好消息!郭國文:日本媒體明將釋出送 - 股票
By Hamiltion
at 2021-05-28T08:44
at 2021-05-28T08:44
Table of Contents
話說,怎麼這麼多人都天真以為政治歸政治,XX歸XX,我是說數字版
那我們來談談高端的利多跟利空
利多
1.差不多已經定調二期EUA後,就要開打。
2.訂單已經到手500萬劑。
3.三期實驗的鉅額花費省很多。
4.若真的打下去效果不錯(含副作用可接受)後續訂單可期,未來還可以申請WHO認證,
賣到國外。(道義上政府應該要叫高端繳多一點稅,回饋幫做三期的台灣韭菜們,當然這
是我嘴砲講講)
利空
1.郭董買到1000萬劑,但機會比較小,今天你DPP不來跟中國跪求,復星BNT大概就沒辦法
賣給我們,加上藥商代理權問題,原廠直接出貨應該有違約問題,所以我想應該是拿不到
。
2.日本送AZ,機會中等,若是日本不怕會跟中國翻臉的話,因為中國給國際的訊息,就是
台灣是我的一部份,你要經過我的同意,才能做XXX,台灣的疫情,我們會幫忙處理疫苗
問題,所以上飛機才算數。
3. Covax平台大力協助,機會小,因為他們會依照嚴重度,所以大概就是幾十萬慢慢配到
。
4.美國爸爸要確保半導體產能,這是我覺得最不確定因素,基本上美國今天如果要先給台
灣大量疫苗,絕對不是台灣疫情嚴重(看看國外那才叫嚴重),也不是台美友好,一堆國
家要抱美國爸爸的大腿的,所以大概是影響到美國利益時,他才會出面。
以上,個人看法,高端今天應該會跌,最佳出貨點應該是剛開打時吧,不過我是買輝瑞沒
買高端。輝瑞就是剛開打時最高點
--
那我們來談談高端的利多跟利空
利多
1.差不多已經定調二期EUA後,就要開打。
2.訂單已經到手500萬劑。
3.三期實驗的鉅額花費省很多。
4.若真的打下去效果不錯(含副作用可接受)後續訂單可期,未來還可以申請WHO認證,
賣到國外。(道義上政府應該要叫高端繳多一點稅,回饋幫做三期的台灣韭菜們,當然這
是我嘴砲講講)
利空
1.郭董買到1000萬劑,但機會比較小,今天你DPP不來跟中國跪求,復星BNT大概就沒辦法
賣給我們,加上藥商代理權問題,原廠直接出貨應該有違約問題,所以我想應該是拿不到
。
2.日本送AZ,機會中等,若是日本不怕會跟中國翻臉的話,因為中國給國際的訊息,就是
台灣是我的一部份,你要經過我的同意,才能做XXX,台灣的疫情,我們會幫忙處理疫苗
問題,所以上飛機才算數。
3. Covax平台大力協助,機會小,因為他們會依照嚴重度,所以大概就是幾十萬慢慢配到
。
4.美國爸爸要確保半導體產能,這是我覺得最不確定因素,基本上美國今天如果要先給台
灣大量疫苗,絕對不是台灣疫情嚴重(看看國外那才叫嚴重),也不是台美友好,一堆國
家要抱美國爸爸的大腿的,所以大概是影響到美國利益時,他才會出面。
以上,個人看法,高端今天應該會跌,最佳出貨點應該是剛開打時吧,不過我是買輝瑞沒
買高端。輝瑞就是剛開打時最高點
--
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