請問現貨還會創新高嗎?@@ - 股票

By Lydia
at 2009-04-22T11:50
at 2009-04-22T11:50
Table of Contents
以下是1991年至今大盤量能的一些資料:
加權指數區間 日平均量能 最大量發生日期 最大量/日平均量能
5000-6000 826億 2275億(2001/12/13) 2.75
6000-7000 987億 2555億(2004/03/05) 2.58
7000-8000 1081億 2279億(2004/03/04) 2.10
8000-9000 1291億 3264億(2000/01/11) 2.52
9000-10000 1834億 3220億(2007/07/26) 1.75
基本上可以由上面的資料看出兩點:
1.指數要往上量能要持續增加。
2.當量能超過日平均量能2.5倍,很有可能就是最大量。
接下來看最大量以後的走勢:
2001/12/13 收5407 長黑K 之後量價背離到最高點6462 之後跌到3850
2004/03/05 收6943 長黑K 之後跌到5300
2000/01/11 收8927 長黑K 之後量價背離到最高點10202 之後跌到4614
2007/07/26 收9566 長黑K 之後量價背離到最高點9809 之後跌到4089
所以為何2009/4/17的大量長黑K我們要特別注意?
因為1.他有可能是最大量(2.71) 2.他收長黑K
你可以說是主力壓低吃貨,接下散戶們倒出來的籌碼,但請注意這根K線
出現的位置,但如果散戶這麼團結散戶就不會是散戶了,過去的走勢不
代表未來會複製,也許這次真的不一樣,但如果未來的走勢跟你想的不同
你該要怎麼做?資料幫你查了,功課自己去做吧。
--
加權指數區間 日平均量能 最大量發生日期 最大量/日平均量能
5000-6000 826億 2275億(2001/12/13) 2.75
6000-7000 987億 2555億(2004/03/05) 2.58
7000-8000 1081億 2279億(2004/03/04) 2.10
8000-9000 1291億 3264億(2000/01/11) 2.52
9000-10000 1834億 3220億(2007/07/26) 1.75
基本上可以由上面的資料看出兩點:
1.指數要往上量能要持續增加。
2.當量能超過日平均量能2.5倍,很有可能就是最大量。
接下來看最大量以後的走勢:
2001/12/13 收5407 長黑K 之後量價背離到最高點6462 之後跌到3850
2004/03/05 收6943 長黑K 之後跌到5300
2000/01/11 收8927 長黑K 之後量價背離到最高點10202 之後跌到4614
2007/07/26 收9566 長黑K 之後量價背離到最高點9809 之後跌到4089
所以為何2009/4/17的大量長黑K我們要特別注意?
因為1.他有可能是最大量(2.71) 2.他收長黑K
你可以說是主力壓低吃貨,接下散戶們倒出來的籌碼,但請注意這根K線
出現的位置,但如果散戶這麼團結散戶就不會是散戶了,過去的走勢不
代表未來會複製,也許這次真的不一樣,但如果未來的走勢跟你想的不同
你該要怎麼做?資料幫你查了,功課自己去做吧。
--
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股票
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