3264 欣銓 買新機器車用大補丸多 - 股票
By Olga
at 2021-04-29T17:36
at 2021-04-29T17:36
Table of Contents
第一季報出來了有版友發文順便回一下
無意外又是營利淨利YOY暴漲
營收YOY~30% 營利YOY~40%
營運槓桿~1.33
依照這種態勢若整年營收YOY是20%
營利成長大概就30%
也就是2021非常有機會EPS破5對應股價就是60以上
但回頭來看我覺得這非好的操作
(1)封測在整個半導體產業鏈非處於有議價能力的位置
(2)同樣晶圓產業大爆發,欣銓能產生的營運槓桿不如IC設計和IC製造,前者是不需要
龐大資本支出、後者是踩著真正龐大需求的痛點擴大支出,提升營收彌補固定折舊攤銷
最後雖然很明顯欣銓還是有上行潛力
還是在想找更好標的的狀況下48左右出掉了
剩下是否要續抱看自己
--
無意外又是營利淨利YOY暴漲
營收YOY~30% 營利YOY~40%
營運槓桿~1.33
依照這種態勢若整年營收YOY是20%
營利成長大概就30%
也就是2021非常有機會EPS破5對應股價就是60以上
但回頭來看我覺得這非好的操作
(1)封測在整個半導體產業鏈非處於有議價能力的位置
(2)同樣晶圓產業大爆發,欣銓能產生的營運槓桿不如IC設計和IC製造,前者是不需要
龐大資本支出、後者是踩著真正龐大需求的痛點擴大支出,提升營收彌補固定折舊攤銷
最後雖然很明顯欣銓還是有上行潛力
還是在想找更好標的的狀況下48左右出掉了
剩下是否要續抱看自己
--
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