WSJ:中國經濟全面崩潰 - 股票

By Mason
at 2019-09-16T15:32
at 2019-09-16T15:32
Table of Contents
1.原文連結:
https://tinyurl.com/yy3ycnzb
2.原文內容:
8月中國經濟活動進一步降溫,考驗北京對緩慢經濟成長的容忍度,此刻北京也在尋求緩
和跟美國緊張的貿易關係。8月經濟疲軟幾乎在中國的每個產業都可見到,從工業產出到
零售數據都指向市場需求緩慢,以及企業、消費者間信心不足。經濟學家原本預期經濟活
動會比7月時好一點,7月時跌至超過10年以上的新低點。近期數據顯示,北京正面臨惡性
循環,渣打銀行經濟學家Li Wei表示企業面臨通貨緊縮壓力、以及市場需求減弱使企業獲
利壓縮,也導致企業減少庫存跟減少投資。
中國經濟前景可以稍微改善,如果美、中貿易衝突緩解,近期雙方都略釋放善意,中國在
週五表示將排除購買美國黃豆、牛肉跟其他農產品的的懲罰性關稅,美國則是緩兩週再對
中國徵稅。
3.心得/評論:
從現在到10月1日中共建政70年,再到美、中高層正式在華盛頓進行談判前,看似市場上
會維持美中雙方衝突和緩的風向,不過個人比較傾向這只是短暫的安慰劑,用來安撫投資
人,美、中雙方爭執的點不可能全部解決,短、中期難度都太高。貿易戰只是幌子,瓦解
中共的政權應該才是Trump的主要目的。只是貿易戰過程中,總是有產業需要陸續做點犧
牲。
--
記錄個人閱讀華爾街日報的摘要跟心得
https://www.facebook.com/groups/458437198048022/
--
https://tinyurl.com/yy3ycnzb
2.原文內容:
8月中國經濟活動進一步降溫,考驗北京對緩慢經濟成長的容忍度,此刻北京也在尋求緩
和跟美國緊張的貿易關係。8月經濟疲軟幾乎在中國的每個產業都可見到,從工業產出到
零售數據都指向市場需求緩慢,以及企業、消費者間信心不足。經濟學家原本預期經濟活
動會比7月時好一點,7月時跌至超過10年以上的新低點。近期數據顯示,北京正面臨惡性
循環,渣打銀行經濟學家Li Wei表示企業面臨通貨緊縮壓力、以及市場需求減弱使企業獲
利壓縮,也導致企業減少庫存跟減少投資。
中國經濟前景可以稍微改善,如果美、中貿易衝突緩解,近期雙方都略釋放善意,中國在
週五表示將排除購買美國黃豆、牛肉跟其他農產品的的懲罰性關稅,美國則是緩兩週再對
中國徵稅。
3.心得/評論:
從現在到10月1日中共建政70年,再到美、中高層正式在華盛頓進行談判前,看似市場上
會維持美中雙方衝突和緩的風向,不過個人比較傾向這只是短暫的安慰劑,用來安撫投資
人,美、中雙方爭執的點不可能全部解決,短、中期難度都太高。貿易戰只是幌子,瓦解
中共的政權應該才是Trump的主要目的。只是貿易戰過程中,總是有產業需要陸續做點犧
牲。
--
記錄個人閱讀華爾街日報的摘要跟心得
https://www.facebook.com/groups/458437198048022/
--
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