關稅人又來了!川普威脅:若中國不達成 - 股票

By Edwina
at 2019-11-20T11:28
at 2019-11-20T11:28
Table of Contents
※ 引述《SP500StrongB (標普500十萬點)》之銘言:
: 1.原文連結:
: https://is.gd/EbCNRB
: 2.原文內容:
: 儘管美中官方近期釋放消息,雙方談判具建設性,很快將敲定第一階段協議,然而,美國
: 總統川普週二 (19 日) 再度警告,若是中國不達成貿易協議,美國將對中國商品徵收更
: 高的關稅。
: 川普週二在白宮舉行的內閣會議上警告:「如果我們沒有與中國達成貿易協議,我將提
: 高 (對中國的) 關稅。」
: 中國官員週一向美國財經媒體《CNBC》表示,美國總統川普不願鬆手取消現有關稅,北京
: 方面有意在近期的談判中不做任何進一步的讓步,更願意等著看川普彈劾結局。
: 自稱「關稅人」的川普以關稅要脅屢見不鮮,最近一次 (12 日) 川普在紐約發表演說時
: 就曾警告,如果美中無法達成協議,將大幅提高對中國商品的關稅。
: 當時川普表示:「如果我們 (美中) 達不成協議,我們將大幅提高那些關稅.. 非常大幅
: 地提高,對其他惡劣對待我們的國家來說也是如此。」
簡單分析一下
川普先提了幾個中國幾乎不可能答應的條件 >> 然後把加稅合理化
>> 企業從中國出走或減少投資 >> 中國失業率上升 >> 沒有人口紅利 >> 惡性循環
二戰後資本主義幾乎都是同一套 往相對穩定有人口紅利的地方跑
扶植日韓台 > 扶植中國 > 現在轉去東南亞
歐美日政府保持超低利率是協助企業籌資
讓公司債可以順利發行對抗中國政府的補貼企業手段
投資方向 應該選擇有競爭力有發展性持續擴廠增加市占的企業
缺乏利基的二三線公司都會被慢慢淘汰 賣廠房改炒地皮就是一例
所以不要問為什麼都漲權值股 這是經過判斷的必然動作
貿易戰目前成功達成了
1.中國公司海外下市減少籌資管道 2.香港動亂有錢人逃離 3.許多百大企業破產
不是川普高明 是中共政權太蠢 拉不下面子每次都選擇最糟糕的方向.
: 據悉,美中協議近期卡關的癥結點在於,中國希望美國階段性降低 / 取消先前徵收的關
: 稅,但遭川普公開回應:「他尚未同意。」此外,中國不願意具體承諾採購美國農產品的
: 數額,也抑制了貿易進展。
: 前白宮首席經濟顧問 Gary Cohn 週一表示,若美中未敲定貿易協議,他相信川普將會如
: 期在 12 月 15 日起徵收新關稅,否則川普將在中國人眼中失去信譽。而且另一方面,川
: 普已對即將來臨的購物旺季做好應對措施。
: 美國白宮經濟顧問庫德洛 (Larry Kudlow) 與美國商務部長羅斯 (Wilbur Ross) 上週五
: (15 日) 接連表示,美中很快將敲定第一階段協議,雙方「每日」保持密切聯繫。
: 許多華爾街分析師認為,道瓊指數和標普 500 指數 (S&P 500) 已就美中貿易協議定價,
: 目前即便沒有第一階段協議,美股仍繼續攀升。川普週二威脅言論傳出過後,標普指數略
: 微下跌,然後立即回升。
: 值得關注的是,在不到一個月的時間,美中緊張局勢可能會達到一個重要的轉捩點,屆時
: 川普必須決定,是否放寬對中國商品徵收新關稅的威脅?華爾街將拭目以待。
: 3.心得/評論:
: 說真的只要不是近期才進場的
: 應該都知道每次這種新聞出多久,不是下去接客就是繼續創新高
: 畢竟就從來沒有達成協議過,但股市也噴了幾千點
: 事實證明有沒有達成協議有沒有課關稅都不重要
: Key Point在於FED與ECB
: 兩個大撒幣,撒到你會怕,撒到你覺得今天不買就買不到了
--
中國就有這麼一群奇怪的人,本身是最底階層,利益每天都在被損害,
卻具有統治階級的意識,在動物世界裡找這麼弱智的東西都幾乎不可能。
--
: 1.原文連結:
: https://is.gd/EbCNRB
: 2.原文內容:
: 儘管美中官方近期釋放消息,雙方談判具建設性,很快將敲定第一階段協議,然而,美國
: 總統川普週二 (19 日) 再度警告,若是中國不達成貿易協議,美國將對中國商品徵收更
: 高的關稅。
: 川普週二在白宮舉行的內閣會議上警告:「如果我們沒有與中國達成貿易協議,我將提
: 高 (對中國的) 關稅。」
: 中國官員週一向美國財經媒體《CNBC》表示,美國總統川普不願鬆手取消現有關稅,北京
: 方面有意在近期的談判中不做任何進一步的讓步,更願意等著看川普彈劾結局。
: 自稱「關稅人」的川普以關稅要脅屢見不鮮,最近一次 (12 日) 川普在紐約發表演說時
: 就曾警告,如果美中無法達成協議,將大幅提高對中國商品的關稅。
: 當時川普表示:「如果我們 (美中) 達不成協議,我們將大幅提高那些關稅.. 非常大幅
: 地提高,對其他惡劣對待我們的國家來說也是如此。」
簡單分析一下
川普先提了幾個中國幾乎不可能答應的條件 >> 然後把加稅合理化
>> 企業從中國出走或減少投資 >> 中國失業率上升 >> 沒有人口紅利 >> 惡性循環
二戰後資本主義幾乎都是同一套 往相對穩定有人口紅利的地方跑
扶植日韓台 > 扶植中國 > 現在轉去東南亞
歐美日政府保持超低利率是協助企業籌資
讓公司債可以順利發行對抗中國政府的補貼企業手段
投資方向 應該選擇有競爭力有發展性持續擴廠增加市占的企業
缺乏利基的二三線公司都會被慢慢淘汰 賣廠房改炒地皮就是一例
所以不要問為什麼都漲權值股 這是經過判斷的必然動作
貿易戰目前成功達成了
1.中國公司海外下市減少籌資管道 2.香港動亂有錢人逃離 3.許多百大企業破產
不是川普高明 是中共政權太蠢 拉不下面子每次都選擇最糟糕的方向.
: 據悉,美中協議近期卡關的癥結點在於,中國希望美國階段性降低 / 取消先前徵收的關
: 稅,但遭川普公開回應:「他尚未同意。」此外,中國不願意具體承諾採購美國農產品的
: 數額,也抑制了貿易進展。
: 前白宮首席經濟顧問 Gary Cohn 週一表示,若美中未敲定貿易協議,他相信川普將會如
: 期在 12 月 15 日起徵收新關稅,否則川普將在中國人眼中失去信譽。而且另一方面,川
: 普已對即將來臨的購物旺季做好應對措施。
: 美國白宮經濟顧問庫德洛 (Larry Kudlow) 與美國商務部長羅斯 (Wilbur Ross) 上週五
: (15 日) 接連表示,美中很快將敲定第一階段協議,雙方「每日」保持密切聯繫。
: 許多華爾街分析師認為,道瓊指數和標普 500 指數 (S&P 500) 已就美中貿易協議定價,
: 目前即便沒有第一階段協議,美股仍繼續攀升。川普週二威脅言論傳出過後,標普指數略
: 微下跌,然後立即回升。
: 值得關注的是,在不到一個月的時間,美中緊張局勢可能會達到一個重要的轉捩點,屆時
: 川普必須決定,是否放寬對中國商品徵收新關稅的威脅?華爾街將拭目以待。
: 3.心得/評論:
: 說真的只要不是近期才進場的
: 應該都知道每次這種新聞出多久,不是下去接客就是繼續創新高
: 畢竟就從來沒有達成協議過,但股市也噴了幾千點
: 事實證明有沒有達成協議有沒有課關稅都不重要
: Key Point在於FED與ECB
: 兩個大撒幣,撒到你會怕,撒到你覺得今天不買就買不到了
--
中國就有這麼一群奇怪的人,本身是最底階層,利益每天都在被損害,
卻具有統治階級的意識,在動物世界裡找這麼弱智的東西都幾乎不可能。
--
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