美股債市異常行為勾起1987大崩盤回憶 - 股票

Table of Contents

1.原文連結:

https://goo.gl/c8q5MC

2.原文內容:

Stock and bond markets are doing a strange thing that is reminiscent of the
1987 crash

股債市異常行為勾起1987大崩盤回憶

David Rosenberg says a rise in the 10-year Treasury yield during a stock
market drop seldom occurs.

David Rosenberg: 股市下跌時十年公債利率上升實屬罕見

"This rare occurrence of bond yields rising even as stock markets decline was
a feature in 1987 and 1994," he writes.

這是 1987 及 1994 大崩盤時的特徵之一

-----------------------------------

Wall Street is buzzing over what the recent sell-off in the stock market
means for investors and what will happen next.

街上議論紛紛股市大拋售的影響

Gluskin Sheff and Associates' David Rosenberg found one aspect of the decline
very peculiar and warned it is similar to time periods with significant
market turmoil.

David Rosenberg 發現一個罕見現象, 並警告這跟某些時期的股市動盪很像

The S&P 500 fell officially into correction territory on Thursday, down more
than 10 percent from its record reached in January.

標普週四進入修正區間, 自一月糕點下跌逾10%

Rosenberg noted how the yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose 16 basis
points during the drop.

Rosenberg: 10年公債驟升

"I cannot tell you how rare a market condition this is – that yields are
rising into this risk pullback," he wrote in a note to clients Friday.

Rosenberg: 修罕啊

Rosenberg cited how bonds rallied during the last financial crisis in 2008
when the market fell and during other big corrections.

Rosenberg: 2008金融危機, 債券利率競升

"But not this time. This rare occurrence of bond yields rising even as stock
markets decline was a feature in 1987 and 1994," he added. "What these
periods had in common was Fed tightening concerns, jitters over economic
overheating and an ever-flatter yield curve. One of these years had a huge
correction and one had massive volatility and rolling corrections. Pick your
poison."

Rosenberg: 這次不一樣, 倒像是綠豆糕... 1987 跟 1994

共通點: Fed 緊縮, 經濟過熱雜音, 殖利率曲線平緩(長短期公債利率相近)

前述其中一年是大修正, 一年是崩崩你個爽歪歪, 哩來, 選一個

In terms of the "huge correction" reference, he is referring to the "Black
Monday" stock market crash when the Dow Jones industrial average dropped 23
percent on Oct. 19, 1987.

這裡的「大修正」指的是 10/19/1987 黑色星期一 DJ -23%

Rosenberg is the chief economist and strategist at Gluskin Sheff and
Associates.

3.心得/評論:

美國人危言聳聽

台灣政府黑手護盤不手軟

勿讓禿鷹得逞

--
Sent from JPTT on my Nokia 33l0.

--

All Comments

Donna avatarDonna2018-02-10
美股千點招待3
Gary avatarGary2018-02-15
來個10天千點招待好嗎?18天更好,重回2009爽買美國高
股息定存股的時期
Joe avatarJoe2018-02-18
580!?dj drop the beat
Tom avatarTom2018-02-22
多門空的領悟~~跌了我的全部
Todd Johnson avatarTodd Johnson2018-02-26
1/29到現在才崩12% 還早!
Mason avatarMason2018-03-01
1994 有崩盤?
Blanche avatarBlanche2018-03-04
債市崩盤
Catherine avatarCatherine2018-03-04
喔你翻錯了...massive volatility and rolling correction
. 意思是高浮動但慢慢跌
Liam avatarLiam2018-03-08
崩崩你個爽歪歪不就是一直跌一直跌嗎
Olga avatarOlga2018-03-10
因為沒啥崩啊....94 查了一下才跌5-6%
只不過半年一直在往下上下上下....所以說是dolling correc
tion
Enid avatarEnid2018-03-10
這種巨烈波動財富重分配很容易造成金融風暴..輸光身家
的人繳不出房貸車貸信用卡..結果就是.....嗯 完美
Dinah avatarDinah2018-03-12
https://i.imgur.com/xBDW2Rs.jpg 美國現在都完這麽
大嗎...
Franklin avatarFranklin2018-03-15
感覺有鬼......無頭緒
Edith avatarEdith2018-03-20
放消息說要跌,好那買多!
Skylar Davis avatarSkylar Davis2018-03-23
原文2008那段的意思應該是債券升,不是債券利率升.然後下
一段才會說 not this time
Gilbert avatarGilbert2018-03-26
電腦變聰明了 刻意製造恐嚇趁低吃貨 有進步了
Ophelia avatarOphelia2018-03-29
多空雙巴
Wallis avatarWallis2018-03-30
這次很奇怪阿 只是預期心理而已 就造成市場恐慌
Zora avatarZora2018-04-01
覺得只是多頭多太久 都在等什麼時候殺肉而已
Ivy avatarIvy2018-04-06
1987黑色星期一相當于現在跌個五六千點吧
Jacob avatarJacob2018-04-09
想太多啦 回收熱錢而已
Ivy avatarIvy2018-04-09
多頭回檔不超過20%是很常見,只是漲多了,絕對點數很
震撼而已
但也不排除有什麼大事即將發生而影響多頭走勢
Hedda avatarHedda2018-04-10
我覺得是有人先知道什麼大事 大概是兩個核武國要開戰之類
就算沒有 華爾街也會把他變到有 川普的態度很不尋常
Anonymous avatarAnonymous2018-04-12
川普從選前就一直嘴砲 哪裡不尋常了
Michael avatarMichael2018-04-14
根據CNN報導 川普一直不正常 不必太在意
Poppy avatarPoppy2018-04-16
經濟沒有過熱吧? 大多在說景氣覆甦速度不如預期
Rosalind avatarRosalind2018-04-20
緩慢回溫中而已