配股配息到底是不是左手換右手 - 股票
By Frederic
at 2020-12-17T18:39
at 2020-12-17T18:39
Table of Contents
配息就是左手換右手 = =
很多事情是教科書一樣的公理,擁有標準答案
不是你那邊多元自我流的解釋= =
沒配息=你的錢會出現在股價裡
有配息=股價會扣掉你的配息錢
會覺得不是的人,是因為對股票價值來源的定義缺乏根本性的了解
(1)絕對估值= 股價總值 = 公司生命週期裡未來總現金流 - 折現
(2)相對估值= 與同產業同類型公司比 如果同產業公司高估 那我也可以高估
(3)資金行情= 外部貨幣環境、市場瘋狂程度等等
股價是(1)+(2)+(3)的函數疊加
配息之後,可能因為 (2)與(3)的關係,讓股價沒有下跌
但是(1)本身還是下跌的,只是他被其他因素化掉了
我覺得最近這些討論是一個教訓
連這種和萬國公理一樣有標準答案的基本問題,在股板都能有不同的答案
而且很多持有不同的答案還很嗆,拿著1+1=3的答案卷在那邊很有自信的秀
這種地方你最好少待
你自以為學了很多,可能學到的全是錯的
只是有一堆更__的人附和你,讓你有心理錯覺,覺得很安心
其實仔細想想 我覺得投資需要即時社群本來就是一件很好笑的事
他是大眾人性的剛需,但根本就是來害你的
難怪老巴要住在奧瑪哈不是住在華爾街= =
※ 引述《cwl79 (千早)》之銘言:
: 如題
: 在下的認知認為是 因為除權息的當下資產並沒有增加或減少 就像把戶頭的錢領
: 出來放在
: 錢包裡一樣 整體不變
: 至於後面公司有無賺錢可以繼續配息 應該不是左手換右手的討論範疇裡
: 這樣的理解對嗎 以上
--
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