中國去年出生報戶口僅剩1003萬 - 股票
By Zora
at 2021-02-10T00:16
at 2021-02-10T00:16
Table of Contents
「全面二孩」政策擋不住「人口塌陷」!一年少了快兩百萬,中國14億人去年只剩千萬新
生兒
中國2016年起實施「全面二孩」政策,提倡一對夫妻生育兩個子女,當時就有學者批評鬆
綁「一胎化」來的太晚。中國政府8日發布最新人口數據,果然新生兒數量在實施「全面
二孩」後連續5年大幅下降,去年出生已報戶口者僅剩1003萬人,與2019年相比大降175萬
,中國媒體多以「人口塌陷」形容。按照此一趨勢,今年(2021)中國的新生兒就會跌破
千萬大關,甚至連900萬可能都保不住。
中國公安部戶政管理研究中心發佈《2020年全國姓名報 》,截至2020年12月31日,2020
年出生、已進行戶籍登記的新生兒共1003.5萬人,男性為529萬人(佔52.7%),女性為47
4.5萬人(佔47.3%)。《南方都市報》指出,目前中國父母約有兩成不會在孩子出生第一
年進行戶口登記,因此1003萬人並非去年實際的新生兒人數。但即便如此,2020年的出生
人口也僅在1280萬人之譜
中國國家統計局1月18日才宣佈推遲公佈2020年的出生人口數據,預計延後到4月公佈。不
過中國媒體查閱地方政府公佈的數據,發現中國的出生人口確實嚴重減少,有些地方與20
19年相比更大降超過30%。例如浙江温州全年出生7萬3230人,較2019年下降19.01%、安徽
合肥下降23%、浙江台州下降32.6%,貴州貴陽下降31.6%。有人口學家認為,中國全國202
0年出生人口比2019年大為衰退幾乎已經沒有懸念。「出生人口塌陷之狼已經到來」、「
中國已落入低生育率陷阱」的分析幾乎是中國媒體的共識。
https://www.google.com.tw/amp/s/www.storm.mg/amparticle/3465915
心得:
人口是經濟基本面
尤其中國gdp超過100兆倚賴房產
年金也遠比西方低
現在要騙外資當然開始美化
不過這數字真的無恥 現在官媒開始唉下降10-20%
超過百萬的出生第一大省廣東下降24%
各省公布八成都超過16% 會只有15%?
沒有統計邏輯
https://i.imgur.com/mWDxxQB.jpg
這是中國自己的金融公司
不要再推什麼大紀元了
金融公司是要做投資決策的
採用數據沒有誘因刻意黑中國
尤其你身在中國還刻意唱衰不是找死
人家估20-30 應該相對客觀
這個取樣跟我說只有15%?
仗著中國9成沒讀過大學不懂統計哦
不過縱使這樣
出生率下跌還是碾壓台日韓
不是防疫好棒棒 經濟好棒棒?
https://i.imgur.com/C8Q1r1C.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/nEm8S1l.jpg
100兆靠房產的面子經濟體
大國崛起?
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