聯準會對於無風險利率和信貸息差的共同壓抑,可能對股票估值產生更大的積極
影響。」
科拉諾維奇在報告中研究,聯準會刺激措施在6個月、12個月以及18個月內,對企業的影
響,數據顯示,由於貼現率受到大幅壓制,在所有3種企業獲利的情景中,未來收益的現
值都將高於危機前的水平。顯見若貨幣政策持續維持寬鬆,標普500指數將可望重回先前
的歷史高點。至於對於沒有辦法有效降低利率或信貸利差的國家來說,疫情則將導致企業
收益現值下降3成。
https://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20200422004795-260410
投銀專家信心加持
加上無限QE
妳各位還不快歐硬
= =
--
美股連兩日大跌,再度引起投資人恐慌,不過,摩根大通首席量化分析專家科拉諾維奇(
Marko Kolanovic)21日提出樂觀看法,他認為聯準會對零風險利率和信貸利差的壓抑,
可望對股票估值產生積極影響,標普500指數有機會在2021年上半年再創歷史新高。
根據外媒報導,科拉諾維奇在給客戶的1份報告提到,只要經濟在2020年重新開放,加上
聯準會目前的貨幣政策,將成為助長股市的重要推手。他也提到:「相較於暫時收入損失
的風險,聯準會對於無風險利率和信貸息差的共同壓抑,可能對股票估值產生更大的積極
影響。」
科拉諾維奇在報告中研究,聯準會刺激措施在6個月、12個月以及18個月內,對企業的影
響,數據顯示,由於貼現率受到大幅壓制,在所有3種企業獲利的情景中,未來收益的現
值都將高於危機前的水平。顯見若貨幣政策持續維持寬鬆,標普500指數將可望重回先前
的歷史高點。至於對於沒有辦法有效降低利率或信貸利差的國家來說,疫情則將導致企業
收益現值下降3成。
https://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20200422004795-260410
投銀專家信心加持
加上無限QE
妳各位還不快歐硬
= =
--
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