運費持續高漲 法人估長榮今年EPS上看10.5 - 股票
By Ida
at 2021-01-05T08:52
at 2021-01-05T08:52
Table of Contents
https://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/3401378
運費持續高漲 法人估長榮今年EPS上看10.5元
〔財經頻道/綜合報導〕宏遠投顧指出,在「塞港;缺櫃;缺船」的情況下,目前高漲的
運價將持續推升長榮(2603)獲利;宏遠估計,長榮2020年及2021年稀釋稅後EPS分別為
4.73元及10.50元。
宏遠投顧指出,依照運價及調漲計畫,可預期長榮去年12 月到今年2 月營收將連續走高
運價反應到營收,有時間落差,尤其是遠洋線,落差超過1 個月;去年第4季運價漲勢猛
烈,將持續推升去年12 月及今年1 月營收。
宏遠投顧指出,SCFI 貨櫃運價綜合指數(整體)4Q上漲83% ;其中,歐洲線及地中海線
運價指數,4Q分別上漲225%及206%,而歐洲線(含地中海線)佔長榮營收比重3成,長榮
12月及01月營收,可望明顯受惠。此外,長榮已在昨天公告美國線將在2月有調漲計畫,
將推升長榮2月營收。
宏遠投顧表示,全球95%貨櫃箱來自中國製造, 中集集團(CIMC)市場占有率約45%。依
據12 月25 日報導:中集集團副總裁黃田華預測,可能在未來三個月到半年,集裝箱短缺
仍
會持續。宏遠認為,此一說明,比市場認為02 月上旬農曆春節,缺櫃就會紓緩的說法,
明顯更為嚴重。宏遠認為,若第1季明顯淡季不能解決「缺櫃」,則後續,季節性轉旺,
就更難解決。
覺得今年估的eps 4.73元 好像有點低低的
前三季就已經2.27了
但早上發這個新聞想幹嘛呢
--
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