2019心得 展望2020 - 股票

By Ursula
at 2019-12-31T22:51
at 2019-12-31T22:51
Table of Contents
看到大家都在分享今年的成績
小弟也來分享一下
不過我只給12月的,因為好懶得打
先前提要!之前就說過我每個月就是目標4萬
一年12個月合計約48萬為我的目標 (12月清一些現股來完成)
會這樣設定是要抑制自己的貪婪,當設定的目標達成
我就會在個股回檔時候陸續減碼入袋,已完成我自設目標
本金約130萬(後來因為富時套住加碼到200萬)
這個月是一波很好做的波段
當個股不做,我就會去沖手續費
很多人版友問我手續費到底要怎麼沖...
我只能跟你說,盤感和經驗很重要
此外要有本錢留倉,心態就是不能貪
挑選權值股籌碼穩定,三檔波動就可以進場去沖手續費了
還有要有一個折數漂亮的券商(別再寄信了)
然後當天大盤波段上下震幅過大,就不要沖或者不沖會死得就掛低
https://i.imgur.com/2z0e1eR.jpg
十二月合計
沖33292元手續費
虧損9203元
33292*0.77=25634,25634-9203=16431元
結帳了一些短線 中長線的個股 來補足今年每個月四萬目標
https://i.imgur.com/1yKkH14.jpg
目前帳上未實現損益約還有18萬
------------------------------------------------------
接下展望2020年
台股在經過一個整年的長多,會在過年後進行震盪整理
第四季是電子股旺季,PARTY會在十二月做一個段落
你可以注意看看台G外資這波拉上去已經全數出脫完畢
留著該有的基本前低持股數
後續要留意的是匯損會影響多少產業面,避開電子、外匯通路等相關產業
可以布局過年前的集團股作帳題材,搶一波短線財
匯率強升很多壽險公司會有未認列的損失準備公布了
年初第一季會是傳產的旺季
造紙 化工 觀光 塑膠 都可以注意看看
過完農曆年後可以先拔草測風向一下,不要急著押寶
大盤要開殺不會急殺,記住急殺緩漲真多頭
自從去年10/11號後,整理一季後就走了一年多頭
假若大盤日K跌破20T三日站不回去,可以適當把投資腳步變緩
緩跌破周K20T,代表空頭跡象已經出來,會跌到相對支撐位置
2020年是一年波動很大的年度,台灣經濟撐不起此大盤
目前單純是選舉氛圍前,外資內資一起做面子給黑手
當選舉後勞保資金,投信代操基金絕對絕對不會在此進場
就算它們要進場,也是會等大盤洗下來,再進場布局投資
國際問題也詭譎不已,都消息面上漲或下跌
對於操作個股的投資者,可以偏向尋找外資持股少的個股操作
可以已內資主力為主的個股投資,這樣脈絡比較好抓
大盤目前已經高檔,權值股要特別特別的注意
還有一點外資借券餘額飆破新高,借了一堆股票想幹嘛?
留著當國寶嗎?當然不可能阿!
所以聰明的投資人要避開外資開殺的標的,尋找低基期的主力股進場
就算大盤開殺,主力個股相對會有支撐,這樣抱起來才會比較安心
最後!1/15號要簽訂第一階段協議
簽訂完是利多出盡嗎?我覺得不會出盡,但是會開始殺漲多個股
外資會開始進場因為協議影響導致錯殺個股
尤其公司基本面受貿易戰影響,但是財報反而逆勢更好的個股
這部份各位可以做功課去布局XD (我已經在觀察四檔股票了)
祝福各位發大財
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