請問主力卷商的籌碼統計是否可能造假？ - 股票

有個人叫Richard Smitten，
他跑去訪談傑西李佛摩的兒子，再整理坊間有關李佛摩的書，出了一本
「Jesse Livermore: The World's Greatest Stock Trader」

中間有一小段在講傑西李佛摩對「主力」的看法
我找不到中文譯本，所以貼上原文跟小弟自己的隨便翻譯，給你參考一下：


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Livermore also languished under the cloud of being the Great
Bear of Wall Street. He had been blamed as one of the main causes
of the crash of 1929. But he found this ridiculous, because he
believed that no one person or group could ever change the overall
direction of the market or even drive a stock down for a sustained
period of time. He knew that it was ultimately the sales and
profits of a stock, the financial backbone of a company, that won
out in the end, even though there could be a bumpy ride in the
journey. Nevertheless, people still blamed him, sometimes yelling
at him in public.

李佛摩對「華爾街最大空頭」這個稱號感到很無力，
他被怪罪成造成1929的原兇之一。但他認為這很可笑，因為他相信，
沒有任何人或群體能夠持續一段時間地摜壓市場，
他知道最後，股票的營收、營利，跟公司的基本面會勝出，即使一路上可能有許多顛頗。
然而，人們仍然怪他，有時還在公共場所吼他

“Companies that make money consistently rise consistently,”
Livermore told all who would listen.
For the public, the nonprofessional stock players, there was
always the famous gray "they" in the market. "They" were raiding Steel
today. "They" were behind General Motors all week, pushing it up.
"They" had a full-fledged bear raid going on with Standard Oil. "They"
were distributing stock right now because "they" knew the market
was finished. "They" were led by that bastard Livermore and his bastard
friends.

「持續賺錢的公司，就會持續上漲」李佛摩說。聽的進去的就會聽。
對大眾來說，對那些非專業的玩家來說，市場上總是有個「他們」。
「他們」今天偷襲鋼鐵。「他們」這禮拜都在拉「通用汽車」。
「他們」準備好要摜殺「標準石油」。
「他們」正在重新布局股票，因為「他們」知道行情要結束了。
「他們」被像傑西李佛摩那樣的有錢混蛋們領導著。

The public believed there was a club, headed by a powerful person
or group, that ran the market. The club supposedly consisted
of people like Livermore, James Keene, John “Bet-a-Million”
Gates, Bernard Baruch, William Durant, Arthur Cutten, and the
Fischer brothers. These people were believed to simply manipulate
the market as they desired, so the small trader was always the
sucker.

大眾總是認為有一個團體，由有權勢的個人的個人或團體主導著，這些人在控制市場。
這個團體由傑西李佛摩、...(當代有名作手)...等人組成。
這個團體被相信能夠隨心所欲地操縱市場，所以一般小散戶只是當輸家。

==========

結論就是，那個年代的人們也一直相信，有一群「主力」在控制市場

但那個年代最有資格被稱作「主力」的傑西李佛摩，反而認為，
沒有人能控ﾨ謋奕鶠A沒有人能夠持續跟基本面對作…



※ 引述《mopa (不要留下遺憾)》之銘言：
: 有觀察過幾檔的股票
: 確實有主力券商的存在
: 已經吃了幾千張的籌碼
: 後來股價的確是漲了
: 但卻不見該券商的賣出訊號
: 是該券商還沒到獲利滿足點嗎？
: 還是說其實已經默默在出貨了？
: 將股票匯撥到名下的其他證券戶
: 達成A券商買B券商賣 出貨的目的
: 有請主力出來說明一下
: -----
: Sent from JPTT on my HTC_U-3u.

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