陽明今年EPS預估達38元 法人上修目標價 - 股票
By Ethan
at 2021-06-03T11:06
at 2021-06-03T11:06
Table of Contents
陽明今年EPS預估達38元 法人上修目標價至140元
2021-06-03 09:50經濟日報 記者趙于萱/台北即時報導
https://money.udn.com/money/story/5710/5505226
航運股利多不斷,繼市場看好三雄長榮、陽明(2609)、萬海拚進0050,國內大型投顧最
新報告再把陽明獲利預測推升到新高,看好在亞洲疫情蔓延加重全球運力緊俏度,接著第
4季消費旺季進一步拉抬市場需求,國際運價高張到年底,陽明今年每股稅後純益(EPS)
提升到38元,目標價上修至140元。
大型投顧對陽明今年EPS預測達38元,也刷新市場對於航運股的獲利預測,另一家同步喊
進三雄的國內投顧,對三檔今年EPS預測落在30-35元。
該大型投顧先前預測,國際運價在運力吃緊下,續強到第3季無虞,觀察近期東南亞及中
國疫情再起,塞港現象蔓延亞洲,使供不應求的運力更為緊繃,配合第3季歐美陸續解封
,第4季又迎接消費旺季,運價預期高張到年底。
法人表示,目前亞洲塞港情形加劇,馬士基預測接下來一周,船期可能延遲7-8天,而此
前陽明已因塞港減班10-20%,在亞洲疫情重燃及全球需求增加下,3、4季運價皆易漲難跌
,優於市場預期。
法人進一步指出,第4季屬於航運淡季,但考量目前多數碼頭處理量能,均需要拖車公司
、鐵路等系統配合,相關運輸也面臨疫情影響,因此預估今年第4季仍淡季不淡,運價至
多下滑5%,可延續第3季的高峰行情。
對照陽明此前預測,7月後美洲線看漲25-40%,另每月合約價貢獻達6億元,法人大幅上修
3、4季獲利預測18%、16%,EPS調整為11.6元、10.1元,全年EPS同步上修到38元,2022年
預估29.6元。
心得評論: 如果今年賺38元 依照航海王的歷史回測 至少六倍本益比
目標價應該上調到 228元 現在真的太便宜
--
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