3689 湧德 - 股票
By Kumar
at 2018-07-22T16:42
at 2018-07-22T16:42
Table of Contents
1. 標的:
3689 湧德
2. 分類:多/空/請益/心得
長多
3. 分析/正文:
目前股價在低檔 也在可以存的價 (近五年平均看約 8%)
另外因 2015 起開始盈餘大減 近三年平均看約 5%
2015 盈餘大減主要有幾個因素 (from 年報),
需求減弱營收下降
會減改天也可能會增
大陸工資上漲
囧
大量資本支出
主要是用來買/蓋工廠、蓋高階產品實驗室以及自動化設備支出
今年 Q1 很差,
主要是為了開發防水連接器併 東莞太洋橡塑 被駁回 有認列一些費用
然後是春節缺工, 花三倍價請臨時工
還有匯損
目前仍在持續導自動化中, 從日本買了十台設備,
準備先用三台
預計年底可有一到二成產線完成自動化 (還是好低 XD)
另外它最近有發可轉債, 不過現價買不用擔心,
因為轉換價格 51.45 元...XD
真的到會被大量轉換稀釋股本時早已獲利滿滿
不過即使完全轉換, 股本大概也只膨個 10% 不到
Ref
https://news.cnyes.com/news/id/4102431
https://goo.gl/PAoexv
https://goo.gl/2qZsoi
https://goo.gl/bGdKdW
可以期待
自動化有成 毛利回升
新品研發有成 開拓市場
擴大市佔 增加營收
資料中心伺服器/網通設備下大單 間接受惠
4. 進退場機制:(非長期投資者,必須有停損機制)
最近真的不太好, 且導自動化、新品初期通常會拖累業績,
可先等看看有沒有更低可撿
(是說我從四月 39.X 就開始注意, 等了三個月才發 XD)
35 以下穩穩存, 長抱領息不停損,
長期投資/依個人喜好停利換股
--
Tags:
股票
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