長榮 空 - 股票

By Delia
at 2021-03-24T00:07
at 2021-03-24T00:07
Table of Contents
1. 標的: 長榮2603
2. 分類:空
3. 分析/正文:
海運已經不用談基本面了 好到不行
但在營收及k線圖裡有些不合理的地方讓我猜想高點是不是真的到了
如下圖從去年的七月開始營收不斷的增加
查了查新聞 沒有什麼特別嚴重的利空 幾乎都是好新聞
一月股價回檔了20% 成交量爆量 非常不合理 到底誰會賣 誰在買?
https://i.imgur.com/tDgp9eb.jpg
這幾天發佈的三月年報更是大利多
但今天在破前高後卻又大跌爆量
又是誰在買 誰會賣?
https://imgur.com/4fNz35l.jpg
而且融資使用率偏高可解讀為投機者偏多 且籌碼凌亂散戶過多
假設海運的營收在半年內會見到高點
或許會藉著年報的利多加上融券回補潮 製造一個假突破訊號創造絕佳的出貨時機
而造成股價趨勢反轉
4. 進退場機制:
如果假設正確 股價在5日線以上 陸續加空
長期放空 停利暫設23
若假設錯誤 股價再次突破前高即停損
非空氣單
https://imgur.com/5zNFrp8.jpg
--
2. 分類:空
3. 分析/正文:
海運已經不用談基本面了 好到不行
但在營收及k線圖裡有些不合理的地方讓我猜想高點是不是真的到了
如下圖從去年的七月開始營收不斷的增加
查了查新聞 沒有什麼特別嚴重的利空 幾乎都是好新聞
一月股價回檔了20% 成交量爆量 非常不合理 到底誰會賣 誰在買?
https://i.imgur.com/tDgp9eb.jpg
這幾天發佈的三月年報更是大利多
但今天在破前高後卻又大跌爆量
又是誰在買 誰會賣?
https://imgur.com/4fNz35l.jpg
而且融資使用率偏高可解讀為投機者偏多 且籌碼凌亂散戶過多
假設海運的營收在半年內會見到高點
或許會藉著年報的利多加上融券回補潮 製造一個假突破訊號創造絕佳的出貨時機
而造成股價趨勢反轉
4. 進退場機制:
如果假設正確 股價在5日線以上 陸續加空
長期放空 停利暫設23
若假設錯誤 股價再次突破前高即停損
非空氣單
https://imgur.com/5zNFrp8.jpg
--
Tags:
股票
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