重新看了一次2008金融海嘯時的文章 - 股票

By Gilbert
at 2020-03-01T11:55
at 2020-03-01T11:55
Table of Contents
昨天無聊回去爬了股板上金融海嘯的文章
很多都不見了 只剩下有m住保留的文
搭配線型來看
當年大盤在2007/10/29時9859點
到了2008/1/28那週碰到7400點
然後一路反彈到2008/5/19碰到9300點
這一段從9858->7400->9300的漲跌
許多人開始在7400時開始炒底
甚至目標直指萬點,兩年內上20000
高歌前進的賺到了2000點的反彈
但誰也沒想到5/19的9300後
大盤開始下跌7000有人認為是底部
5000有人認為是底部
但一路跌到11/17的3955點後才終於止跌
印象最深刻的一篇是
當9300後又跌破7000時
有一位出來說跌破了趨勢與支撐
應該開始視為起跌點到了空手或轉空
而下面的推文說著:都跌了2000點還要人追空?
一切的氣氛跟現在有點像
這次的疫情對實體店面的衝擊可能比想像中嚴重
前兩天回家的時候去家裡附近超商
老闆說:快撐不下去了啦
你看看這時間 結果店裡只有你一個客人
一個月店租十幾萬 三月不會倒啦
四月 五月再這樣店真的要收一收了
連超商都這樣的話
那何況是百貨、餐飲、電影、觀光、航空等產業
這次疫情真正可怕的
是人類開始自主停止經濟活動
實體店家沒客人被房東壓垮
工廠無法復工關廠裁員
惡性循環下造成災難性的打擊
那跌破11100的話或許真的就是起跌點?
--
很多都不見了 只剩下有m住保留的文
搭配線型來看
當年大盤在2007/10/29時9859點
到了2008/1/28那週碰到7400點
然後一路反彈到2008/5/19碰到9300點
這一段從9858->7400->9300的漲跌
許多人開始在7400時開始炒底
甚至目標直指萬點,兩年內上20000
高歌前進的賺到了2000點的反彈
但誰也沒想到5/19的9300後
大盤開始下跌7000有人認為是底部
5000有人認為是底部
但一路跌到11/17的3955點後才終於止跌
印象最深刻的一篇是
當9300後又跌破7000時
有一位出來說跌破了趨勢與支撐
應該開始視為起跌點到了空手或轉空
而下面的推文說著:都跌了2000點還要人追空?
一切的氣氛跟現在有點像
這次的疫情對實體店面的衝擊可能比想像中嚴重
前兩天回家的時候去家裡附近超商
老闆說:快撐不下去了啦
你看看這時間 結果店裡只有你一個客人
一個月店租十幾萬 三月不會倒啦
四月 五月再這樣店真的要收一收了
連超商都這樣的話
那何況是百貨、餐飲、電影、觀光、航空等產業
這次疫情真正可怕的
是人類開始自主停止經濟活動
實體店家沒客人被房東壓垮
工廠無法復工關廠裁員
惡性循環下造成災難性的打擊
那跌破11100的話或許真的就是起跌點?
--
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