08年那波三個月反彈氛圍有比現在樂觀嗎? - 股票
By Lydia
at 2020-04-07T16:57
at 2020-04-07T16:57
Table of Contents
這次不一樣
怎麼看都是短多長多
1. 08年整個金融體系大崩毀,一堆公司銀行破產,這次美國政府超強部署,早在破產潮
出現前啟動無限QE,成功擋住了破產潮
2. 造成大跌的原因不是因為破產,是恐慌和油價大跌,而現在油價已經上來了,而人們
習慣恐慌,武漢肺炎每日新增數在未來也會逐步下降。
3. 反彈會持續2個月,接下來就是每天2-5%持續緩漲,偶爾小跌,而美國疫情大概到6月
底結束,剛好接上復工潮,熱錢大量湧入,在6月底美股會上看29000,台股將會回到1200
0之上
--
怎麼看都是短多長多
1. 08年整個金融體系大崩毀,一堆公司銀行破產,這次美國政府超強部署,早在破產潮
出現前啟動無限QE,成功擋住了破產潮
2. 造成大跌的原因不是因為破產,是恐慌和油價大跌,而現在油價已經上來了,而人們
習慣恐慌,武漢肺炎每日新增數在未來也會逐步下降。
3. 反彈會持續2個月,接下來就是每天2-5%持續緩漲,偶爾小跌,而美國疫情大概到6月
底結束,剛好接上復工潮,熱錢大量湧入,在6月底美股會上看29000,台股將會回到1200
0之上
--
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