股市跟房市短期難以回復之前榮景 - 股票
By Charlie
at 2020-04-25T08:20
at 2020-04-25T08:20
Table of Contents
轉眼間日本的櫻花季也差不多快過了 今年難得無法像往常一樣全家去賞櫻
想想秋天的京都楓葉大概也沒什麼希望了 猛然覺得這次的改變不是只有短暫的
"長期的改變正在發生"
股市殺爆以後靠著川皇各種明快的措施默默地也拉回了20%
很多人甚至想著會不會一路V轉馬上噴過前高 但短期內有可能嗎?
WFH相關的PC, Server這些需求看來是不減反增
但手機需求明顯的減少 相對背後龐大的產業鏈絕對有影響
網路通路看來也是獲利成長一波
但實體的服務業 百貨業 旅遊業 航空業就不用說了一個慘字
房市更不用說 短期更是難以回到之前的榮景
WFH跟網路通路在這次的疫情中獲得更廣泛的驗證
企業會開始思考是不是真的需要那麼多的實體辦公室 或是需要在那麼精華的地段
商辦看來勢必受到挑戰
店面更不用說 就一個慘字 這樣的錢況下奢求高額的租金那只能倒給你看
不給點租金下調的空間是不可能的
住宅方面台灣本來就遠遠供過於求空屋很多
就算大家整天講人口移入北部 但雙北桃園的重劃區跟雨後春筍一樣
許多都是空屋 或是投客買下來的投資物件並不是實際的居住需求
市場氣氛的改變下一定受到影響 短期內大概也回不去之前炒作的榮景
這波絕對不是幾個月就會結束的短期現象 今年大概都還是這樣吧!
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