★股海日誌970819★ - 期貨
By Elizabeth
at 2008-08-19T15:24
at 2008-08-19T15:24
Table of Contents
台股今日開低走高,終盤以小跌作收,但不論現貨與各期指,普遍為
量縮或量平作多方抵抗,由此結構來看,明日多方必定要量出再彈,
方可視為有效抵抗的初步成形,否則,明日若多方見高而量能不出…
那小心盤勢再作壓回,簡單的講,今日多方抵抗看似由低上拉百點有
餘的強勢盤,但事實上結構為弱勢,明若多方補量再擊不成,今之抵
抗…也只是空方中繼型態,但昨日誌有言,現貨的 6921 點(台期指
的 6910 點)會有多方支撐力道,今雖因美股重挫而開低,但此多方
抵抗力道仍在,且收盤能有效守住,意即多方氣息尚存,並未完全瓦
解,但今之抵抗結構極虛,多方依然要小心近日再破線破價的可能;
另外,昨日日誌又言,解鈴還需繫鈴人…金融股的止跌與否,仍為後
續多方是否作強彈之觀察重點,這點看法依然不變,而現貨 7213 點
未有效站上之前,作多宜短,而個人是建議觀望,而量縮反彈不可追
價,宜逢高找賣點,反之,空方見量縮作多方攻擊,逢高可短空以對
,個人亦不建議追空,小心護盤力道隨時會嗄空!而若見多方量出走
揚,則不可任意佈空,目前仍不排除會有反彈逃命的可能性…。
而就美股來看,昨日長陰作收,但空方攻擊量尚嫌不足,而以昨日長
陰線,又至相對低點作收來看,今日盤勢尚有低點,但若空方再擊而
量能再不作有效放大,隨時會有多方反擊出現,如此一來,今日美股
收一多方抵抗線的可能性極高,個人認為美股今晚以小黑至中紅作收
的可能性較易出現,除非空方量出再擊,那就有再收一根長陰線的可
能,這點是可以注意觀察的。
而大盤明日支撐 6849 點,壓力 7105 點;台期指支撐 6813 點,壓
力 7089 點;而目前盤勢要作提醒的是…一旦今低後續收盤跌破,那
盤勢將有機會下測前波低點,以現貨論即為 6708 點,另外期指結算
在即,明日預期盤勢震盪不會太平淡,短單建議多看少作,待結算後
,方向較為明確時,再來積極進場不遲;個人實不願提太多政治面的
事情,但有時因此影響台股盤勢…著實叫人氣結呀…!
--
因為 pixnet 站方在作更新,所以 blog 無法發文,所以就先貼
在這裡,待站方更新完成後,日誌將一併補上 ●rz
不知何時會關的 blog 地址:
http://blog.pixnet.net/Angraecum
(今天本來也要寫個股分析…看來是要我好好休息的意思 @@")
--
夜空に星が瞬くように
溶けたこころは離れない
たとえこの手が離れても
ふたりがそれを忘れぬ限り…
--
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期貨
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