台股有4大光環 謝金河看好進入大時代! - 股票
By Connor
at 2020-11-12T00:12
at 2020-11-12T00:12
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1.原文連結:
※過長無法點擊者必須縮網址
https://tw.appledaily.com/property/20201111/UXS7YPCTLZDJTNAVY3VE3AU3OY/
2.原文內容:
台股有4大光環 謝金河看好進入大時代!
蘋果新聞網
台股創新高後出現橫盤整理,財信傳媒董事長謝金河卻認為「台股將進入大時代」,台灣出口連續3個月超過300億美元,估第3季淨利將超過6000億以上,加上台積電、聯電獲利創新高,面板轉虧為盈、太陽能第2季開始賺錢,都成為支持台股向上的後盾,呼應法人認為明年台股將有機會再創新高。
謝金河表示,1990年台股寫下12682的歷史新紀錄後,從此進入蟄伏的卅年,前不久,國泰投信董事長張錫說,他進入資本市場從來沒有見過如此美好的時光,他認為台股有4光環,明年將飆更高。這4大光環指的是,殖利率高,高科技起飛,半導體大缺貨及外資將回頭。
老謝指出,國泰投信有兩張圖表十分珍貴,一張是台股指數和企業盈利的趨勢圖,另一張是美國股市。從盈餘成長的角度來看,台股未來會比美股更強勁,這兩張圖值得大家好好比對。
老謝也把今年全體上市櫃公司營收及每季淨利整理出一張表格,也值得大家參考。今年疫情蔓延全球,台灣的上市櫃公司營收從7月起站上3兆元大關,今天公告10月營收3.24兆元,月增1.8%,年增0.8%,也是今年最高的營收紀錄。往後看,台灣的出口連續3個月超過300億美元,10月達322.3億美元,年增11.2%,以半導體為主的電子零組件出口達到129.7億美元,年增21.8%,可說十分強勁。
10月營收公告後,謝金河預估第3季淨利將超過6000億以上,這兩天謎底就會揭曉。今年第一季全體上市櫃公司獲利3510億元,第二季5412億元,第三季淨利更進一步提升,台積電一季賺1371億,聯電91億,都是新高紀錄,最難得的好,過去慘賠的面板集團到第3季轉虧為盈,太陽能第2季開始賺錢,這些原本吃掉利潤的慘業,全部出現獲利,第3季浄和平有機會創下歷史新紀錄,這是基本面支持台股向上的後盾。
如果台股可以把蓋住台灣頭頂的12682當成底部,那麼,台股再往下走了力道將應證張錫4大光環的論點!(財經中心/台北報導)
3.心得/評論:
大時代?
這不是香港一齣講述股市投資的舊片?
每次播出香港股市必大跌
所以
老謝看__
--
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