貿易戰天將大變! 中國將爆發雪崩式返貧.. - 股票

By Kyle
at 2018-10-30T03:17
at 2018-10-30T03:17
Table of Contents
※ 引述《jeromeshih (以謹慎態度來面對問題)》之銘言:
: 30年前,賣掉東京的土地可以買下美國
: https://goo.gl/aJwrhj
: 30年後,賣掉北上廣深 4 大城市,差不多能買下全美國
: https://goo.gl/J82Fk1
: 當初要求貨幣升值,日本選擇泡沫推向房地產,而非像德國選擇升息,造就了失落的二十年,但當時日本算是累積了不少技術的國家,但即使現在,人均GDP還是比台灣高許多,而且許多老人的儲蓄率其實很高
: 而現在中國,M2超發貨幣的泡沫推升房地產,但中國的技術跟日本那時比較當之如何?而且中國的一胎化政策也註定會提早走入少子化,不過中國的GDP不高,並未藏富於民,還掏空人民的六個錢包
: 所以中國或許不用崩潰,但只要再起不能就達到美國的目的了
: 選擇貨幣貶值->通膨
: 選擇貨幣升值->泡沫直接破裂
: 但會走到如何,就看中國官方的選擇了
: -----
看到 jeromeshih 所講的最後一段:
選擇貨幣貶值->通膨
選擇貨幣升值->泡沫直接破裂
我有不同的看法:
選擇貨幣貶值->通膨,但還是在中國人民可忍受的範圍內!
選擇貨幣升值->泡沫直接破裂,但還是在中國人民可承擔的範圍內!
這句話: "但還是在中國人民可忍受的範圍內"
就是台灣年輕人一直無法接受的中國社會現實面:中國人民韌性太強大了!!!
整天在島上哭喊"崩潰"云云,然後早上起床,飯照吃舞照跳。
中國人民:(黑人超大問號ing)
在外國人眼裡的末日級災難,放到中國本土上,在中國人民眼中可能只算毛毛雨啊!
我們應該關注於中國經濟實力輸出的方向會如何影響國際社會的走向,
至於"中國經濟實力輸出的力道大小",
我覺得中國這個量級擺在地球上,你說他要怎麼縮水成世界最爛經濟體,
真的一點說服力也沒有。
--
: 30年前,賣掉東京的土地可以買下美國
: https://goo.gl/aJwrhj
: 30年後,賣掉北上廣深 4 大城市,差不多能買下全美國
: https://goo.gl/J82Fk1
: 當初要求貨幣升值,日本選擇泡沫推向房地產,而非像德國選擇升息,造就了失落的二十年,但當時日本算是累積了不少技術的國家,但即使現在,人均GDP還是比台灣高許多,而且許多老人的儲蓄率其實很高
: 而現在中國,M2超發貨幣的泡沫推升房地產,但中國的技術跟日本那時比較當之如何?而且中國的一胎化政策也註定會提早走入少子化,不過中國的GDP不高,並未藏富於民,還掏空人民的六個錢包
: 所以中國或許不用崩潰,但只要再起不能就達到美國的目的了
: 選擇貨幣貶值->通膨
: 選擇貨幣升值->泡沫直接破裂
: 但會走到如何,就看中國官方的選擇了
: -----
看到 jeromeshih 所講的最後一段:
選擇貨幣貶值->通膨
選擇貨幣升值->泡沫直接破裂
我有不同的看法:
選擇貨幣貶值->通膨,但還是在中國人民可忍受的範圍內!
選擇貨幣升值->泡沫直接破裂,但還是在中國人民可承擔的範圍內!
這句話: "但還是在中國人民可忍受的範圍內"
就是台灣年輕人一直無法接受的中國社會現實面:中國人民韌性太強大了!!!
整天在島上哭喊"崩潰"云云,然後早上起床,飯照吃舞照跳。
中國人民:(黑人超大問號ing)
在外國人眼裡的末日級災難,放到中國本土上,在中國人民眼中可能只算毛毛雨啊!
我們應該關注於中國經濟實力輸出的方向會如何影響國際社會的走向,
至於"中國經濟實力輸出的力道大小",
我覺得中國這個量級擺在地球上,你說他要怎麼縮水成世界最爛經濟體,
真的一點說服力也沒有。
--
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