分析師:A股不會跌破2638點 否則就是短線 - 股票

By Agnes
at 2018-08-19T17:23
at 2018-08-19T17:23
Table of Contents
1.原文連結:
https://udn.com/news/story/7333/3316630
※過長無法點擊者必須縮網址
2.原文內容:華安證券投顧黃曉軍指出,A股目前是黎明前的黑暗,下周若繼續調整,就是短線給投資人吃肉的機會,畢竟沒有只跌不漲的市場,行情總是在恐慌中誕生。
他認為,震盪築底是個漫長而又複雜的過程,建議控制在三成左右的倉位,滾動操作。
澎湃新聞報導,8月17日A股三大股指高開低走,集體創本輪調整以來新低。其中,上證綜指收盤跌1.34%,報2,668.97點,盤中最低下探至2,665.59點,兩年前的2,638點的低點已經岌岌可危;深證成指收盤跌1.69%,報8,357.04點;創業板指收盤跌2.02%,報1,434.31點。
換句話說,目前上證綜指點位與兩年前的2,638點僅一步之遙。
益盟操盤手首席講師俞湧認為,從本周的走勢上,其實就是滬指上攻無果後指數開始挑戰下方支撐,並且創出新低,趨勢上為重心下移的過程。如果從周線上看,滬指一根大陰線,明顯顯示為對前期平臺跌穿的表現。既然市場不走強,投資人也就不要勉強做多,現階段還是維持等待為主。
但也有不少機構相對樂觀,認為A股的估值已到底部區域。
巨澤投資董事長馬澄認為,上證綜指本益比跌破十二倍,而創業板指更是接近歷史低值約三十五倍,市場目前估值並不貴,不管從歷史哪一次數據來對比都不貴,但是市場就是弱勢,缺乏信心和資金。總體來看,市場空頭宣洩,缺乏多頭力量。
朱雀投資也認為,市場估值處於底部區域,大幅下行可能性小。
朱雀投資認為,短期來看,在A股震盪築底的過程中,MSCI帶來的增量資金有助於修復市場悲觀情緒,提振市場風險偏好。中長期來看,A股「入摩」和各項制度的不斷完善,有助於加速大陸金融開放的進程,市場投資人結構有望改善,A股估值的全球化進程有望提速。
在具體的投資策略方面,海富通總經理助理王智慧認為,三類行業具有結構性機會,一是半導體、半導體設備領域;二是5G產業鏈;三是水電、火電、鐵路運輸等類公用事業。
華泰證券策略研究員曾岩則在研報中認為,如果經濟繼續走弱,市場或重回震盪走勢,前期出現較大幅度調整的消費股性價比再次凸顯,或成為市場追逐方向。
3.心得/評論:
分析濕都開示了,各位應該都知道,老師這次都出送分題了吧!再被當掉就不是老師的問題了。
※必需填寫滿20字
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