小心!「巴菲特指標」飆破200% 美股恐即 - 股票

By George
at 2021-06-03T12:38
at 2021-06-03T12:38
Table of Contents
原文標題:
小心!「巴菲特指標」飆破200% 美股恐即將崩盤
(請勿刪減原文標題)
原文連結:
https://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/3556118
(請善用縮網址工具)
發布時間:
2021/06/03 10:27
(請以原文網頁/報紙之發布時間為準)
原文內容:
在美股一片欣欣向榮之際,外媒今日示警,「股神」巴菲特(Warren Buffett)最青睞的
股市估值指標「巴菲特指標」(股市總市值/GDP)已飆破200%,表明美股已嚴重高估,1
場崩盤可能即將到來。
《商業內幕》報導,截至6月1日,代表美股總市值的威爾夏5000全市場指數(Wilshire
5000 Total Market Index)已達到44.3兆美元,而美國第1季GDP的最新估計為22.1兆美
元,這意味著巴菲特指標已達到200%,遠高於2020年第2季的187%。當時疫情肆虐全美,
美國GDP下滑了12%。
巴菲特曾將巴菲特指標形容為「衡量任何時刻股市估值的唯一最佳指標」,他在2001年指
出,在網路泡沫破裂之前,該指標達到紀錄新高,是「非常強烈的警告訊號」,而在全球
金融危機爆發前,該指標也大幅飆升,使其成為預測市場衰退的有用工具。
然而,巴菲特指標也有缺陷,譬如它將上1季的GDP數據與股市當前估值進行比較,此外,
在美國上市的企業並非總是為美國經濟做出貢獻,且GDP也忽視了海外收入。
自去年春季以來,武漢肺炎(新型冠狀病毒病,COVID-19)疫情還擾亂了經濟活動,抑
制 GDP成長,從而使巴菲特指標急速攀升。隨著本季美國經濟重啟,為GDP提供支撐,巴
菲特指標可能從創紀錄水平回落。
心得/評論: ※必需填寫滿20字
從這指標可以到200% 就知道根本毫無用處可言
會看這指標的不知道從哪時開始就空手了 一直高估一直爽
搞不好明年就300%了喔
--
小心!「巴菲特指標」飆破200% 美股恐即將崩盤
(請勿刪減原文標題)
原文連結:
https://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/3556118
(請善用縮網址工具)
發布時間:
2021/06/03 10:27
(請以原文網頁/報紙之發布時間為準)
原文內容:
在美股一片欣欣向榮之際,外媒今日示警,「股神」巴菲特(Warren Buffett)最青睞的
股市估值指標「巴菲特指標」(股市總市值/GDP)已飆破200%,表明美股已嚴重高估,1
場崩盤可能即將到來。
《商業內幕》報導,截至6月1日,代表美股總市值的威爾夏5000全市場指數(Wilshire
5000 Total Market Index)已達到44.3兆美元,而美國第1季GDP的最新估計為22.1兆美
元,這意味著巴菲特指標已達到200%,遠高於2020年第2季的187%。當時疫情肆虐全美,
美國GDP下滑了12%。
巴菲特曾將巴菲特指標形容為「衡量任何時刻股市估值的唯一最佳指標」,他在2001年指
出,在網路泡沫破裂之前,該指標達到紀錄新高,是「非常強烈的警告訊號」,而在全球
金融危機爆發前,該指標也大幅飆升,使其成為預測市場衰退的有用工具。
然而,巴菲特指標也有缺陷,譬如它將上1季的GDP數據與股市當前估值進行比較,此外,
在美國上市的企業並非總是為美國經濟做出貢獻,且GDP也忽視了海外收入。
自去年春季以來,武漢肺炎(新型冠狀病毒病,COVID-19)疫情還擾亂了經濟活動,抑
制 GDP成長,從而使巴菲特指標急速攀升。隨著本季美國經濟重啟,為GDP提供支撐,巴
菲特指標可能從創紀錄水平回落。
心得/評論: ※必需填寫滿20字
從這指標可以到200% 就知道根本毫無用處可言
會看這指標的不知道從哪時開始就空手了 一直高估一直爽
搞不好明年就300%了喔
--
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