這個策略好像很有搞頭 - 期貨

By Olga
at 2018-09-29T21:15
at 2018-09-29T21:15
Table of Contents
我知道股版的大大很喜歡對帳單,但是本魯目前還是實驗空氣單,
只是覺得好像很有搞頭,請大家幫我看一看,
有沒有什麼我沒注意到地方.
我是一個"準"程式交易者,意思是說,雖然我有自己的進出場規則,
而且可以量化,但是下單還是會以人工下單,
以後也許有可能變成真的程式交易.
交易的對象是大台指,目前實驗了四個月,
先來一張績效圖.
https://i.imgur.com/hkQkhBq.jpg
先給一些關鍵數據:
5.17到9.29 計交易40次 (當日內一定出場)
作多19次 作空21次
虛擬獲利538點,扣交易成本1點以後,實際獲利498點
勝率62.5%
每次平均獲利 25.56點,每次平均損失8.4點,比率是3.16.
到目前為止,最大連續損失是連賠5次,加計交易成本賠44點.
我的停損是動態停損和15點固定停損,看哪個先來.
我不做預測的,我完全不知道明天會漲還是會跌?
只是我觀察到在A情況下,上漲的機率有六成.在B情況下,下跌機率有六成.
情況出現我就跟著做,但有時候一個星期都沒出現信號(無聊等待).
也許我只是狗屎運好,矇對了4個月,我計畫在滿6個月以後,
如果還是符合預期,就開始下實單.
希望能有貼對帳單給各位看的一天.
對了,為了重新做人,我用新帳號發文,
但其實我是股板的老屁股了,在此說明一下.
也不需要猜我的舊帳號,我不會承認或否認.
如果你不相信這篇文章的真實性,我也沒意見.
我只是想要鼓勵還在股板掙扎的朋友,
相信自己,也許有一天你會找到你想要的聖盃.
--
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