叫我賠錢王-UPST悲歌 - 股票QA
By Madame
at 2022-05-14T18:02
at 2022-05-14T18:02
Table of Contents
小弟從2017年開始進入股市,一開始從ETF慢慢認識到個股,之後在2018年底第一次注意
到美國科技成長股板塊,陸續投資到2020年也經歷了疫情的下殺及驚喜的下半年
時間快轉到2021年五月,我第一次認識到本次的悲劇主角UPST,當時我在113塊錢開始建
倉,他
也只是我眾多成長股portfolio 的一支,隨著做了更深入的研究及一次又一次的財報爆出
超高速成長,我陸續的加大了倉位,到8月份Q2財報公佈時開出了非常好的成績,從此股
價一飛沖天,當時我以為自己的努力有了成果,也保持著長期投資者的信心認為好公司就
是要長持,所以一路到400塊都沒有賣出一股。到九月份時,我的帳戶來到高點,從2017
年本金投入當當時為200萬台幣,而帳戶也來到了400萬高峰
之後就是故事悲劇的開始,在回調開始時我認為是股價漲多的正常波動,所以沒有賣出,
而且根據當時做使用一些數據做的預測,認為Q3財報財報會持續增速,所以在回調時於30
0塊左右又做了加碼,並動用一部分融資(此時我犯了第一次錯,過於自信而將部位過度
集中,及使用融資)事後證
明,我們的計算沒有辦法準確預測營收,開出了一個非超高速成長,但公司還在高速成長
的成績,盤後迅速股價跌到250塊
盤後賣出了一半的持股後,認為公司成長仍沒有問題,繼續抱著股票,然而股價隨者成長
股大盤回調,雪崩式下跌到了100多塊,本來在第一
次學會了持股不能過度集中,但過程中所有股票一起回測,心中又有了Upst 被市場錯殺
,所以陸續集中持股到Upst,財報開出了還不錯的成績
二月份財報後陸續漲了30-40%,此時,我的帳戶至少還回漲到了沒有傷害本金的情形,之
後大盤每況愈下,Upst股價又再度回調到了最低70左右的價位,雖然過程中也有人警告升
息利率的影響,但不管是過度相信公司說法,或是想把虧損獲利賺回來的心態影響,我把
最後的融資跟許多其他持股都轉到Upst上,結果財報爆炸,指引下調,直接被抬出場了,
盤後清空了大部分的持股(跌到
沒剩多少錢)只留15股警惕自己,以及看看是否在總經環境順風時成長基調是否能回來。
附上部份的複委託對帳單,但事實上,眾多美國券商的帳戶也幾乎要歸零
紀錄:本金加信貸融資大概400萬,高點獲利300萬全數回吐,在這次財報後重擊後剩100
萬
https://i.imgur.com/HDqtqak.jpg
這次受傷後能不能在把這些投資虧損賺回來我也不曉得,因為經過這次重傷,已經無法承
受再一次的虧損,之後會調整指數投資為主加上嚴格控制的科技股倉位,需要時間來了解
自己到底能不能主動投資
最後以自己的血淚提醒大家,不要融資,不要重壓個股,不要跟股票談戀愛!獲利的股票
不要虧損出場!我的血與淚跟大家分享,希望大家都能好好活下來。
--
到美國科技成長股板塊,陸續投資到2020年也經歷了疫情的下殺及驚喜的下半年
時間快轉到2021年五月,我第一次認識到本次的悲劇主角UPST,當時我在113塊錢開始建
倉,他
也只是我眾多成長股portfolio 的一支,隨著做了更深入的研究及一次又一次的財報爆出
超高速成長,我陸續的加大了倉位,到8月份Q2財報公佈時開出了非常好的成績,從此股
價一飛沖天,當時我以為自己的努力有了成果,也保持著長期投資者的信心認為好公司就
是要長持,所以一路到400塊都沒有賣出一股。到九月份時,我的帳戶來到高點,從2017
年本金投入當當時為200萬台幣,而帳戶也來到了400萬高峰
之後就是故事悲劇的開始,在回調開始時我認為是股價漲多的正常波動,所以沒有賣出,
而且根據當時做使用一些數據做的預測,認為Q3財報財報會持續增速,所以在回調時於30
0塊左右又做了加碼,並動用一部分融資(此時我犯了第一次錯,過於自信而將部位過度
集中,及使用融資)事後證
明,我們的計算沒有辦法準確預測營收,開出了一個非超高速成長,但公司還在高速成長
的成績,盤後迅速股價跌到250塊
盤後賣出了一半的持股後,認為公司成長仍沒有問題,繼續抱著股票,然而股價隨者成長
股大盤回調,雪崩式下跌到了100多塊,本來在第一
次學會了持股不能過度集中,但過程中所有股票一起回測,心中又有了Upst 被市場錯殺
,所以陸續集中持股到Upst,財報開出了還不錯的成績
二月份財報後陸續漲了30-40%,此時,我的帳戶至少還回漲到了沒有傷害本金的情形,之
後大盤每況愈下,Upst股價又再度回調到了最低70左右的價位,雖然過程中也有人警告升
息利率的影響,但不管是過度相信公司說法,或是想把虧損獲利賺回來的心態影響,我把
最後的融資跟許多其他持股都轉到Upst上,結果財報爆炸,指引下調,直接被抬出場了,
盤後清空了大部分的持股(跌到
沒剩多少錢)只留15股警惕自己,以及看看是否在總經環境順風時成長基調是否能回來。
附上部份的複委託對帳單,但事實上,眾多美國券商的帳戶也幾乎要歸零
紀錄:本金加信貸融資大概400萬,高點獲利300萬全數回吐,在這次財報後重擊後剩100
萬
https://i.imgur.com/HDqtqak.jpg
這次受傷後能不能在把這些投資虧損賺回來我也不曉得,因為經過這次重傷,已經無法承
受再一次的虧損,之後會調整指數投資為主加上嚴格控制的科技股倉位,需要時間來了解
自己到底能不能主動投資
最後以自己的血淚提醒大家,不要融資,不要重壓個股,不要跟股票談戀愛!獲利的股票
不要虧損出場!我的血與淚跟大家分享,希望大家都能好好活下來。
--
Tags:
股票
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