今成交值爆衝2708億元,史上第12大量 - 股票

By Irma
at 2008-03-24T22:37
at 2008-03-24T22:37
Table of Contents
http://www.pixnet.net/photo/simpleisbest/84844957
1998年2月
http://www.pixnet.net/photo/simpleisbest/84844970
2000年1月
http://www.pixnet.net/photo/simpleisbest/84844991
2007年7月
三張圖裡面藍色圓圈圈起來的部分是爆歷史天量的位置。
橘色方框圈起來的部分是起漲前的形態。如果認同技術分
析有用,讓我們來作幾樣假設。
1.股價要上漲必須要資金買進。
2.整理區域籌碼穩定,越容易拉抬。
那爆天量後可以理解的是資金必須要持續買進才能維持上
漲的動能,萎縮的成交量不足以支撐行情持續的時間。現
在的量是2700億,也許你要說接下來量能能夠爆到3000億
甚至四五千億以上,抱歉,這種假設我覺得不會因為馬囧
上台而出現變成常態,請參看2000年1月爆量後的走勢以
及量能關係。
另一點,以法人買的這麼急這麼快,今日的跳空缺口就不
應該被跌破,甚至更嚴格一點,今日低點都不該被挑戰,
為何?今天都買的那麼急了,如果有更好的價格會不會想
要去接?至不繼也不能跌破整理區域。
請參考上面三張圖爆天量K線的低點,觀察跌破與否之後的
走勢,也許可以作為追高的停損參考。
另外爆天量後的後續走勢如果做出明顯頭部,該逃的時候
請記得逃離。
http://www.pixnet.net/photo/simpleisbest/84848245
附上今天的走勢圖做為參考。
也許這次真的不一樣,技術分析沒有百分百準確,但不變
的是股票市場8/2法則還是8/2法則。我只要知道操做的風
險在那邊就好了。
--
Tags:
股票
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