還不開始做多你是在哈囉? - 股票
By Frederica
at 2020-04-05T19:56
at 2020-04-05T19:56
Table of Contents
這陣子很多人在問是多是空
趁著清明連假 有人出去玩了4天
但我卻獨自冥想了4天
最後我終於悟到了
你現在還不開始做多你是在哈囉?
直接看美股
這波大跌我把他分成4個階段
https://i.imgur.com/59R2Imd.jpg
第一個藍圈階段
我把他命名叫中國怪怪的
這個階段賣股的人是預期中國會帶來後續影響
有可能停工,預測導致企業財報不好看
第二個黃圈階段
我把他命名叫歐洲怪怪的
這個階段賣股的人 是發覺停工不只影響供給
預測連歐洲都開始爆發的話需求會有問題
第三個紅圈階段
我把他命名叫美國跟原油怪怪的
這個階段賣股的人發現連美國都要爆炸了
預測世界經濟200%會衰退&原油價格會導致危機
第四個白圈階段
我把他命名叫全世界都大爆炸啦
這個階段賣股的人沒有在預測
就只是單純發現跌爆了啦趕快逃了啦啦啦啦
跌成這樣世界經濟毀滅了啊啊啊啊
看到沒有
這4個階段裡面最懶的人就是第4階段賣股的人
前面的人都在預測後續不對勁預先賣股+避險
只有第4階段的人是因為跌到不行趕快逃
還會鼓吹:你不空手至少別做多
也許你會問:第4階段賣股也可能是預測未來慘啊
但是要知道一件事情齁
如果有預測能力,就不會第4階段才在賣了啦
有預測能力的人再不濟第3階段也該賣了
從1/20-3/22從沒預測能力的
到了3/23說自己開始能預測了你信?
現在這波疫情以這個階段而言
有誰會不知道美國會繼續確診創新高
有誰會不知道解藥解盲後可能無效
有誰會不知道美國可能會慘到封城
除非是突然變成死亡率+99啦
不然還有什麼是現在沒人預測到的你跟我說?
所以說指數從29000跌到18000
表面上是持股的人大賠特賠
但實際上卻是法人多了一堆的現金
一大堆錢拿在手上 不東買買西買賣要幹嘛?
這波反彈至少要給第四階段的懶鬼一個教訓
然後也讓第三階段賣股的人心癢癢
所以先上看道瓊25000點再說
--
趁著清明連假 有人出去玩了4天
但我卻獨自冥想了4天
最後我終於悟到了
你現在還不開始做多你是在哈囉?
直接看美股
這波大跌我把他分成4個階段
https://i.imgur.com/59R2Imd.jpg
第一個藍圈階段
我把他命名叫中國怪怪的
這個階段賣股的人是預期中國會帶來後續影響
有可能停工,預測導致企業財報不好看
第二個黃圈階段
我把他命名叫歐洲怪怪的
這個階段賣股的人 是發覺停工不只影響供給
預測連歐洲都開始爆發的話需求會有問題
第三個紅圈階段
我把他命名叫美國跟原油怪怪的
這個階段賣股的人發現連美國都要爆炸了
預測世界經濟200%會衰退&原油價格會導致危機
第四個白圈階段
我把他命名叫全世界都大爆炸啦
這個階段賣股的人沒有在預測
就只是單純發現跌爆了啦趕快逃了啦啦啦啦
跌成這樣世界經濟毀滅了啊啊啊啊
看到沒有
這4個階段裡面最懶的人就是第4階段賣股的人
前面的人都在預測後續不對勁預先賣股+避險
只有第4階段的人是因為跌到不行趕快逃
還會鼓吹:你不空手至少別做多
也許你會問:第4階段賣股也可能是預測未來慘啊
但是要知道一件事情齁
如果有預測能力,就不會第4階段才在賣了啦
有預測能力的人再不濟第3階段也該賣了
從1/20-3/22從沒預測能力的
到了3/23說自己開始能預測了你信?
現在這波疫情以這個階段而言
有誰會不知道美國會繼續確診創新高
有誰會不知道解藥解盲後可能無效
有誰會不知道美國可能會慘到封城
除非是突然變成死亡率+99啦
不然還有什麼是現在沒人預測到的你跟我說?
所以說指數從29000跌到18000
表面上是持股的人大賠特賠
但實際上卻是法人多了一堆的現金
一大堆錢拿在手上 不東買買西買賣要幹嘛?
這波反彈至少要給第四階段的懶鬼一個教訓
然後也讓第三階段賣股的人心癢癢
所以先上看道瓊25000點再說
--
Tags:
股票
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