大盤 - 股票

By John
at 2021-01-24T23:27

Table of Contents

1. 標的:大盤

2. 分類：多/空/請益/心得:偏多但可能轉整理/注意賣股時機

3. 分析/正文：大盤從年初至今漲幅已經達到1500點之譜,然而主要是少數權值股
如台積電,鴻海等帶起來,反而在這段過程中轉弱的個股愈來愈多,
加以近期成交值不時突破4000億,可以說行情至此已有過熱的情況

周線收中長紅,波段方面仍偏強,但日線出了母子棒,在高檔出現代表短線拉回壓力增高,
加之日KD結束鈍化,有高檔背離現象,外資開始大賣台積電,期貨避險空單亦大增,
及融資不斷攀高,這也讓台股開始產生隱憂,台積電大漲,很多股票沒跟上甚至轉弱,
融資還反向大增,台積電如果反轉走跌呢? 盤勢修正幅度不只可能來個800-1000點,
那些原本就弱的股票恐怕也會在套牢籌碼愈來愈多下持續盤跌,
總歸一句,現在已經不是之前那樣可以隨便買隨便賺的時候,風險意識務必提高

4. 進退場機制：先不放空,但也不建議加碼,須逐步調節持股至70%以下,
15700為短線強弱分界,跌破的話再往下修一段機率不低,可以再降低持股至30-40%,
待時機成熟再考慮接回

多方軋空點:16500
短線轉弱點:15700
波段防守點:15200

--

Tags: 股票

All Comments

By Oliver
at 2021-01-29T16:39

先推再看

By Lauren
at 2021-02-01T19:41

推

By Lauren
at 2021-02-05T12:35

補推

By Lauren
at 2021-02-07T15:56

反向先行者！

By Belly
at 2021-02-08T15:07

弱者恆弱一堆中小慘兮兮漲沒份跌有份幫QQ
希望明天不會再是拉積盤

By Mary
at 2021-02-11T14:01

a神一出…穩了

By Ingrid
at 2021-02-12T17:40

謝@神

By Margaret
at 2021-02-17T08:22

穩了XD

By Jake
at 2021-02-20T13:24

完了

By Frederic
at 2021-02-22T06:52

@itt終於出現了

By Ina
at 2021-02-22T22:03

完了週一 -300~-500 起跳

By Lily
at 2021-02-24T16:11

上次a神發完大盤文到現在向上噴了快2000點

By Suhail Hany
at 2021-02-27T22:26

先去看你每次的大盤文沒一次準

By Faithe
at 2021-02-28T11:37

a神人真的很好從去年11月就一直提醒大家轉折到了

By Elvira
at 2021-03-01T17:15

鉗形戰術

By Edward Lewis
at 2021-03-02T06:47

疫情影響才來預言上週大漲怎不來看空

By Olivia
at 2021-03-04T00:06

別把秘密說出來

By Daph Bay
at 2021-03-04T15:36

先推，再慢慢消化

By Steve
at 2021-03-06T05:23

空軍福音

By Zanna
at 2021-03-09T08:07

舊文已閱

By Blanche
at 2021-03-10T17:43

明天拉積盤～

By Dora
at 2021-03-15T00:56

推

By Kumar
at 2021-03-16T21:16

再噴他2000點咱們萬八在會合

By Joe
at 2021-03-21T12:24

@神！

By Jessica
at 2021-03-25T21:48

收到訊號了安穩睡覺

By Charlotte
at 2021-03-30T18:42

你終於發文了

By Donna
at 2021-04-01T03:58

可是星期五台積大跌，一大堆股票漲.......

By Annie
at 2021-04-05T15:11

比崩無疑但為了eps40我還是乖乖等買點顆顆

By Hardy
at 2021-04-06T03:38

哇感謝開示！

By Zenobia
at 2021-04-10T19:53

年前政府不會讓大盤跌，要空現在還太早

By Sarah
at 2021-04-12T16:15

看不懂 @神這次是看多還看空XD

By Skylar DavisLinda
at 2021-04-14T23:57

A大來了我就可以安心睡覺了

By Kyle
at 2021-04-16T05:58

沒準過

By Tracy
at 2021-04-17T00:13

有鬼故事的時候就會看到你準時出現厲害厲害

By Olivia
at 2021-04-17T22:13

A神11月12月各喊一次漲多回檔修正，都被嘎爆了，這
次？

By Sierra Rose
at 2021-04-22T17:41

穩惹

By Mary
at 2021-04-24T09:49

A神先推

By Todd Johnson
at 2021-04-26T01:21

有些文讀起來有道理，但無法賺錢

By Edward Lewis
at 2021-04-26T23:54

穩了穩了

By Linda
at 2021-04-28T09:30

穩了先萬7 年底2萬

By Megan
at 2021-05-02T10:49

我猜是貸滿了
不然閒錢有什麼壓力股市明燈

By Connor
at 2021-05-03T16:44

反著看哈

By Hamiltion
at 2021-05-05T18:06

高檔有危機意識沒有錯啊，重點是趨勢出來趕快跟上去
，不死多不死空

By Jake
at 2021-05-06T02:15

多多感謝您

By Carol
at 2021-05-07T07:35

壞掉的鐘...也是有準的時候

By Agatha
at 2021-05-11T07:28

指標來惹～

By Jack
at 2021-05-11T19:49

先崩到萬四，再一路嘎到萬八，股東會強制回補

By Vanessa
at 2021-05-11T22:53

崩盤倒數

By Frederica
at 2021-05-16T11:47

大哥你十二月就建議降低持股至30%以下，現在建議降
低到70%？這是增加吧

By Robert
at 2021-05-20T09:02

同意，此時不建議加碼，先看趨勢

By Bethany
at 2021-05-22T01:23

台GG開盤先漲7%

By James
at 2021-05-22T02:52

明天一定崩

By Carol
at 2021-05-25T07:56

空神已comment
不信邪者山頂見

By Edward Lewis
at 2021-05-26T08:13

先把傻多洗出去，再嘎飛雜空，熱錢那麼多，怎麼玩
都好玩

By George
at 2021-05-31T05:01

A神當然先降低持股中間再歐印啊

By Barb Cronin
at 2021-06-01T19:25

Gg 679T有救了

By Quanna
at 2021-06-03T23:29

台股永動積年底上看兩萬點

By Margaret
at 2021-06-06T16:51

猜先崩再拉積護盤

By Michael
at 2021-06-08T19:32

A神喪透惹窩的心

By Robert
at 2021-06-08T23:29

卡

By Rae
at 2021-06-13T15:17

外資期貨空單多，是因為50反減少。其實並沒有變

By Belly
at 2021-06-18T03:06

悲觀看待嗚嗚

By Doris
at 2021-06-21T11:57

反指標穩了^^

By Tracy
at 2021-06-23T11:22

反指標終於出來了開心

By Jacky
at 2021-06-27T23:20

賣g求現金才是真高手

By Susan
at 2021-06-28T14:46

By Genevieve
at 2021-06-30T18:55

Peter lynch說的真的好，很多人賠錢不是因為崩盤，
而是在預測崩盤的路上賠掉的錢比崩盤本身賠的還要
多，如果你沒放空，那就是說大話而已，你如果有放
空，看你撐不撐的到崩盤還有幅度夠不夠大....

By Dora
at 2021-07-02T23:27

感謝a神

By Megan
at 2021-07-07T05:21

雖然我想法趨近於你，但你發文了...

By William
at 2021-07-09T11:20

推

By Skylar Davis
at 2021-07-11T16:56

你真的超不準 ...

By Blanche
at 2021-07-12T07:04

會破兩萬好不好

By Hedy
at 2021-07-15T20:27

空軍趕緊暴怒噓

By Genevieve
at 2021-07-17T03:25

空軍要崩潰了

By Edward Lewis
at 2021-07-19T16:08

推

By Daph Bay
at 2021-07-23T12:11

會怕的人就快點賣啊，幹嘛一直找人一起

By Kristin
at 2021-07-23T23:05

盤勢已經證明，絕對不會跟大家想的一樣走法

By Daniel
at 2021-07-28T15:50

感謝A神開示，我明天歐印

By Elma
at 2021-07-29T02:11

多空言論都有所以多空雙巴

By Ina
at 2021-08-02T07:31

目標價是16500嗎

By Heather
at 2021-08-06T01:36

上個月喊降低到30% 怎麼現在還有70%可以降

By Suhail Hany
at 2021-08-10T08:33

趨勢沒在看技術面跟籌碼面的啦

By Dora
at 2021-08-10T17:39

大神

By Vanessa
at 2021-08-13T18:22

.....

By Frederic
at 2021-08-15T09:24

要噴了

By Eden
at 2021-08-20T07:28

上個月降到30% 現在又有70%?? 越放越多是空單嗎??

By Elizabeth
at 2021-08-21T02:20

兩萬點前沒事吧，疫情不止，台股不跌，現在應該會
是飆漲階段。最好的劇本是如果來個急跌，嚇到政府
，那政府更會端出大碗牛肉刺激市場，反彈更高

By Agnes
at 2021-08-22T20:40

a神去年6/3那篇就說會到萬五了其實很神..

By Eden
at 2021-08-26T22:06

謝謝分享

By Robert
at 2021-08-29T12:29

aitt越來越強了

By Delia
at 2021-08-31T12:38

無腦多

By Hardy
at 2021-09-02T13:46

﹞茞M楚時間管制局會查水表

By Queena
at 2021-09-07T06:47

謝謝a神

By Connor
at 2021-09-11T17:57

感謝A大分享，受益良多!

By Connor
at 2021-09-15T06:41

穩了，穩噴了

By Iris
at 2021-09-17T14:38

a神給給推

By Todd Johnson
at 2021-09-20T18:42

昨天才A了一下a神上次的發問，發完噴出啊

By Lucy
at 2021-09-21T22:26

可以身家多了

By Iris
at 2021-09-25T06:23

@神開示中。XD

By Zora
at 2021-09-27T09:45

大神開示了，大家可以安心睡覺，今天續噴400

By Vanessa
at 2021-10-01T15:28

提醒大家去看一下這個ID22號發的文

By Todd Johnson
at 2021-10-04T17:28

推

By Todd Johnson
at 2021-10-06T05:09

廢到笑

By Tristan Cohan
at 2021-10-07T11:25

廢了十幾年哪次不廢的

By Vanessa
at 2021-10-08T03:09

22號的文不就跟某哥一樣摸頭被嘎

By Olga
at 2021-10-09T16:40

你不覺得自己po的文內容都差不多嗎

By Ina
at 2021-10-11T02:52

跟Winterboy一樣的小丑

By Skylar Davis
at 2021-10-15T09:13

a神94神

By Zora
at 2021-10-15T23:54

推回來

By Bethany
at 2021-10-16T10:21

a神太強了

大盤 - 股票

All Comments

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