逾六成民眾估 下半年台股跌破萬點 - 股票

By Todd Johnson
at 2017-12-16T11:34
at 2017-12-16T11:34
Table of Contents
1.原文連結:
https://money.udn.com/money/story/5607/2592183
2.原文內容:
2017-07-19 15:13聯合晚報 記者葉憶如/台北報導
國泰金融(2882)集團今日上午公布7月國民經濟信心調查報告結果,
對景氣看法續跌,且對股市樂觀轉弱,
據統計只有20.8%的民眾認為台股高點有機會突破1萬1,000點之上,
多數認為在10,000~10,500間,
甚至有超過六成民眾認為台股下半年會跌破萬點,
31%民眾估低點可能跌破9,000點。
國泰經濟研究處協理陳欽奇表示,
7月整體民眾景氣樂觀現況指數及景氣展望樂觀指數連續3個月下跌,
分別來到-14.0及-18.2的水準,跌幅擴大。
民眾對就業與薪資的樂觀程度也同步轉弱,
雖然近期其他機構陸續上修今年台灣經濟成長率至2%以上,
下半年成長動能是否轉弱值得觀察。
好消息是民眾消費意願呈現回溫,且自年初以來的改善趨勢不變,
是下半年景氣維持復甦的關鍵支撐力量。
此外股市樂觀指數續轉弱,風險意識小幅回升。
民眾股市樂觀指數從前月的-16.4再下滑至-18.3,所幸下滑幅度縮小。
對股市樂觀程度稍有下降,加上對景氣樂觀程度預期也持續下滑,
陳欽奇說,綜合研判民眾對未來半年股市後續上漲力道觀望氣氛漸濃。
這點與民眾對下半年股市高、低點的預期呈現類似結果。
3.心得/評論:
1.股版人人都賺錢,沒人被這波給掃到
2.元大50反一,13.77元是個關卡,注意外資是不是真的佈長線空台股
3.近日台指期淨多單依舊在三萬口以上,有人在猜是不是為了騙多多用的?
4.2018年下半年台股不樂觀,有賺的話明年上半年就要跑了!
5.2017年最後10個交易日,版主要開賭盤嗎? 跌破萬點機率的賭盤!!
要給看空台股2017下半年跌破萬點的民眾一點信心啦!^^
還有10天,這六成民眾的勝率還在????
--
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