要做多嗎? 到支撐再說 ! - 股票
By Gilbert
at 2008-09-16T11:20
at 2008-09-16T11:20
Table of Contents
從高點已經下跌 三千多點
一堆股票腰斬再腰斬
若你是基本分析的朋友
一定很想進場低接績優股
不過這邊請你先等一等
關鍵支撐還沒來臨
資金請先慢慢存好
等真正的支撐來臨時
才有子彈可以上膛
讓我們從最長線的角度來看看吧
下面是加權的月線對數圖
http://tinyurl.com/6f8tpu
可以看到 2485 漲到 10393 之後
跌破關鍵支撐 一路下跌到 3411
上漲 7908 點 下跌 6982 點 漲幅回吐了 88 %
這波從 3411 漲到 9859 漲了 6448 點
若比照上次回吐的情況是要下跌 5696 點
也就是要跌到 4166 點
剛好也就是最低點連線的大支撐所在
預計也會在第三個關卡前止住
因此距離現在還有 30 % 的跌幅
想買股票的話
請再等等吧
----------------------------------------
中間也許會出現個低點
然後來個千點反彈
我個人的建議是
作空者:逢高再空,但是要開始縮小部位
空手者:持續觀望,多看書或是顧好本業
現股作多者:千點反彈出現後,出場空手觀望
信用型交易者:嚴設停損,徹底執行
給所有朋友:明年難過的不是股市,是你本業的淘汰賽
不是公司被淘汰掉,就是公司淘汰掉你
只有努力增加自我價值的人,
才能度過明年
迎接後年
邁向 2011
享受 2012
結語:台灣書真是便宜到不行,平均都在 300 左右
= 交易 60 元的股票來回一次的手續費
= 大台指期貨一口來回一次的手續費
= 選擇權 一口來回三次的手續費
這樣的成本不知道各位花了多少
報酬率應該都不容易比得上看一本好的書
未來一年請盡量將這樣的成本拿去買書
去圖書館吹免費冷氣 喝冰開水
[ 不過喝溫開水對身體健康比較好
在家唸書也是ok的 還可以多陪家人
當然要多運動 保持身體健康囉^^ ]
我個人相信在這樣的做法下
無論在 投資 工作 人際關係 心境 健康 等方面
你應該都是 2012 年的贏家
--
Tags:
股票
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